Mamma! Mia: Here! We! Go! Again! | July 20, 2018 | Universal | Ol Parker to write and direct | Greatest Title of All Time? Yes.

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Let's also ignore that Mamma Mia has already been on Pulse top 5 and Equalizer hasn't.

Mamma Mia! isn't in the top 5 rn  I also expect this to be more frontloaded than The Equalizer on its OW.

Edited July 17, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Wrath]

14 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Not when Denzel is also looking at a potential 40M opening.

Oh, is Denzel going to catch Mama Mia on opening night?

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Wrath said:

Oh, is Denzel going to catch Mama Mia on opening night?

I have Meryl winning Thursday but Denzel winning the weekend 🤔

[Alli]

I think Equalizer will do good, but Mamma Mia will explode

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Mamma Mia! isn't in the top 5 rn  I also expect this to be more frontloaded than The Equalizer on its OW.

 

Mamma Mia:

 

 

Equalizer:

 

 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I have Meryl winning Thursday but Denzel winning the weekend 🤔

This will not end well for you once again. Surrender now, child.

Edited July 17, 2018 by filmlover

[Barnack]

26 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

On Pulse, it's running 80% ahead of Soldado (34.2M) and doing 2.4x what Skyscraper was (59.8M). Considering Soldado has shitty WOM affecting it, I have a hard time seeing The Equalizer open under 35M. I also expect it to be less presales based, but we'll see.

It a sequel, it should be way more pre-sales than Skyscraper and maybe a bit less than Soldado (we can expect better internal hold with better word of mouth).

 

Not a lot of denzel franchise movie to look at, Mag 7 being pretty much is only one, no sequel before. Easy to imagine the movie making a weaker multi than Mag7 but still going over 90m, needing a 37-40m type debut for that.

 

Last 24 hours Fandango sales:

 

Hotel Tr	13152
Ant-Man	10701
Skyscrap	5981
Incredib	5709
Jurassic	4897
MammaMi	4246
The Firs	3441
The Equa	1618
Sorry to	1522

 

Mamma mia should be much more pre-sales and previews driven, it is a much much more hyped fan based affair, but it is running at a 2.6:1 sales ratio.

 

 

Edited July 17, 2018 by Barnack

[WrathOfHan]

5 minutes ago, Barnack said:

It a sequel, it should be way more pre-sales than Skyscraper and maybe a bit less than Soldado (we can expect better internal hold with better word of mouth).

 

Not a lot of denzel franchise movie to look at, Mag 7 being pretty much is ony one, no sequel before. Easy to imagine the movie making a weaker multi than Mag7 but still going over 90m, needing a 37-40m type debut for that.

 

Last 24 hours Fandango sales:

 

Hotel Tr	13152
Ant-Man	10701
Skyscrap	5981
Incredib	5709
Jurassic	4897
MammaMi	4246
The Firs	3441
The Equa	1618
Sorry to	1522

 

Mamma mia should be much more pre-sales and previews driven, it is a much much more hyped fan based affair, but it is running at a 2.6:1 sales ratio.

 

 

🤔

[DAJK]

Mama Mia's gonna do something crazy like 4.5-5M previews, but will end up with around 35-41 for the weekend I think. Equalizer will be more stable throughout the weekend, with maybe 3M previews and around 30 for the weekend. 

[Nova]

Han trying to rationalize Equalizer 2 opening over the greatest movie of all time, Mamma Mia 2 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

Mama Mia's gonna do something crazy like 4.5-5M previews, but will end up with around 35-41 for the weekend I think. Equalizer will be more stable throughout the weekend, with maybe 3M previews and around 30 for the weekend. 

The multiplier probably won't be that frontloaded considering how old this is gonna skew for the most part. I'm thinking a multiplier similar to Ocean's 8 (which $4M in previews plus $11.8M for Friday for an entire weekend of $41.6M).

[The Panda]

Mom’s don’t necessarily frontloaded.  This is mom movie, mom movie has good multi.

[Alli]

6 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

Mom’s don’t necessarily frontloaded.  This is mom movie, mom movie has good multi.

examples? i can't find the numbers for the first one

Edited July 17, 2018 by Alli

[MrGlass2]

13 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Equalizer will be more stable throughout the weekend, with maybe 3M previews and around 30 for the weekend. 

Equalizer fans will rush on opening day... to see Mama Mia.

[Alli]

omg i just realized MM 1 was released 10 years ago. I thought it was newer. and it adjusts to 183M.  with the good reviews it got, i wouldn't be surprised if this one doesn't do at least 230M.

Edited July 17, 2018 by Alli

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Equalizer fans will rush on opening day... to see Mama Mia.

I mean....that’s what I’m going to do soooo 

[FantasticBeasts]

I wonder whether @Pandamia! knows that this one ain't shot in Greece. Maybe you should change your avatar to a Croatian flag.

Unless you are going by what the film says but I am pretty sure that a "Kalokairi" island does not exist.  

[FantasticBeasts]

Btw, does anyone know how the first one's overseas sum adjusts with today's ticket price and exchange rates into account?

[Alli]

[Barnack]

5 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Btw, does anyone know how the first one's overseas sum adjusts with today's ticket price and exchange rates into account?

Adjusting oversea box office in ticket price/individual market exchange rate change must be not too easy to do, that thread is a good resource to do it too, @Jason made a lot of work on this subject, with a lot of market having a 2007-2009 ticket price :