The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Lordmandeep]

 

The Longer Running time does reduce showing from 5 to 4 for this movie I noticed. 

[DAJK]

As if it would be any sort of surprise, but Infinity War is blowing any non-SW film out of the water for pre sales at my theatre. Another huge rush last night for online sales, its leaps and bounds of any other superhero flick. I'd have to double check, but I'd say it's pretty close to, if not ahead of Rogue One's sales, and if this trend keeps up it could come relatively close to Last Jedi before next Thursday 

[Lordmandeep]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

As if it would be any sort of surprise, but Infinity War is blowing any non-SW film out of the water for pre sales at my theatre. Another huge rush last night for online sales, its leaps and bounds of any other superhero flick. I'd have to double check, but I'd say it's pretty close to, if not ahead of Rogue One's sales, and if this trend keeps up it could come relatively close to Last Jedi before next Thursday 

 

 

Yeah compared to Civil War or Ultron all the theatre around me have this on Two AVX screenings. 

[DAJK]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

 

 

Yeah compared to Civil War or Ultron all the theatre around me have this on Two AVX screenings. 

I just realized that we weren't able to secure 2 screens out of the 5 we have for Thursday, only Friday and beyond. Thursday is gonna be a shitshow lmao, despite it obviously playing in the biggest auditorium (289 seats) I have no doubt they will both sell out.

 

Good thing I booked the day off 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, DAJK said:

As if it would be any sort of surprise, but Infinity War is blowing any non-SW film out of the water for pre sales at my theatre. Another huge rush last night for online sales, its leaps and bounds of any other superhero flick. I'd have to double check, but I'd say it's pretty close to, if not ahead of Rogue One's sales, and if this trend keeps up it could come relatively close to Last Jedi before next Thursday 

WSJ said it was that $50m+ in pre-sales is ahead of very film except TFA and TLJ, so yes ahead of RO

 

About 11 days from opening of BvS

 

http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-v-superman-advance-ticket-sales-pacing-ahead-deadpool-avengers-furious-7-1201720435/

 

Quote

Latest word on advance ticket sales for Warner Bros’ Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice per various sources is that they’re outstripping 20th Century Fox’s Deadpool (opening weekend $132.4M), The Avengers ($207.4M) and Universal’s Furious 7 ($147.1M) two weeks prior to their stateside releases. One non-Warner Bros analyst has the figure between $20M-$25M, which isn’t that far from where The Dark Knight Rises’ advance ticket sales were before it debuted to $160.9M.

 

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, Barnack said:

To give an idea of the 267 last Avengers sales on fandango, non first weekend sales:

 

5 that monday

9 that tuesday

2 that wednesday

1 thursday

1 for 2018-05-08

18 totals (maybe some I didn't saw, but probably very little more than that....)

 

93% of the sales were for the OW.

 

 

Wonderful data. Would you be able to see what percent of fandango presales (over a decent period of time) are for Thursday specifically?

[wileECoyote]

5 hours ago, The Mad Titan said:

 

Does the article say anything else of interest? I can’t get around the paywall. 

Not many other highites

 

But 2 interesting things popped out

 

Quote

Among peo­ple sur­veyed in re­search widely used in Hol­ly­wood, 45% named “In­fin­ity War” as their first choice to see among all up­com­ing films. At the same point in time be­fore its open­ing, “The Force Awak­ens” was at 33%.

 

The new film, which cost close to $300 mil­lion to make....

 

 

[Legion Again]

Okay, based on Deepwang’s detailed presales breakdown for Ultron, CW, Gotg2, Ragnarok, and BP, it seems that around 40% of tickets sold by now might be for opening night, which would be $20M of Thursday sales in the bank one week out. I definitely smell a 40M+ Thursday.   

 

It it looks like TFA also had about 40% of presales on Thursday.

Edited April 19, 2018 by Sliver Legion

[Hades]

13 minutes ago, wileECoyote said:

Not many other highites

 

But 2 interesting things popped out

 

 

Needs a billion to break even . Easy...

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Sliver Legion said:

Wonderful data. Would you be able to see what percent of fandango presales (over a decent period of time) are for Thursday specifically?

Yes fandango website give you those info for every sale:

 

Show_datetime

State of the movie theater

the city

 

A bunch of info for every sales, 

 

The hard part is to acquire and save all of them on a platform that is always running.

 

Of those 267 sales I was talking about, starting Thursday the 26:

 

2018-04-26: 76 (28.46%)

2018-04-27: 78 (29.2%)

2018-04-28: 72 (26.97%)

2018-04-29: 22 (8.23%)

 

and 19 in total post opening weekend (I had missed one I guess), I imagine the very first sales were more for the opening night and that they become more spreadout over time and sell outs occurs (and that will maybe re-become true that day)

 

 

 

 

 

Edited April 19, 2018 by Barnack

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

WSJ said it was that $50m+ in pre-sales is ahead of very film except TFA and TLJ, so yes ahead of RO

 

About 11 days from opening of BvS

 

http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-v-superman-advance-ticket-sales-pacing-ahead-deadpool-avengers-furious-7-1201720435/

 

 

So already twice the pre-sales at the same point as  BVS. 2 x 166 = 332

 

IW OW over BvS DOM confirmed. 

Edited April 19, 2018 by MovieMan89

[dxmatrixdt]

I'm guessing ST2 is almost entirely an online seller, otherwise we would be looking at like 10-20 OW for it, right?

[Legion Again]

25 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Yes fandango website give you those info for every sale:

 

Show_datetime

State of the movie theater

the city

 

A bunch of info for every sales, 

 

The hard part is to acquire and save all of them on a platform that is always running.

 

Of those 267 sales I was talking about, starting Thursday the 26:

 

2018-04-26: 76 (28.46%)

2018-04-27: 78 (29.2%)

2018-04-28: 72 (26.97%)

2018-04-29: 22 (0.0823%)

 

and 19 in total post opening weekend (I had missed one I guess), I imagine the very first sales were more for the opening night and that they become more spreadout over time and sell outs occurs (and that will maybe re-become true that day)

 

 

 

 

 

Alright, excellent. I found some other sources that suggest the total presales tend to be near 40% Thursday, so I think you’re exactly correct that the earlier wave was more Thursday heavy and the intermediate drip of this week is more evenly spread out in comparison.   

 

Also, I suspect you want 8.23% or .0823, not .0823%

Edited April 19, 2018 by Sliver Legion

[TalismanRing]

15 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said:

I'm guessing ST2 is almost entirely an online seller, otherwise we would be looking at like 10-20 OW for it, right?

It's crowd funded by hard cores who would buy tickets early online so I'd say yes.

[Ephemeris]

According to deadline, 94.5% of TFA's presales were for OW as well, so it looks like TFA's presales weren't as backloaded as some people are assuming:

Quote

Movio film market research, which studies North American moviegoer audience behavior, has released some stats on presales for Star Wars: The Force Awakens. Per Movio’s sampling, 94.5% of those who bought advance tickets for the film did so for opening weekend.

 

Of that sample, 38.8% are going to see the J.J. Abrams film on Thursday, half of them for the first screening session at 7 PM.

[...]

In regard to the rest of the advance-ticket sales breakdown: 26.9% scooped up tickets for Friday, 14.9% on Saturday, 7.5% on Sunday and 2.4% on Christmas day.

http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-the-force-awakens-opening-weekend-box-office-audience-1201667970/

[dxmatrixdt]

daily box office figures from last Friday to Wednesday.  converted the PTA to avg tickets sold / venue

A Quiet Place - 325 + 418 + 278 ............ 82 + 97 + 70

Rampage...... - 243 + 369 + 274............. 67 + 91 + 53

Truth or Dare - 266 + 246 + 128............ 36 + 46 + 29

Ready Player - 90 + 150 + 110............... 29 + 34 + 25

Blockers...... - 106 + 148 + 96 ............... 30 + 39 + 29

Isle of Dogs - 90 + 122 + 102 ................ 31 + 33 + 26

Black Panther - 74 + 128 + 93 ............... 27 + 31 + 26

Imagine ...... - 47 + 75 + 57 .................. 17 + 23 + 16

Chappaquiddick - 57 + 84 + 66 ............... 24 + 29 + 22

Acrimony ...... - 91 + 135 + 79 ................ 26 + 32 + 22

Sherlock Gnomes - 25 + 62 + 55 ............. 17 + 14 + 11

Sergeant ....... - 18 + 33 + 27 .................. 9 + 9 + 8

Beirut ........... - 71 + 105 + 80 ................ 28 + 33 + 25

Miracle Season - 41 + 61 + 42 ................. 11 + 14 + 9

Time.............. - 37 + 65 + 53 .................. 14 + 17 + 13

Rim ................ - 28 + 46 + 31 ................. 9 + 11 + 8

Love .............. - 40 + 55 + 38 .................. 13 + 14 + 12

Paul ................- 31 + 45 + 41 .................. 13 + 16 + 13

Tomb .............. - 32 + 45 + 25 ................. 10 + 15 + 10

Rabbit ............. - 20 + 47 + 39 ................. 10 + 9 + 7

Game ............... - 35 + 47 + 25 ................ 10 + 12 + 9

Sparrow ............ - 26 + 36 + 25 ................ 10 + 14 + 10

God's ................ - 18 + 29 + 25 ................ 8 + 10 + 6

Annihilation ....... - 29 + 41 + 25 ................. 10 + 12 + 11

Death Wish ........ - 22 + 34 + 20 ................ 8 + 9 + 8

Strangers .......... (68) + (71) + 27 .............. 10 + 12 + 11

 

 

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

> NEW RELEASES
3	-	I Feel Pretty	STX Entertainment	3,440	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
7	-	Super Troopers 2	Fox	2,038	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
14	-	Traffik	Lionsgate	1,046	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
40	-	Ghost Stories	IFC	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
1	1	Rampage (2018)	Warner Bros. (New Line)	4,115	+14	+0.3%	-	-	-	-	2
2	3	A Quiet Place	Paramount	3,808	+219	+6.1%	-	-	-	-	3
6	5	Truth or Dare	Universal	3,068	+39	+1.3%	-	-	-	-	2
9	9	Isle Of Dogs	Fox Searchlight	1,947	+8	+0.4%	-	-	-	-	5
26	47	Final Portrait	Sony Classics	100	+68	+212.5%	-	-	-	-	5
27	36	Strangers: Prey at Night	Aviron	90	+29	+47.5%	-	-	-	-	7
29	58	Lean on Pete	A24	65	+47	+261.1%	-	-	-	-	3
32	54	A Fantastic Woman	Sony Classics	28	+5	+21.7%	-	-	-	-	12
34	52	Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool	Sony Classics	25	+1	+4.2%	-	-	-	-	17
35	55	Forever My Girl	Roadside Attractions	22	+3	+15.8%	-	-	-	-	14
37	78	Love After Love	IFC	9	+4	+80.0%	-	-	-	-	4
38	89	The Rider	Sony Classics	9	+6	+200.0%	-	-	-	-	2
> NO CHANGE
15	17	Beirut	Bleecker Street	755	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
31	46	Pandas	Warner Bros.	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
36	63	Loveless (2018)	Sony Classics	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	10
> DECLINING
4	2	Ready Player One	Warner Bros.	3,208	-453	-12.4%	-	-	-	-	4
5	4	Blockers	Universal	3,134	-284	-8.3%	-	-	-	-	3
8	6	I Can Only Imagine	Roadside Attractions	1,975	-598	-23.2%	-	-	-	-	6
10	7	Black Panther	Buena Vista	1,930	-250	-11.5%	-	-	-	-	10
11	8	Sherlock Gnomes	Paramount	1,459	-657	-31.0%	-	-	-	-	5
12	14	Tyler Perry's Acrimony	Lionsgate	1,148	-184	-13.8%	-	-	-	-	4
13	10	The Miracle Season	Mirror/LD	1,122	-585	-34.3%	-	-	-	-	3
16	15	A Wrinkle in Time	Buena Vista	665	-447	-40.2%	-	-	-	-	7
17	13	Pacific Rim Uprising	Universal	642	-895	-58.2%	-	-	-	-	5
18	16	Love, Simon	Fox	491	-398	-44.8%	-	-	-	-	6
19	20	Tomb Raider	Warner Bros.	303	-199	-39.6%	-	-	-	-	6
20	22	The Death of Stalin	IFC	214	-116	-35.2%	-	-	-	-	7
21	21	Game Night	Warner Bros. (New Line)	211	-145	-40.7%	-	-	-	-	9
22	23	Finding Your Feet	Roadside Attractions	191	-86	-31.0%	-	-	-	-	4
23	24	The Leisure Seeker	Sony Classics	183	-93	-33.7%	-	-	-	-	14
24	26	The Greatest Showman	Fox	169	-40	-19.1%	-	-	-	-	18
25	27	God's Not Dead: A Light in Darkness	Pure Flix	111	-82	-42.5%	-	-	-	-	4

 

 

If anyone still thought WIT had a shot at 100M after last weekend's drop, it's dead now.

[YLF]

Will black panther be in the top 10 during infinity wars OW? that would be amazing lol

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, YLF said:

Will black panther be in the top 10 during infinity wars OW? that would be amazing lol

[ZeeSoh]

14 minutes ago, YLF said:

Will black panther be in the top 10 during infinity wars OW? that would be amazing lol

Easily. Should be about 7th or 8th around the time IW opens