The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Sam]

17 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Yup, everything is looking good.... 

 

Deadpool 135m 

Book Club 18m

Show Dog 10m

 

Very good weekend ahead. 

Not sure if that’s good enough for some people lol.

 

Wonder what’s gonna be a meltdown range.

[narniadis]

2 minutes ago, Sam said:

Not sure if that’s good enough for some people lol.

 

Wonder what’s gonna be a meltdown range.

Unrealistic expectations are never good enough lol

[Nova]

5 minutes ago, Sam said:

Not sure if that’s good enough for some people lol.

 

Wonder what’s gonna be a meltdown range.

The only meltdowns will be from folks who will call it a flop when it "only" opens to $135M 

[dxmatrixdt]

I think anything below (1.4) x 100 million will cause panic

[Nova]

4 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said:

I think anything below (1.4) x 100 million will cause panic

From who? Not even a month ago people were saying it would be lucky to replicate what the first one did. If it opens to $135M I'd consider that a success. 

 

Sure id love to see it make more its OW but I'd be extremely happy with a range similar to the first one

Edited May 17, 2018 by Nova

[TalismanRing]

23 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango (the old count em yourself method)

 

Sorry, I don't have more direct comps for 6 pm hour

 

DP 2:  60 avg per minute (6pm)

 

Comps for WED:

 

WW: 45 (4pm)

SM:HC: 39 avg (12:30pm) 42 avg (3pm) , 54.2 (4pm)

IT: 90 (10:30pm)

Thor: R: 35 (9:55am), 49 (3:40), 47 (4:10pm)

JL:  26.5 (9:10), 27 (10:10am), 37.2 (12:25), 36.6 (4:10pm), 47 (5:30)

BP: 107 (2:45pm)  

A:IW:  85 (8:55am), 91 (9:10am) 157 (3pm), 200 (6:30)

 

THURSDAY

 

WW: 46 (10am), 125 (5pm)
SM:HC - 49avg (9am), 110 (12pm), 138( 1pm) 174 (3:50pm), 216 (5:20pm)
IT: - 25 (8:20am) 41(9am) 102 (12:20pm) 140 (1pm) 186 (4:50pm)
Thor:R - 103 (12:15) 112 (1:15pm), 145 (4pm) 175 (4:50)
JL: 45.2 (10.am), 78 (12pm), 92 (1:30pm), 103 (3:30pm), 124 (4:15pm), 145 (5:30pm), 156 (7:45)
TLJ  - 275 (10:45am)
BP - 244 (2:30)
A:IW -  240 (11:15am), 305 (3pm)

 

DP2:  55 (9:30 am), 60 (10am), 98.75 (12pm), 165.5 (3:20pm), 206 (5:20)

 

Updated.

 

 

Edited May 17, 2018 by TalismanRing

[XO21]

$150m is the optimistic scenario, like $160m was for Guardians last year.

[Brainbug]

I want 170M for Deadpool, but im happy with anything 120M+ really. Under 100M would be disappointing for me personally.

[IceFire9yt]

So projecting from those numbers:

 

WW- 135M

Justice League - 125M

SMH - 131M

 

Yeah, around 130M is looking likely.

[Rebeccas]

My local theater started selling out massively for DP2 tonight. It was looking fairly empty up until Tuesday and then yesterday it was like all gone.

[Sam]

Yup. Previews are looking great near me too. I would not be surprised with ~20M Thursday. 

 

It’s the Sat-Sun that look pretty muted, but that could change, and walk-ups will fill in the blanks if GA reaction mirror our members’ here thus far.

[Cap]

Here's a fun anecdote to show our much our area hates pre-sales (and this theater).

 

At the Reserved Stadium 13 Screen Theater, Deadpool has five screenings plus the Double Feature.  They're sold a total of 103 Tickets for tonight's Thursday previews.  The Cult Classic showing of The Princess Bride, which is also tonight, has sold 90.

 

The Reserved Love Seat Recliner theater's looking much better at 37.93% sold.

 

154 Tickets Sold / 406 Available.

04:30PM: 26/78 (Double Feature)
07:00PM: 32/50

07:30PM: 32/50

08:00PM: 29/50

09:10PM: 14/78

09:30PM: 13/50

10:00PM: 8/50

[Cmasterclay]

I'm in the 125 range for Deadpool - as big as Deadpool 1 otherwise, but without the great Sunday drop boosting it.

 

Not to repeat same info as others but presales have indeed really picked up here, lots of showings doing good.

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater:

 

Deadpool:

 

7:00: 77/113

7:30: 47/78

7:45: 0/78

8:00: 43/78

8:15: 0/78

8:30: 35/78

9:00: 47/124

9:30: 7/60

Total: 256/687

 

Book Club:

 

5:00: 4/63

7:30: 12/63 (10 tickets are a group buyout)

Total: 16/126

 

It's a bit early to be comparing Deadpool, but these are VERY strong sales. They keep adding showtimes; the only movies left playing are Book Club, IW, Breaking In, and Life of the Party. Wouldn't be surprised if BI's last show got cancelled for Deadpool.

[Cmasterclay]

This is doing gangbusters in South Florida (as good as IW) but not particularly well in DC. Worth noting that college graduation for all DC schools is this weekend, whereas Florida schools it was all last weekend and the weekend before. That could be a dynamic worth watching around the country, considering the prime demographic for DP2 is college aged kids. 

[Sam]

I can see

 

Thu: 19M

Fri: 38M

Sat: 46M (+20%)

Sun: 35M (-24%)

 

Total: 138M

 

Basically playing pretty close to GOTG2 for all weekend except Sat jump.

[miketheavenger]

IMO if it matches the first Deadpool's OW it would be a big success considering the first one opened on a holiday weekend.

[Cmasterclay]

Thu: 19m (Sorry Sam copied you)

Friday: 34 + 19 = 53

Saturday: 40

Sunday: 31

Total: 124m

 

[MovieMan89]

32 minutes ago, Sam said:

Yup. Previews are looking great near me too. I would not be surprised with ~20M Thursday. 

 

It’s the Sat-Sun that look pretty muted, but that could change, and walk-ups will fill in the blanks if GA reaction mirror our members’ here thus far.

It will obviously get some good walk ups if WOM is strong out of the gate, but I think people expecting it to play like the first on OW or setting themselves up for disappointment. I think it will be heavily preview/Friday skewed. Given the first had such strong walk up business and a holiday Sun/Mon, I'd say DP2 should be doing a solid 60m on OD to match its OW. 

 

Edited May 17, 2018 by MovieMan89

[Sam]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It will obviously get some good walk ups if WOM is strong out of the gate, but I think people expecting it to play like the first on OW or setting themselves up for disappointment. I think it will be heavily preview/Friday skewed. 

I think anyone with sufficient BO knowledge would not expect it too.

 

DP had not only Valentine but also President’s Day boost, so most of the daily trajectory was useless to draw any comparison. 

 

Sat bump from true Friday for DP was about 27%, and I agree with you about heavily skewed previews/Friday (as it is for most sequel) so I’m thinking the jump this time will be around 20%, which is still very good.