The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

You could charge $20 more for nothing other than the 60 minute head start and they’d easily sell out XD

I just caught this, but I can verify that statement.  My friend bought us tickets to the Fan Event, because, and I quote: "You and your spoilerphobia are not going to make it until 6PM."  

[HouseOfTheSun]

9 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

that 38 hour gap is now lost in translation 

A casualty of the snap

[HouseOfTheSun]

Utter domination on Pulse

[Porthos]

16 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

Fandango is back

[RealLyre]

Quote

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-04-02 21:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	51.050%	2042	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2	11.725%	469	Shazam!
3	07.375%	295	Us (2019)
4	06.775%	271	Avengers Endgame  (2019)
5	05.025%	201	Pet Sematary (2019)

 

@Thanos Legion at least Pet Sematary is in the top 5 here on Fandango's past 24 hours sales (in reality it's probably just the sales for last 2 hours  but it's still something 🙂)

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

@Thanos Legion at least Pet Sematary is in the top 5 here on Fandango's past 24 hours sales (in reality it's probably just the sales for last 2 hours  but it's still something 🙂)

It's absolutely just the last two hours.  But, yes, it is something.

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

It's absolutely just the last two hours.  But, yes, it is something.

Significantly less than two hours, probably, seeing as the 8pm number is way higher than the second one for every single movie. Pulse probably came back in the middle of an hour and those numbers were counted as full hour.

[Eric Atreides]

33 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

Fandango is back

Back to work I guess

 

[Premium George]

So small. I want my big numbers. 

[RealLyre]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Back to work I guess

 

 

is there a way to guesstimate how much Shazam did on Wednesday from the last 5 hours of pre-sales

 

[Eric Atreides]

2 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

 

is there a way to guesstimate how much Shazam did on Wednesday from the last 5 hours of pre-sales

 

[XXR vs XXR]

12 minutes ago, Premium George said:

So small. I want my big numbers. 

That's what she said....

[Poseidon]

I wouldn't be worried about Pet Semetary. The Nun entered MT with only 5,5% on Wednesday and this one didn't face Endgames Presales. 
PS being at #3 on Pulse without Endgame is pretty good.

 

Can't see it doing under $30m. 

[Legion Again]

41 minutes ago, Premium George said:

So small. I want my big numbers. 

“Don't you think that we should all have a weapon numbers like that?”

“No. You simply lack the strength to wield them. Your bodies would crumble as your minds collapsed into madness.”

Edited April 4, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Cap]

It is not pretty, but here is the raw data for AMC 25 for AEG OW.  I will retroactively make it more concrete with the next update.

 

Code:

 

N/A - No Showing

Sold Out - Sold Out

Front Row - Only Front Row

Front 2 Rows - Only Front 2 Rows

75+ - 75% Sold Out

50+ - 50% Sold Out

25+ - 25% Sold Out

>5 - Less Than 5% Sold Out

0 - Empty

 

AMC 25 (165 Showings)

 

Spoiler

	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
Dolby	4 Showings	5 Showings	7 Showings	7 Showings
2:00 AM	N/A	Front 2 Rows	75+	50+
6:00 AM	N/A	N/A	50+	25+
8:00 AM	N/A	75+	N/A	N/A
10:00 AM	N/A	N/A	Front Row	Front 2 Rows
2:00 PM	N/A	N/A	Front Row	Front Row
6:00 PM	Sold Out	Sold Out	Front Row	Front Row
10:00 PM	Sold Out	Sold Out	Front Row	75+
2:00 AM	Front Row	75+	50+	>5
AMC Prime 3D	2 Showings	6 Showings	6 Showings	6 Showings
4:00 AM	N/A	50+	0	0
8:00 AM	N/A	50+	75+	25+
12:00 PM	N/A	Front 2 Rows	Front 2 Rows	75+
4:00 PM	N/A	Front 2 Rows	Front 2 Rows	Front 2 Rows
8:00 PM	Sold Out	Sold Out	Front 2 Rows	75+
12:00 AM	Front Row	75+	50+	>5
RealD 3D	10 Showings	5 Showings	5 Showings	5 Showings
1:15 PM	N/A	>5	25+	>5
2:30 PM	N/A	25+	N/A	>5
3:30 PM	N/A	N/A	25+	N/A
5:15 PM	N/A	75+	25+	25+
6:15 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
6:30 PM	N/A	75+	N/A	>5
6:45 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
7:15 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
7:30 PM	N/A	N/A	50+	N/A
7:45 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
9:00 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
9:15 PM	N/A	75+	25+	>5
10:20 PM	75+	N/A	N/A	N/A
10:40 PM	75+	N/A	N/A	N/A
10:55 PM	50+	N/A	N/A	N/A
11:20 PM	50+	N/A	N/A	N/A
11:30 PM	25+	N/A	N/A	N/A
LIMAX	2 Showings	6 Showings	6 Showings	6 Showings
3:00 AM	N/A	75+	50+	25+
7:00 AM	N/A	75+	75+	50+
11:00 AM	N/A	Front 2 Rows	Front Row	Front 2 Rows
3:00 PM	N/A	Front 2 Rows	Front 2 Rows	Front 2 Rows
7:00 PM	Sold Out	Front Row	Front Row	Front 2 Rows
11:00 PM	Sold Out	Front Row	Front 2 Rows	50+
Standard	20 Showings	21 Showings	17 Showings	20 Showings
1:30 AM	N/A	>5	N/A	N/A
1:45 AM	N/A	>5	N/A	N/A
2:30 AM	N/A	>5	>5	0
3:30 AM	N/A	0	>5	>5
4:30 AM	N/A	0	>5	>5
5:00 AM	N/A	>5	>5	>5
5:30 AM	N/A	>5	>5	>5
6:30 AM	N/A	25+	N/A	0
7:30 AM	N/A	>5	N/A	>5
8:30 AM	N/A	25+	>5	>5
9:15 AM	N/A	25+	25+	>5
10:30 AM	N/A	25+	N/A	>5
11:30 AM	N/A	50+	75+	25+
12:30 PM	N/A	50+	50+	>5
2:30 PM	N/A	N/A	50+	N/A
3:30 PM	N/A	50+	N/A	25+
4:30 PM	N/A	75+	50+	25+
6:00 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
6:30 PM	Front Row	N/A	50+	N/A
7:00 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
7:30 PM	Front Row	Front 2 Rows	N/A	25+
8:15 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
8:30 PM	Front Row	Front 2 Rows	75+	>5
9:15 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
9:30 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
9:45 PM	Front Row	N/A	N/A	N/A
10:10 PM	Front 2 Rows	N/A	N/A	N/A
10:30 PM	Front 2 Rows	Front 2 Rows	25+	0
10:45 PM	75+	N/A	N/A	N/A
10:50 PM	50+	N/A	N/A	N/A
11:10 PM	75+	N/A	N/A	N/A
11:30 PM	N/A	N/A	>5	0
11:40 PM	50+	N/A	N/A	N/A
11:50 PM	50+	N/A	N/A	N/A
12:15 AM	50+	N/A	N/A	N/A
12:30 AM	>5	>5	0	0
1:00 AM	>5	N/A	N/A	N/A
1:15 AM	>5	>5	>5	>5

 

 

Edited April 4, 2019 by captainwondyful

[Porthos]

Avengers: Endgame Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-22 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	9	212	6394	22476	71.55%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today:            2

Total Showings Added Today:       11

Total Seats Added Today:           774

Total Seats Sold Today:             1107

 

Infinity War Comps:

2.6700x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after two day of pre-sales.

2.0224x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 22 days before release [Infinity War has 41 days of pre-sales compared to Endgame's 23 days]

1.0553x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night.

0.9357x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night at the exact same theaters in town.

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally, unless specifically noted otherwise.

 

IW (day 2):          541 tickets sold that day [1 sellout/106 showings | 5297/10500 seats left  | 49.55% sold]

EG (adj*) (day 2):  730 tickets sold that day [9 sellouts/212 showings | 4141/18033 seats left | 77.04% sold]

EG (exact**)(day 2): 667 tickets sold today    [9 sellouts/188 showings | 3261/15939 seats left  | 77.28 sold]

----

IW (T-22):    6869 tickets sold so far   [1 sellout/116 showings |    4256/11125 seats left  | 61.74% sold]  

IW (final):   13164 tickets sold at stop [59 sellouts/182 showings | 1195/15159 seats left  | 86.64% sold]

EG (adj*):   13892 tickets sold so far   [9 sellouts/212 showings   | 4141/18033 seats left  | 77.04% sold]

EG (exact**):  12318 tickets sold so far   [9 sellouts/188 showings   |  3261/15939 seats left  | 77.28% sold]

* EG (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

** EG (exact) is the number of tickets sold at the EXACT same theaters in town for a pure like-for-like comparison.

 

OTHER COMPS:

Spoiler

Captain Marvel:

Spoiler

 

9.4991x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel after two days of pre-sales. 

4.9165x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel 22 days before release. [CM had 58 days of pre-sales versus EG's 23 days]

1.5239x as many tickets sold as Captain Marvel at stop of tracking. 

 

CM (day 2):   195 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/69 showings  |  7855/9548 seats left   | 17.73% sold]

CM (T-22) :  3271 tickets sold so far   [2 sellouts/81 showings   | 7345/10616 seats left  | 30.81% sold]

CM (final):  10553 tickets sold at stop [1 sellout/92 showings    | 9439/19992 seats left  | 52.79% sold]

EG:            16082 tickets sold so far   [7 sellouts/201 showings | 6727/21702 seats left | 69.00% sold]

NOTE: I have the same sources of tracking info for Endgame as I did Captain Marvel, so the unadjusted comp is being used here, even though Endgame is playing in a couple more theaters locally. Check the main stat box for the number of tickets sold today if you want to compare it to the number of tickets Captain Marvel sold on its second day.

 

Selected Other Comps:

Spoiler

 

4.9774x as many tickets sold as Solo after two days of pre-sales.

1.7142x as many tickets sold as Black Panther at stop of tracking.

1.7081x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 at stop of tracking.

2.3997x as many tickets sold as Solo at stop of tracking.

2.2306x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom at stop of tracking.

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally.

 

Solo (day 2):  161 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/87 showings    |  6718/9348 seats left    | 28.13% sold]

BP (final):     8104 tickets sold at stop  [26 sellouts/136 showings |  3377/11481 seats left  | 70.59% sold]

DP2 (final):   8133 tickets sold at stop  [3 sellouts/169 showings  |  8357/16490 seats left  | 49.32% sold]

Solo (final):  5789 tickets sold at stop  [5 sellouts/143 showings   |  7732/13521 seats left  | 42.81% sold]

JW2 (final):   6228 tickets sold at stop  [1 sellout/147 showings    |  7487/13715 seats left  | 45.41% sold]

EG (adj*):   13892 tickets sold so far    [9 sellouts/212 showings   | 4141/18033 seats left   | 77.04% sold]

*EM (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

 

 

 

WEEKEND INFO: (all IW information is for 23 days before release)

Fri: 1 sellouts/240 showings [+1/+0] [IW: 0/214]

Sat: 0 sellouts/240 showings [nc]        [IW: 0/215]

Sun: 0 sellouts/230 showings [-1/-1] [IW: 0/209]

 

Sellouts:  9/212 [+2/+11] [2D: 8/169 | 3D: 1/43] [+2/7 | +0/+4]

 

Breakdown of seat information in spoiler box:

Spoiler

Reserved seating information: 184 screens [+11] [IW: 82 reserved seating info at same point in time]

 

100%:       9* [+2] [IW: 1]

90-95%: 33 [+1]  [IW: 10]

80-89%: 50 [+6]  [IW: 7]

70-79%: 26 [+3]  [IW: 17]

60-69%: 24 [+6]  [IW: 18]

50-59%: 14 [+1]  [IW: 5]

40-49%:   5 [-10] [IW: 6]

30-39%:   5 [+1]  [IW: 8]

20-29%:   7 [+2]  [IW: 3]

10-19%:   3 [-3]  [IW: 6]

0-9%:      10 [+2] [IW: 1]

 

* includes two sellouts from non-reserved seating showings

 

[Porthos]

Some perspective:

 

Comps:

Solo (day 2):       161 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/87 showings  |  6718/9348 seats left   | 28.13% sold]

IW (day 2):          541 tickets sold that day [1 sellout/106 showings | 5297/10500 seats left  | 49.55% sold]

EG (adj*) (day 2):  730 tickets sold that day [9 sellouts/212 showings | 4141/18033 seats left | 77.04% sold]

EG (exact**)(day 2): 667 tickets sold today    [9 sellouts/188 showings | 3261/15939 seats left  | 77.28 sold]

* EG (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for

** EG (exact) is the number of tickets sold at the EXACT same theaters in town for a pure like-for-like comparison.

 

Endgame still beat Infinity War even when the extra theaters playing it in the region are stripped out.  And not by a small amount.

 

Furthermore for an unadjusted comp:

CM (day 2):   195 tickets sold that day [0 sellouts/69 showings  |  7855/9548 seats left   | 17.73% sold] 

EG (day 2):  1107 tickets sold that day [9 sellouts/212 showings | 6394/22476 seats left | 71.55% sold]

 

Endgame sold 5.5x as many tickets in the region as Captain Marvel did on its second day.  Sure, it's playing in two more theaters in the region.  Still  a hell of a lot.

 

=====

 

So, yes.  Endgame is slowing down.  But only by comparison of its Day 1 of pre-sales.

(yes, this will in fact slow down to a 'reasonable' level for the preview night - mostly coz it's gonna run out of seats soon )

 

Edited April 4, 2019 by Porthos

[Biggestgeekever]

So even taking into account the higher number of theaters (something that I don't really think makes the comparison unfavorable anyway), Endgame should at least match Infinity War's final update at your town by tomorrow. Crazy stuff!

 

It really does feel like Endgame is gonna give us a good idea as to what The Force Awakens would have done on opening weekend if it released in summer.

[Porthos]

17 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

So even taking into account the higher number of theaters (something that I don't really think makes the comparison unfavorable anyway), Endgame should at least match Infinity War's final update at your town by tomorrow. Crazy stuff!

 

It really does feel like Endgame is gonna give us a good idea as to what The Force Awakens would have done on opening weekend if it released in summer.

I'd say three or four days. Maybe five if it really slows down to a more 'normal' pace for early pre-sales.

 

It's 846 tickets sold 'behind' right now, and it did 667 tickets at the equivalent theaters in the region today.  If it matches IW's pace exactly it should take six days if I checked my spreadsheet right.  So call it four days since it is doing better.

 

Either way, you main point is right on target, IMO. 

[TalismanRing]

Up way too early and just tossing around some maybe Wed #s just based on Fandango Pulse Monday's sales and it's % of sales for the last 4 hours

Monday, April 1

4 Hours (8pm-Midnight)/ 24 Hours/ %

 

US: 2,919 / 11,297 / 25.83%
Dumbo: 1,930 /8,947 / 21.57%
Shazam!: 1,687 / 5,099 / 33%
Captain Marvel: 1,305/6,340 / 20.5%
Pet Sematary: 637 / 2,116 / 30%

 

Wed, April 3
4 Hours (2019-04-03 8-Midnight CST)    

 

Avengers: 9,683 - if it did 21.57% to 33% like other films during it's 4 hours then  it did approx 30-45k on Wed
 
Shazam!: 1,977 - 17.19% higher --> 5,975
Pet Sematary: 777 - 21.9% higher ---> 2,579

 

US: 906
CM: 658
Dumbo: 527

 

Very small % jumps for the openers for Mon to Wed and it looks like holdovers are lagging as well on Fandango.  Avengers seems to have sucked up all the sales.  Let's see how Thursday goes.

Edited April 4, 2019 by TalismanRing