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WEEKEND THREAD | 3-DAY ESTIMATES: Pirates - 62M ; Baywatch - 18M; Alien - 10.5M (71% drop) like. F8 crosses 1B OS.

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Guardians 4-Day

 

2017/05/26 3 $5,375,096 +124% 3,871 $1,389   $318,691,023 22
2017/05/27 - $7,883,339 +47% 3,871 $2,037   $326,574,362 23
2017/05/28 - $7,648,686 -3% 3,871 $1,976   $334,223,048 24
2017/05/29 - $6,282,030 -18% 3,871 $1,623   $340,505,078 25

 

 

Vs Estimates

2 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2
Buena Vista

3,871
$5,322,000

+121.4% / $1,375
$318,637,927 / 22
$7,814,000

+46.8% / $2,019
$326,451,927 / 23
$7,505,000

-4% / $1,939
$333,956,927 / 24
$4,512,000

-39.9% / $1,166
$338,468,927 / 25
Edited by wileECoyote
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2 hours ago, a2knet said:

POTC5 goes up to 78.2 from 77.0...i hope it's a sign of good more decent things.

 

$55.5M global MON for #Pirates5 putting total at $326M led by 4day grosses of $92.3M in China & $78.2M in NorthAmerica.

 

78.5 :insane:

 

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
2017/05/26 1 $23,567,874   4,276 $5,512   $23,567,874    1
2017/05/27 1 $20,335,475   -14% 4,276 $4,756   $43,903,349 2
2017/05/28 1 $19,079,904 -6% 4,276 $4,462   $62,983,253 3
2017/05/29 1 $15,493,514 -19% 4,276 $3,623   $78,476,767 4
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6 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Actuals for all 4 days are up now

 

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
2017/05/26 1 $23,567,874   4,276 $5,512   $23,567,874 1
2017/05/27 1 $20,335,475 -14% 4,276 $4,756   $43,903,349 2
2017/05/28 1 $19,079,904 -6% 4,276 $4,462   $62,983,253 3
2017/05/29 1 $15,493,514 -19% 4,276 $3,623   $78,476,767 4

 

Monday up over $1 million. WOM seems good and the runtime is short enough to not be a turn-off for audiences. Have to see how well it can hold against Wonder Woman, Mummy, and Transformers over the next three weeks.

Edited by redfirebird2008
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Just now, a2knet said:

 

78.5 :insane:

 

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
2017/05/26 1 $23,567,874   4,276 $5,512   $23,567,874    1
2017/05/27 1 $20,335,475   -14% 4,276 $4,756   $43,903,349 2
2017/05/28 1 $19,079,904 -6% 4,276 $4,462   $62,983,253 3
2017/05/29 1 $15,493,514 -19% 4,276 $3,623   $78,476,767 4

I mean, I know people expected more from this one but, all things considered, a 4-day just under $80M isn't bad especially if it does well OS. Does it still have a shot at $750M+ OS?

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4 minutes ago, wileECoyote said:

Guardians 4-Day

 

2017/05/26 3 $5,375,096 +124% 3,871 $1,389   $318,691,023 22
2017/05/27 - $7,883,339 +47% 3,871 $2,037   $326,574,362 23
2017/05/28 - $7,648,686 -3% 3,871 $1,976   $334,223,048 24
2017/05/29 - $6,282,030 -18% 3,871 $1,623   $340,505,078 25

 

Oh wow look..it did not drop 40% on Monday...so surprised :rolleyes::lol:

Edited by a2knet
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So far it looks like everything is coming in better than projected

 

    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $15,493,514 -19% 4,276 $3,623   $78,476,767 4
- (-) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $6,282,030 -18% 3,871 $1,623   $340,505,078 25
- (-) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $4,603,072 -26% 3,647 $1,262   $27,713,457 5
- (-) Alien: Covenant 20th Century Fox $2,768,611 -25% 3,772 $734   $60,205,331 11
- (-) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The L… 20th Century Fox $1,650,498 +9% 3,174 $520   $15,303,332 11
- (-) Snatched 20th Century Fox $1,106,907 -20% 2,658 $416   $41,364,783 18
- (-) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $735,188 +17% 1,342 $548   $169,718,129 60
- (-) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $550,442 +3% 1,076 $512   $501,014,183 74
- (-) The Fate of the Furious Universal $399,455 -26% 1,358 $294   $222,942,385 46
- (-) Lowriders BH Tilt $188,620 -23% 334 $565   $5,378,765 18
- (-) Gifted Fox Searchlight $133,237 -2% 380 $351   $23,761,037 53
- (-) Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony Pictures $95,851 -5% 362 $265   $43,711,826 53
- (-) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $56,585 +1% 165 $343   $17,175,396 60
- (-) Get Out Universal $50,170 -22% 188 $267   $175,292,780 95
- (-) Their Finest STX Entertainment $42,875 -5% 107 $401   $3,422,261 53
- (-) The Circle STX Entertainment $36,242 -12% 208 $174   $20,384,556 32
- (-) Born in China Walt Disney $34,985 +17% 230 $152   $13,463,168 39
- (-) Logan 20th Century Fox $28,208 -33% 159 $177   $226,110,895 88
- (-) Sleight High Top Releasing $6,595 -32% 49 $135   $3,921,025 32
- (-) Hidden Figures 20th Century Fox $4,191 -23% 29 $145   $169,316,326 156
- (-) Risk Neon $1,665 -7% 8 $208   $188,282 25
- (-) Phoenix Forgotten Entertainment Studi… $1,237 +2% 5 $247   $3,591,923 39
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Prometheus is partly responsible for Covenant having a mild OW (I'd still focus more on the marketing), however it's Covenant's quality and mismarketing that's causing the terrible legs and underperformance.

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28.2M Age of Ultron
27.2M Volume 2
20.0M Civil War

After catching up with CW on its 3rd week, now it's doing Ultron on its 4th. If GOTG2 drops less than 60% today, it's gonna start beating Ultron just like it did Civil War. Stiff legs huh...

CW is now just 37M ahead of GOTG2.

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12 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

I mean, I know people expected more from this one but, all things considered, a 4-day just under $80M isn't bad especially if it does well OS. Does it still have a shot at $750M+ OS?

 

If it does 165-170 dom, 170-175 Ch and 50-60 Japan, then that's 385-405,

needs 345-365 OS-Ch-Japan which is not impossible but a high number imo.

Thinking O/U 725.

 

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SMURFS 3

Domestic Box Office   $43,711,826  
International Box Office   $141,793,838  
Worldwide Box Office   $185,505,664

 

 

 

 

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That Monday drop for GV2 sticks out like a sore thumb. It's way worse than Ultron, Civil War, and IM2 which dropped 19%, 17%, and 21% respectively. Even TASM2 fell 19%

Just about right. Same class, same results.

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Similar legs as ultron gets guardians to about 390m. So far it has displayed better legs than ultron. So depending on how it holds against WW this weekend it will do 390m+

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4 minutes ago, HenryjRhetorics said:


Just about right. Same class, same results.emoji106.png

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the actual monday drop came in just in line with other CBMs : 18% vs 40% estimate

- (-) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $6,282,030 -18% 3,871 $1,623   $340,505,078
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13 minutes ago, HenryjRhetorics said:

28.2M Age of Ultron
27.2M Volume 2
20.0M Civil War

After catching up with CW on its 3rd week, now it's doing Ultron on its 4th. If GOTG2 drops less than 60% today, it's gonna start beating Ultron just like it did Civil War. Stiff legs huh...

CW is now just 37M ahead of GOTG2. emoji57.png

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37M? I think it's $68M ahead of GOTG2 340M vs 408M

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If GOTG2 does 401 and matches CA2's multplier, it will be insanity....insanity I tell you.

But I think 385-390 should happen - still great 2.63-2.66x multiplier

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From here on out, Ultron did 44M, Civil War with 41M which would bring GOTG2's projected range to 381-384M but I'm seeing better numbers. Should do 390. But the more important thing is, 380 is locked at this point with an outside chance of maybe even cracking the big 400M.

How WW and CU affect GOTG's 5th weekend can either make or break all these numbers.

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7 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Similar legs as ultron gets guardians to about 390m. So far it has displayed better legs than ultron. So depending on how it holds against WW this weekend it will do 390m+

It's probably going to diverge quite a bit thanks to Wonder Woman. I wouldn't be surprised if it dropped 60% or more since that's a textbook example of direct competition.

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37M? I think it's $68M ahead of GOTG2 340M vs 408M


I meant same 25th day total.

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15 minutes ago, a2knet said:

SMURFS 3

Domestic Box Office   $43,711,826  
International Box Office   $141,793,838  
Worldwide Box Office   $185,505,664

 

 

 

 

Took the kids today for $2/Tuesday...was an okay movie...passed the time enjoyably.  I gave it a C+, since "the care bear stare" equivalent isn't exactly a plot climax answer to rely on...but the movie wasn't made for me...

My kids said "good for a kid movie, 8 out of 10, A-, and great" in age order...so, I'm not surprised this made money and was profitable, even if it took a worldwide save...

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