The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Valonqar]

23 minutes ago, Curtis1986 said:

Widows already in the top 5 on MC is a very good sign

It's Wednesday. The movie's coming out tomorrow. It makes sense that it popped up today. 

[Curtis1986]

Just now, Valonqar said:

It's Wednesday. The movie's coming out tomorrow. It makes sense that it popped up today. 

True but a lot of movies dont show up until Thursday. This bonds well for the high end of tracking 

[Valonqar]

Just now, Curtis1986 said:

True but a lot of movies dont show up until Thursday. This bonds well for the high end of tracking 

yes I'm just putting things into perspective. Also, since high end of tracking is 15-17M, that's exactly what people here predict. So nothing out of ordinary. 

[el sid]

Pulse always 8:50-9:04 EST:
Fantastic Beasts 2: 196/15 minutes
Widows: 27/15 - The Girl in the Spider's Web had 32/15 (almost) at the same time but on Thursday
Instant Family: 13/15
Ralph: 14/15
Creed II: 9/15
Robin Hood: 1/15

And Pulse always 11:05-11:19 EST:
FB 2: 309/15 - Bohemian Rhapsody had 201/15 minutes at that time before its release
Widows: 34/15 - Spider's Web had 42/14 at the same time but also on Thursday so Widows is way in front now, El Royale had 25/15 same day and time of the day
Instant Family: 14/15
Ralph: 23/15
Creed II: 21/15 - had 5 sold tickets last Wednesday at that time

Widows is improving since days so I also don't think that it will underperform. Instant Family seemed to improve too today but than it was again far behind Widows. I have no idea if that will be enough for the projected 16-20M opening (even with the expected strong walk-ups).

[DAJK]

Instant Family getting good reviews from critics makes me think audiences will really like it. I'm not saying it's going to be this year's Wonder, but I could see it surprising the same way Wonder did. 

 

Gonna go with 17/85

[TalismanRing]

Pulse (eye count) Average  over 5-10 minute periods

 

Fantastic Beasts 2:   13.6 (9am),  32.75 (1pm)

Widows:  1.8, (9am),  2.66  avg (1:10pm)

Instant Family:  .866 (9am), 2.33 (1:10pm)

 

Comps (Wed)

 

Thor:R:  35 (9:55am), 49 (3:40), 47 (4:10pm)

JL:  26.5 (9:10), 27 (10:10am), 37.2 (12:25), 36.6 (4:10pm), 47 (5:30)

Black Panther: 107 (2:45pm) 

AIW:  85 (8:55am), 91 (9:10am) 157 (3pm), 200 (6:30)

Deadpool: 60 (6pm)

Solo:  51 (11:40am), 41.75  (4:30pm)

JW 2: 74.67 (8:30pm)

 

 

Daddy's Home:  1.4 (9:20am), 3.8 (8:10pm)

Wonder: 6 (9:10am),  9 (10:10am), 5 (4:10pm)

 

 

Edited November 14, 2018 by TalismanRing

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Fantastic Beasts

2. The Grinch

3. Bohemian Rhapsody

4. Fantastic Beasts IMAX

5. Widows

[WrathOfHan]

Tallahassee's Dolby split has been scheduled for next week: Ralph has it until the evening shows when Creed takes over. Beasts still has IMAX.

 

Also, Aquaman showtimes are up but not available to buy. Previews start at 5 PM, and the theater currently has it slotted for IMAX and a 2D/3D split (presumably in one of the biggest auditoriums).

Edited November 14, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[FantasticBeasts]

23 hours ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Fantastic Beasts Pulse Tuesday Until 2 p.m. 5.986 tickets across all formats.

Fantastic Beasts Pulse Monday Until 2 p.m. 3.023 tickets across all formats.

Seems like a nice increase BUT, there are screenings today so that's a nice little disclaimer. If the comparison remains the same till the end of the day, it will end Tuesday with 17.734 tickets. Comparisons are above considering that @TalismanRing counts all formants and we have the same source. (http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt)

8.703 until 14:00

[Cassidy]

6 hours ago, Valonqar said:

Profile - Upload Photo 

 

I did that.  I got an asterisks with one option that says *No Photo*. 

[FantasticBeasts]

2018-11-15 00:00:28.783090 UTC
1	22.3%	Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
2	22.1%	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
3	15.5%	Bohemian Rhapsody
4	4.4%	Overlord
5	4%	A Star is Born

 

So close... 

[Stewart]

On 5/24/2018 at 2:12 AM, Porthos said:

For historical purposes:

 

2018-05-24 01:00:58.637169 UTC
1	36.7%	Deadpool 2
2	32.8%	Solo: A Star Wars Story
3	8.2%	Book Club
4	8.1%	Avengers: Infinity War
5	2.2%	Life of the Party

2018-05-24 00:00:53.371185 UTC
1	38.1%	Deadpool 2
2	30.8%	Solo: A Star Wars Story
3	8.1%	Avengers: Infinity War
4	7.8%	Book Club
5	2.3%	Life of the Party

2018-05-23 23:00:44.857944 UTC
1	39.7%	Deadpool 2
2	27.9%	Solo: A Star Wars Story
3	8.6%	Avengers: Infinity War
4	7.4%	Book Club
5	2.5%	Life of the Party

Cheers @Porthos This is a somewhat good comp for FB2

 

NOTE: DP2 was much bigger than Grinch, however to compensate SOLO was much more presale heavy, so I'd say it's probably not a far off comparison for FB2

Edited November 15, 2018 by feasby007

[TalismanRing]

4 hours ago, Cassidy said:

I did that.  I got an asterisks with one option that says *No Photo*. 

You need 10 posts to create a thread, maybe you need 10 posts (or another #) before you can get a photo option

[Cassidy]

9 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

You need 10 posts to create a thread, maybe you need 10 posts (or another #) before you can get a photo option

Is there a link to a list of rules informing us?

[filmlover]

Box Office Pro:

 

Fantastic Beasts: $65M

Instant Family: $18M

Widows: $14.5M

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-fantastic-beasts-crimes-grindelwald-instant-family-widows/

[Litio]

MT

1	27%	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
2	20.8%	Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
3	14.1%	Bohemian Rhapsody
4	3.7%	A Star is Born
5	3.4%	Overlord

[MrGlass2]

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-11-14 21:58:13 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-11-14 22:00:00	1450	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald
2018-11-14 22:00:00	335	Dr. Seuss The Grinch (2018)
2018-11-14 22:00:00	325	Bohemian Rhapsody
2018-11-14 22:00:00	162	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald The IMAX 2D Experience
2018-11-14 22:00:00	147	Widows (2018)
2018-11-14 22:00:00	143	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald 3D
2018-11-14 22:00:00	102	Ralph Breaks the Internet
2018-11-14 22:00:00	96	Overlord (2018)
2018-11-14 22:00:00	93	Instant Family (2018)
2018-11-14 22:00:00	76	A Star Is Born (2018)

[Brinatico]

23 hours ago, Brinatico said:

Today FB2 sold 14,219 tickets. 

More than Venon and JW2 and near 3 times Antman

Well, well, well.

FB2 sold today 21,871 tickets for thous who were saying yesterday sales were inflate by fans screens.

 

[Welfin]

11 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

Well, well, well.

FB2 sold today 21,871 tickets for thous who were saying yesterday sales were inflate by fans screens.

 

Those numbers are below Solo. 

[Porthos]

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	131	11940	15717	24.03%

 

Total Showings Added Today:              7 

Total Seats Added Today:                 601

Total Seats Sold Today:                    492 

 

.3275x as many tickets sold as Infinity War one day before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.6370x as many tickets sold as Black Panther one day before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) 

.6370x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 one day before release (DP2 had 29 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

.7743x as many tickets sold as Solo one day before release (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

.9010x as many tickets sold as JW:FK one day before release (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

1.4318x as many tickets sold as AM&tW one day before release (AM&tW had 18 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

1.3705x as many tickets sold as Venom one day before release (Venom had 21 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: FINAL REPORT

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	6	563	1399	59.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                    n/a

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	11377	14318	20.54%

 

Total Showings Added Today:              7 

Total Seats Added Today:                 601

Total Seats Sold Today:                    492 

 

=========

 

T-1 Comps for other movies:

 

Black Panther:             650 tickets sold that day. 56.33% of all seats sold.   [4597/10526 seats left - 121 showings]

Infinity War:                738 tickets sold that day. 76.09% of all seats sold.   [3625/15159 seats left - 174 showings]

Deadpool 2:                835 tickets sold that day. 36.70% of all seats sold. [10226/16155 seats left - 166 showings]

Solo:                           377 tickets sold that day. 36.26% of all seats sold.   [8575/13453 seats left - 142 showings]

Fallen Kingdom:          768 tickets sold that day. 30.57% of all seats sold.   [9523/13715 seats left - 147 showings]

Ant-Man & the Wasp:  347 tickets sold that day. 24.21% of all seats sold.   [8258/10896 seats left - 112 showings]

Venom:                       498 tickets sold that day. 20.93% of all seats sold. [10414/13170 seats left - 122 showings]

Edited November 15, 2018 by Porthos