The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Legion Again]

CM went from about 68% of Us 24 hours ago to 85% now. Wonder if this portends a nice Wednesday drop or just MT being idiosyncratic.

[Matthew]

Shazam at 11.5%  now. Will likely beat Avengers Endgame today.

 

Also no Pet Sematary in MT.com yet?? 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

I’m not expecting much for Shazam but i’m not too worried of its performance in the US for two reasons that others have pointed out...

 

1.It has already earned 3.3M from these early screenings and those would probably go to previews and OD figures in any other case since I can only imagine that fans are mostly attending these screenings.

 

2.It has been marketed as a family film and these tended to be light on presales and thrive on walk ups.

 

It’s the OS numbers that have me worried.WoM does not seem as good as is it is in the US.

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, cax16 said:

200 million for the biggest marvel fillm of all time 10 years in the making. Man what a crappy position. Better shot at 300 than 200 OW

[excel1]

Infinity War is the most hyped; EG benefits from the finale factor no doubt, otherwise it would suffer similar fatigue to CIVIL WAR no doubt. 

 

Tough to say how high it will go but Thursday looks to be officially CRAY BIZ, though TBH they shroud really count this towards Thursday and not opening weekend..

[PenguinHyphy]

3 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

I don't have AQP's Thur numbers and only have my guesstimate for Wed but it looks to have fallen well behind AQP for now.   Horror though is a very late seller so we should know better late afternoon

 

A Quiet Place    (Mon) 2,177   (Tues)  4,003    (Wed) 10,665

 

A Quiet Place is not a great comparison to Pet Semetary. 

[TalismanRing]

25 minutes ago, PenguinHyphy said:

A Quiet Place is not a great comparison to Pet Semetary. 

I don't think so either.  It's a King re-make not an original work so it's pre-sales should be more frontloaded

 

It's the comp though I was specifically asked for.

 

Edited April 4, 2019 by TalismanRing

[TalismanRing]

Fandango Pulse: Noon EST

 

Avengers End Game: 12,899
Shazam!: 4,143
Pet Sematary: 1,986
CM: 1,007
Dumbo: 987
US: 895
The Best of Enemies: 329

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

20 minutes ago, PenguinHyphy said:

A Quiet Place is not a great comparison to Pet Semetary. 

 

It is far better than US.

 

AQP was a bit front-loaded (for an original movie) during the OW, generating 11.7x from previews.

 

US was a different beats, it generated a 9.7x which is almost unheard of for an original Horror movie and it’s almost the same multiple that IT generated, despite grossing half the previews, and not having a storm hurting the weekend.

 

Considering that PS has nowhere the same buzz/urgency as US, I would say it will play much more similar to AQP than to US during the OW.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I don't think so either.  It's a King re-make not an original work so it should be more frontloaded

 

It's the comp though I was specifically asked for.

 

SK’s fanbase isn’t bigger than Peele post GO to generate a bigger fanboy rush, imo. 

[RealLyre]

11 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango Pulse: Noon EST

 

Avengers End Game: 12,899
Shazam!: 4,143
Pet Sematary: 1,986
CM: 1,007
Dumbo: 987
US: 895
The Best of Enemies: 329

Shazam should be able to pass Dumbo's 16k and Glass's 17k Thursday numbers today , right 

Edited April 4, 2019 by RealLyre
.

[TalismanRing]

It might have a better preview to o/w ratio but I meant front loaded in that the pre-sales seemed to have started well for it but didn't build as much during the week compared to AQP

 

If any one can pull the fandango numbers for Thur for AQP, Glass, US and Hereditary that would be great since all we'll have are Mon & Thur full numbers for comps 

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Overlord	299	605	1,599	4,522
Glass	3,106	3,978	6,478	17,810
US	10,742	13,597	27,634	39,514

Pet Sematary

2,116

Edited April 4, 2019 by TalismanRing

[kitik]

6 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

SK’s fanbase 

 

Stephen King's fanbase has seen like literally a hundred different adaptations of his work.

 

A new movie based on a SK book is absolutely nothing special.

 

That said, if this movie is good, horror fans will go see it and support it.

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

Shazam should be able to pass Dumbo's 16k and Glass's 17k Thursday numbers today , right 

Maybe though it's starting shows at 4pm so not a direct comp for either even if the genres were more compatible

[Tom Swelling]

8 hours ago, Porthos said:

Fandango Sales Past 24 8 Hours
Since: 2019-04-03 03:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	54.965%	12426	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2	13.323%	3012	Shazam!
3	07.732%	1748	Avengers Endgame  (2019)
4	05.304%	1199	Pet Sematary (2019)
5	05.127%	1159	Us (2019)
6	03.782%	855	Captain Marvel (2019)
7	02.751%	622	Dumbo (2019)
8	00.730%	165	The Best of Enemies
9	00.694%	157	Unplanned (2019)
10	00.659%	149	Five Feet Apart

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Well, seven and a fraction.  But that's just quibbling.

 

Please do you have the link? 

[el sid]

As much as I missed Pulse, today the counting was frustrating. I think Avengers: Endgame is still distracting way too much attention from the rest of the films to get normal results.

Pulse 8:50-9:04 EST:
 

Shazam!: 175/15 minutes – Captain Marvel (153.4M OW) had 859/15 same day and daytime
Pet Sematary: 105/15 – Escape Room (18.2M OW) had 36/15, Us (71.1M OW) 404/15, both same day and time of the day. I have no Halloween numbers (76.2M OW) because I was dumb enough not to count this movie on Thursday back then but Halloween's Wednesday number was 158/15 and extrapolated onto its Pulse whole day number - it jumped 67% from Wednesday to Thursday - would mean Halloween had ca. 264/15 on Thursday at that time; so compared to Halloween (probably the best movie for comparisons) it looks quite good for PS
The Best of Enemies: 11/15
 

And Pulse 10:35-10:49 EST:
 

Shazam!: 322/15 minutes – Captain Marvel had around 1.500/15 same day and time of the day; that seems low for Shazam but OTOH it doubled its sales in less than two hours. As I said above, probably Avengers: Endgame is still to blame but more and more fans of Shazam seem to appear at Pulse 
Pet Sematary: 152/15 – Escape Room had 80/15, Us 717/15, both same day and time of the day; compared to ER it would have ca. 35M OW, compared to (the very presales-heavy) Us it would only get 16M; I still see it closer to 25-30M given these strange couting circumstances and also because of the good reviews
The Best of Enemies: 23/15 – also a good improvement in only two hours but still a bit muted

 

[Matthew]

2 minutes ago, Tom Swelling said:

Please do you have the link? 

http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_past24hours.txt

 

This is for 24hr.

[RealLyre]

8 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

It might have a better preview to o/w ratio but I meant front loaded in that the pre-sales seemed to have started well for it but didn't build as much during the week compared to AQP

 

If any one can pull the fandango numbers for Thur for AQP, Glass, US and Hereditary that would be great since all we'll have are Mon & Thur full numbers for comps 

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Overlord	299	605	1,599	4,522
Glass	3,106	3,978	6,478
US	10,742	13,597	27,634

Pet Sematary

2,116

Glass Thursday was 17810 and Us was 39514.. 

[Premium George]

2 minutes ago, Tom Swelling said:

Please do you have the link? 

All links are on front page of this thread.

http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_past24hours.txt

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

13 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

It might have a better preview to o/w ratio but I meant front loaded in that the pre-sales seemed to have started well for it but didn't build as much during the week compared to AQP

 

If any one can pull the fandango numbers for Thur for AQP, Glass, US and Hereditary that would be great since all we'll have are Mon & Thur full numbers for comps 

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Overlord	299	605	1,599	4,522
Glass	3,106	3,978	6,478
US	10,742	13,597	27,634

Pet Sematary

2,116

Yeah, but you need to take in account that AQP had weaker presales before the release week, it had more room to increase than a movie that had better presales.