The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[ZeeSoh]

53 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Looking at that Fandango poll, Ant Man is a major after thought this summer. Zero buzz. 

 

Less than Sicario 2, lol. 

And yet it will outgross all 4 movies atop it (most likely doubling or tripling Sicario’s gross). These buzz polls are almost useless as box office trackers. 

 

Last year BR2049 was higher than both Kingsman and IT and yet ended up grossing less than those. 

 

Justice League was pretty high on the list, over IT, too and we all know how that turned out. 

[dxmatrixdt]

1 hour ago, Thematrixfilm said:

preview predictions

 

0.8 - Pretty

1.8 - ST2

0.1 - Traffik

last year had

Snatched - 0.675

King Arthur - 1.15

for comparison

[Krissykins]

22 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

And yet it will outgross all 4 movies atop it (most likely doubling or tripling Sicario’s gross). These buzz polls are almost useless as box office trackers. 

 

Last year BR2049 was higher than both Kingsman and IT and yet ended up grossing less than those. 

 

Justice League was pretty high on the list, over IT, too and we all know how that turned out. 

Hmm, I wouldn’t be 100% surprised if it was Marvels first domestic disappointment (a gross slightly under the original). 

[ZeeSoh]

13 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Hmm, I wouldn’t be 100% surprised if it was Marvels first domestic disappointment (a gross slightly under the original). 

I dont remember how the marketing or the buzz was for the original but it makes sense to hold onto marketing for this movie right now and let IW pass. Any thing Ant Man related now will just get drowned in IW hype and will probably confuse people as well. 

 

They should start marketing this after Deadpool or even Solo is released and get those huge movies out of the way. After that it will only have to contend with Incredibles and Jurassic World

[Krissykins]

11 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

I dont remember how the marketing or the buzz was for the original but it makes sense to hold onto marketing for this movie right now and let IW pass. Any thing Ant Man related now will just get drowned in IW hype and will probably confuse people as well. 

 

They should start marketing this after Deadpool or even Solo is released and get those huge movies out of the way. After that it will only have to contend with Incredibles and Jurassic World

Yeh I can see why they’re holding back just now, they’ll wait until after Deadpool. It has Skyscraper in its second weekend + Hotel Transylvania, then it has some quieter weekends (and July weekdays) until Mission Impossible opens. 

[Nova]

Ant-Man will be fine because when it opens all the bigger franchise blockbusters will be out the way. 

[TalismanRing]

Fandango Sale Tracker 4.19 Total (EST)

 

Avengers Infinity War	19,940
Super Troopers 2	10,802
Deadpool 2	9,510
I Feel Pretty	6,547
A Quiet Place	6,442
Rampage	3,390
Ready Player	2,297
Blockers	1,997
Traffik	1,347
Truth or Dare	1,231

 

EDIT: Updated from CST to EST to keep it more comparable

 

 

Edited April 20, 2018 by TalismanRing

[filmlover]

5 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

-Kinda cool that Crazy Rich Asians topped both the comedy and sleeper charts without any marketing. Constance Wu, her POWAH

 

[el sid]

MT update:
 

#1 A:IW 22.8%
#2 ST 2 15.5% (68/5 minutes of counting at the moment)
#3 IFP 10.5% (53/5 minutes at the moment)
#4 AQP 8.1%
#5 Rampage 7.3%

[dxmatrixdt]

does anyone know the earliest time when they announce preview #'s?

[Lordmandeep]

I do not think IW will be a very frontloaded weekend, I think it actually will be less frontloaded then the SW openers. 

 

I could Easily see...

 

35 Previews

60 Friday (Ultron Did 57 million in comparison)

70 Saturday +16% (Civil War Jumped 21%)

55 Sunday -22%

 

220 Million weekend

 

 

 

Edited April 20, 2018 by Lordmandeep

[WrathOfHan]

Theater update:

 

Spoiler

 

Super Troopers 2:

 

 

10:00: 7/78

11:15: 5/124

12:30: 3/78

1:50: 2/124

3:00: 0/78

4:20: 7/124

5:30: 2/78

6:55: 26/124

8:00: 40/78

9:30: 30/124

10:30: 2/78

 

Traffik:

 

10:20: 8/78

12:45: 8/78

3:10: 4/78

5:35: 0/78

8:00: 9/78

10:25: 3/78

 

Rampage:

 

10:30: 3/113

11:45 3D: 0/69

1:05: 2/113

2:20 3D: 0/69

3:40: 0/113

4:55 3D: 0/69

6:15: 7/113

7:30 3D: 8/69

8:50: 5/113

10:05 3D: 0/69

 

I Feel Pretty:

 

10:50: 9/78

12:15: 2/78

1:30: 0/78

2:55: 0/78

4:10: 0/78

6:50: 12/78

9:35: 2/78

 

A Quiet Place:

 

10:00: 3/78

12:20: 0/78

2:40: 2/78

5:00: 3/78

7:20: 4/78

8:05: 0/78

9:40: 0/78

10:25: 0/78

 

Blockers:

 

11:45: 6/67

2:15: 0/67

4:45: 0/67

7:25: 4/67

10:00: 0/67

 

Truth or Dare:

 

11:00: 0/60

1:20: 0/78

4:40: 0/60

5:35: 3/78

7:00: 0/78

10:15: 0/60

 

Ready Player One:

 

10:10: 1/78

1:30 3D: 0/60

3:50: 0/78

7:05 3D: 2/60

9:30: 0/78

 

Acrimony:

 

6:45: 2/63

9:45: 0/63

 

Isle of Dogs:

 

10:45: 1/63

 

 

 

 

Super Troopers 2: 124/1,088 (Up 22)

Traffik: 32/468 (Up 8)

Rampage: 25/910 (Up 10) (17 2D/8 3D) (-65% from last week)

I Feel Pretty: 25/546 (Up 10)

A Quiet Place: 12/624 (Up 7) (-65% from last week)

Blockers: 10/335 (+25% from last week)

Truth or Dare: 3/414 (-90% from last week)

Ready Player One: 3/354 (1 2D/2 3D) (-75% from last week)

Acrimony: 2/126 (-33% from last week)

Isle of Dogs: 1/63 (-75% from last week)

I Can Only Imagine and Sgt. Stubby have sold nothing.

 

I Feel Pretty comps:

 

75% of Game Night (12.8M)

110% of Blockers (22.7M)

Edited April 20, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[FlashMaster659]

Initial tracking indicated that the superhero adventure would launch to $175 million to $200 million, but projections have since increased to between $190 million and $235 million-plus. If those numbers continue to increase, “Infinity War” could be eyeing the highest premiere of all time.

 

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/avengers-infinity-war-box-office-tracking-1202764292/

[fabiopazzo2]

190-235 

Edited April 20, 2018 by fabiopazzo2

[dxmatrixdt]

I wonder if the preview numbers will be showing up soon

[Krissykins]

Oooh top tracking at $235m, hopefully it doesn’t end up missing it’s industry expectations! 

 

 

[Lordmandeep]

I would  be flabergasted if this opens below 200 million in my opinion. 

[dxmatrixdt]

Boxoffice‏ @BoxOffice 2m2 minutes ago

More

SUPER TROOPERS 2
$1.35M Thursday Night Opening (includes original film double billings)
#SuperTroopers2 #BoxOffice

[dxmatrixdt]

Chappaquiddick did 175k and Miracle Season did 160k.  I wonder if Traffik can beat 100k.  maybe somewhere around 60-80k if it was showing on only half the screens.

[Alli]

9 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

http://ew.com/movies/2018/04/19/avengers-infinity-war-fandango-summer-movies-survey/

 

Fandango Summer Poll:

 

Most Anticipated 2018 Summer Blockbuster:

1. Avengers: Infinity War (April 27)
2. Deadpool 2 (May 18)
3. Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
4. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (June 22)
5. Incredibles 2 (June 15)
6. Ocean’s 8 (June 8)
7. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (July 20)
8. Mission: Impossible – Fallout (July 27)
9. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (June 29)
10. Ant-Man and the Wasp (July 6)

 

 

How the heck are Mamma Mia and Ocean's 8 ahead of MI-F?

 

MI-F is my most anticipated movie this summer and that maybe is clouding my judgment, but i thought the trailer was exquisite and did its job.