The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

Tonight at my theater: 

 

7:00 PM 140/142
7:30 PM (added last night) 85/116
8:00 PM 132/142
9:00 PM 88/116 
10:00 PM 120/142 
10:30 PM (added last night) 30/100 
11:00 PM 68/116 
11:30 PM (added last night) 20/55 
12:00 AM 22/116 

*As I mentioned earlier my theater saw a huge surge last night into today for ticket sales just for Thursday night. And while none of them are complete sell outs (not Tele's method. Actual sell outs) I would say it's selling very very strong here. I don't have direct comps for anything though so this info is pretty much pointless for this film but I wanted to post it on here so I have it for future CBM. I did have WW and SMH but the WW and SMH info I have is for all theaters in my area and well I'm too lazy to do that right now lol 

[WrathOfHan]

First showing of Book Club is finishing with 12/63. Kinda thinking this will match Going In Style's OW.

[Nova]

I'm bored so I figured I'd look at the United Artists in town. DP2 has 5 showings here but literally right down the street from it there is a Regal with no reserved seating that has 3 showings for it. But anyways this is what I got at the UA 

7:00 PM 154/176 
8:00 PM 81/102 
9:00 PM 76/90 
10:00 PM 128/176 
11:00 PM 61/102 

 

*Again I have no comps for this. But figured hey might as well put this stuff here for the future. 

I do want to add that in general I feel like CBM overperform in my area. Obviously I don't have the data (aka showtimes and seat count) to prove this but it's just an observation when I take a glance at how any CBM is doing. I always get the feeling that it's doing better than other areas. 

[TalismanRing]

Fandango - counting the old fashioned way

 

THURSDAY

 

WW: 46 (10am), 125 (5pm)
SM:HC - 49avg (9am), 110 (12pm), 138( 1pm) 174 (3:50pm), 216 (5:20pm)
IT: - 25 (8:20am) 41(9am) 102 (12:20pm) 140 (1pm) 186 (4:50pm)
Thor:R - 103 (12:15) 112 (1:15pm), 145 (4pm) 175 (4:50)
JL: 45.2 (10.am), 78 (12pm), 92 (1:30pm), 103 (3:30pm), 124 (4:15pm), 145 (5:30pm), 156 (7:45)
TLJ  - 275 (10:45am)
BP - 244 (2:30)
A:IW -  240 (11:15am), 305 (3pm)

 

DP2:  55 (9:30 am), 60 (10am), 98.75 (12pm), 165.5 (3:20pm), 206 (5:20)

 

Edited May 17, 2018 by TalismanRing

[DAJK]

I always thought buzz felt really strong for Deadpool. Don’t see how it doesn’t at least come close to 20M previews

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

I always thought buzz felt really strong for Deadpool. Don’t see how it doesn’t at least come close to 20M previews

I don;t know.  Looking more like $15-17m so far to me.

[IceFire9yt]

I feel like we've been spoiled by Black Panther and Infinity War.  20M previews is hard to get.  None of the 2017 CBMs got there, not even GOTG2.

[Porthos]

RIP 100m for AWiT.  Again:

 

Quote

22

8

A Wrinkle in Time

Buena Vista

230

-1,754

-88.4%

-

-

-

-

1

 

Chart:

 

Quote

Rank	LW	Title	Distributor	Theater Count	Change	% Change	Est. Screens	Change	Est. Shows	Change	Week #
> NEW RELEASES
1	-	Deadpool 2	Fox	4,349	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
4	-	Show Dogs	Global Road	3,145	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
5	-	Book Club	Paramount	2,781	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
19	-	Pope Francis - A Man of His Word	Focus Features	346	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
45	-	First Reformed	A24	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
46	-	On Chesil Beach	Bleecker Street	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
47	-	That Summer	IFC	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
18	24	RBG	Magnolia	375	+196	+109.5%	-	-	-	-	3
29	39	The Rider	Sony Classics	90	+5	+5.9%	-	-	-	-	6
35	82	Beast	Roadside Attractions	31	+27	+675.0%	-	-	-	-	2
37	98	The Escape	IFC	29	+27	+1,350.0%	-	-	-	-	2
39	55	Death Wish (2018)	MGM	25	+2	+8.7%	-	-	-	-	12
43	79	The Seagull	Sony Classics	13	+7	+116.7%	-	-	-	-	2
> NO CHANGE
3	2	Life of the Party	Warner Bros. (New Line)	3,656	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
6	6	Breaking In (2018)	Universal	2,537	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
27	33	102 Not Out	Sony / Columbia	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
34	47	Pandas	Warner Bros.	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	7
> DECLINING
2	1	Avengers: Infinity War	Buena Vista	4,002	-472	-10.5%	-	-	-	-	4
7	3	A Quiet Place	Paramount	2,327	-817	-26.0%	-	-	-	-	7
8	7	Overboard (2018)	Pantelion	1,820	-186	-9.3%	-	-	-	-	3
9	4	I Feel Pretty	STX Entertainment	1,505	-1,353	-47.3%	-	-	-	-	5
10	5	Rampage (2018)	Warner Bros. (New Line)	1,466	-1,082	-42.5%	-	-	-	-	6
11	11	Black Panther	Buena Vista	935	-435	-31.8%	-	-	-	-	14
12	12	Tully (2018)	Focus Features	668	-688	-50.7%	-	-	-	-	3
13	10	Super Troopers 2	Fox	478	-901	-65.3%	-	-	-	-	5
14	14	Blockers	Universal	438	-673	-60.6%	-	-	-	-	7
15	17	Sherlock Gnomes	Paramount	419	-189	-31.1%	-	-	-	-	9
16	16	Ready Player One	Warner Bros.	388	-416	-51.7%	-	-	-	-	8
17	13	Truth or Dare	Universal	379	-890	-70.1%	-	-	-	-	6
20	15	Isle Of Dogs	Fox Searchlight	288	-758	-72.5%	-	-	-	-	9
21	18	I Can Only Imagine	Roadside Attractions	274	-155	-36.1%	-	-	-	-	10
22	8	A Wrinkle in Time	Buena Vista	230	-1,754	-88.4%	-	-	-	-	11
23	20	Chappaquiddick	Entertainment Studios	150	-167	-52.7%	-	-	-	-	7
24	25	Tomb Raider	Warner Bros.	134	-26	-16.3%	-	-	-	-	10
25	26	Game Night	Warner Bros. (New Line)	121	-37	-23.4%	-	-	-	-	13
26	21	Tyler Perry's Acrimony	Lionsgate	116	-141	-54.9%	-	-	-	-	8
28	22	The Miracle Season	Mirror/LD	101	-133	-56.8%	-	-	-	-	7
30	19	Traffik	Lionsgate	81	-300	-78.7%	-	-	-	-	5
31	28	The Death of Stalin	IFC	56	-71	-55.9%	-	-	-	-	11
32	42	God's Not Dead: A Light in Darkness	Pure Flix	45	-22	-32.8%	-	-	-	-	8
33	27	Lean on Pete	A24	44	-85	-65.9%	-	-	-	-	7
36	44	Finding Your Feet	Roadside Attractions	30	-31	-50.8%	-	-	-	-	8
38	43	The Leisure Seeker	Sony Classics	29	-38	-56.7%	-	-	-	-	22
40	41	Beirut	Bleecker Street	15	-52	-77.6%	-	-	-	-	6
41	54	Strangers: Prey at Night	Aviron	15	-9	-37.5%	-	-	-	-	11
42	53	Final Portrait	Sony Classics	14	-10	-41.7%	-	-	-	-	9
44	60	Ghost Stories	IFC	9	-7	-43.8%	-	-	-	-	5

 

edit:

 

Preliminary theater count for Solo:

 

Quote

1

-

Solo: A Star Wars Story

Buena Vista

4,200

-

-

1

 

Edited May 17, 2018 by Porthos

[WrathOfHan]

Fuck me AQP is losing a lot of theaters  

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

RIP 100m for AWiT.  Again:

 

 

Wonder if Disney gave up after the Mothers Day expansion didn't get it to 98M, or if they will try again with Solo.

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Wonder if Disney gave up after the Mothers Day expansion didn't get it to 98M, or if they will try again with Solo.

Doubt it with Solo with IW and DP2 in so many screens.  Maaaaaaaaybe Father's Day?  Works thematically at least.  Still not that likely though, I would think.  Especially with AWiT out on home video.

 

======

 

As for Solo, preliminary TCs for the other Disney-era SW films, with the final in parentheses:

 

TFA: 3,900 (4,134)

R1:  4,000 (4,157)

TLJ: 4,100 (4,232)

 

Suspect the screen crunch going on with DP2 and a still very successful IW is causing Disney to expand the playing field a bit more than the other three films.

 

 

[grim22]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Doubt it with Solo with IW and DP2 in so many screens.  Maaaaaaaaybe Father's Day?  Works thematically at least.  Still not that likely though, I would think.  Especially with AWiT out on home video.

 

======

 

As for Solo, preliminary TCs for the other Disney-era SW films, with the final in parentheses:

 

TFA: 3,900 (4,134)

R1:  4,000 (4,157)

TLJ: 4,100 (4,232)

 

Suspect the screen crunch going on with DP2 and a still very successful IW is causing Disney to expand the playing field a bit more than the other three films.

 

 

I always felt 2M was the magic figure from Mother's Day expansion which would make the final push worth it. Most movies pushed to 100M start at 98M and take the next 6 weeks being pushed slowly over the line. Anything below 98M would make for a very embarrassing final push, but great spectacle for box office watchers.

[DAJK]

@WrathOfHan where’s your theatre’s DP update with comps?

[WrathOfHan]

37 minutes ago, DAJK said:

@WrathOfHan where’s your theatre’s DP update with comps?

Head into the weekend thread  

[Deja23]

DP2 has sold similar number of tickets as Black Panther and IW at the same point in time at my theater and will likely end up selling more tickets by the end of the night. But it also has more showings than both BP and IW, with 12 Thursday showings to BP’s 10 and IW’s 7 showings. That’s probably offset by the lack of 3D. It has 1 sell out, with 2 near sold out. Compared to the other 3 movies (IT, BP, IW) I’ve tracked, DP2’s later shows aren’t selling much, but maybe it’s more walk up friendly and they’ll end up filling up. I’m not it’ll get to $20m previews based on how it’s doing so far, but I’d love to be wrong. Hoping it can clear $140m OW, though I was set on $155m a week ago. 

[grim22]

Did Fandango provide any DP2 comps?

[Porthos]

Deadpool 2 Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: PREMIERE NIGHT - FINAL REPORT [5:30-6:30pm]

(sellouts for THIS REPORT ONLY includes ALL theaters with six or less seats left)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	3	169	8357	16490	49.32%

 

Total Sellouts Added Since 1pm:         3

Total Showings Added Since 1pm:      2 

Total Seats Added Since 1pm:         289

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:          1262

 

 

.61782x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at final report.

1.00358x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at final report.

 

NOTE:  DP2 is playing in 4-5 more theaters than Black Panther and Infinity War, respectively.  It also has 25 more reserved seating screenings than Black Panther and 4 less than Infinity War on Opening Night.

 

====

 

For the record, there were two screenings at exactly six seats left before the manual adjustment.  That gives a report of:

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	169	8369	16490	49.25%

 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Deadpool 2 Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: PREMIERE NIGHT - FINAL REPORT [5:30-6:30pm]

(sellouts for THIS REPORT ONLY includes ALL theaters with six or less seats left)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	3	169	8357	16490	49.32%

 

Total Sellouts Added Since 1pm:         3

Total Showings Added Since 1pm:      2 

Total Seats Added Since 1pm:         289

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:          1262

 

 

.61782x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at final report.

1.00358x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at final report.

 

NOTE:  DP2 is playing in 4-5 more theaters than Black Panther and Infinity War, respectively.  It also has 25 more reserved seating screenings than Black Panther and 4 less than Infinity War on Opening Night.

 

====

 

For the record, there were two screenings at exactly six seats left before the manual adjustment.  That gives a report of:

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	169	8369	16490	49.25%

 

 

Are colleges out in your area?

[Porthos]

11 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Are colleges out in your area?

May 23rd for one major college, June 14th for the other.

 

*checks*

 

The local community colleges ended yesterday though, so there is that.

Edited May 18, 2018 by Porthos
Put exact dates in

[TalismanRing]

56 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Did Fandango provide any DP2 comps?

I haven't seen any but Atom declared it better selling than A:IW -- it has a $4 ticket T-Mobile promotion.

 

Now will that promo bump previews and front load the w/e in a similar though lesser way than Suicide Squad