WEEKEND THREAD | 3-DAY ESTIMATES: Pirates - 62M ; Baywatch - 18M; Alien - 10.5M (71% drop) like. F8 crosses 1B OS.

[Finnick]

 

BATB $500M "CONGRATULAIONS"

 

Domestic Total as of May. 28, 2017: $500,563,435

[UNDERDOG]

So....

 

 

Is it safe to assume GOTG 2 makes below BvS's WW gross?
 

Does it have any other markets to open up in?

[John Marston]

Just now, UNDERDOG said:

So....

 

 

Is it safe to assume GOTG 2 makes below BvS's WW gross?
 

Does it have any other markets to open up in?

 

 

no

[ThomasNicole]

2 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

I love that this might reach 400M dom after all, completely deserving.

 

What's the range for the Worldwide number? Around 900M? I remember people talking during its OW how it might not even reach 750M WW or something. Nice to see it really did break out.

$ 900m is dead, but $ 850m is basically locked (more if it can reach $ 400m in USA).

[WrathOfHan]

Rest of Alien's run:

 

Remainder of this week: 6M (63.3M Total)

Jun 2: 4M (2M weekdays, 69.3M Total)

Jun 9: 1.6M (800k weekdays, 71.7M Total)

 

Final Total: 74M (2.05x)

 

This is going to scrap past a 2x. God fucking damn.

[TwoMisfits]

Well, I win one casino bet easily and lose the other easily...guess you can't be perfect:)...

 

I think the BO starts its turn around next weekend, but I wouldn't go TOO high on estimates...I see Father's Day play for both movies and good summer weekdays, so people aren't gonna rush quite like they normally do, especially if there isn't monetary reason to do it...so caution on high end numbers, especially still theater and screen counts are out is probably good (my locals still haven't decided on CU and it's Sunday)...

[Biggestgeekever]

Alien: Covenant is doing its best to make Godzilla and BvS look leggy.

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, UNDERDOG said:

So....

 

 

Is it safe to assume GOTG 2 makes below BvS's WW gross?
 

Does it have any other markets to open up in?

Yep, GV2 is ending with $830M-$850M WW.

Edited May 28, 2017 by YourMother

[TalismanRing]

9 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

I love that this might reach 400M dom after all, completely deserving.

 

What's the range for the Worldwide number? Around 900M? I remember people talking during its OW how it might not even reach 750M WW or something. Nice to see it really did break out.

 

It would need almost a 4.2 multiplier off this w/e (holiday inflated)  to hit $400m. Though Fathers Day might help soften next w/e drop I still don't see with all the big openers and it's going to start dropping theaters.  I think around $380-85m

 

 

Edited May 28, 2017 by TalismanRing

[ThomasNicole]

2 minutes ago, UNDERDOG said:

So....

 

 

Is it safe to assume GOTG 2 makes below BvS's WW gross?
 

Does it have any other markets to open up in?

Guardians it should do $ 850m, but if the movie still surprising it still could beat BvS, but barely.

 

Anyway, both grosses will be close.

[miketheavenger]

Congrats to BatB for passing 500m DOM and congrats to GotG2 for passing its predecessor DOM, OS and WW. Disney just doesn't miss.

[Ethan Hunt]

2 minutes ago, Robertman2 & Knuckles said:

what

Napoleon said Allegiant was the new Fury Road

[Blaze Heatnix]

I think Wonder Woman will probably destroy Pirates legs next weekend.

[grim22]

1 minute ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Alien: Covenant is doing its best to make Godzilla and BvS look leggy.

 

How does a movie collapse 71% over a holiday weekend?? It's pretty crazy for sure. 

 

As someone pointed out on WhatsApp, both Pirates and Alien would have done much much better if the previous installments never existed. Captain Jack returning after a long absence would have been huge instead of wasting that goodwill on Pirates 4 when it wasn't long enough between installments for nostalgia to kick in. Ridley Scott returning to Alien would also have been a huge deal if not for Prometheus.

[filmlover]

Just now, Blaze Heatnix said:

I think Wonder Woman will probably destroy Pirates legs next weekend.

It's likely gonna fall at least 55% from the 3-day frame either way.

[grim22]

1 minute ago, miketheavenger said:

Disney just doesn't miss.

 

Did you miss the opener this weekend?

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Guardians it should do $ 850m, but if the movie still surprising it still could beat BvS, but barely.

 

Anyway, both grosses will be close.

 

its 7 day OS gross was less than 20m. No way its going to make another 100m WW. It has opened everywhere.

 

Domestically it will be  hit hard next weekend by Wonder Woman.

[YM!]

Thinking Pirates might go sub XMA. It has a lot of competition second weekend and drop 60%.

[Cookson]

Not so sure Ridley's going to be able to finish the prequel-sequel Alien story now.... Terrible number.  

[kayumanggi]

15 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Guardians V2 keeps holding on like a beast. It beat the original in 4 weeks, despite being a sequel (thus, worse legs) and having much stiffer competition. Marvel just cannot comprehend the word "loss".

 

Alien proves that if Rotten Tomatoes and critics have any influence, it's opening weekend only (like a good marketing campaign, which is what ultimately good reviews come down to when it comes to the general audience - good marketing, and that's it), cause legs don't matter for shit. It's the Spielberg theory - the marketing team sells OW, the director sells the legs.

 

That was expected of it. POTC II made 400 M plus in 2006. TRANSFORMERS II made 400 M plus in 2009. The competition is not even stiff with releases after releases underperforming. Still, a finish of 370 M - 380 M is great for my summer game. lol

Edited May 28, 2017 by kayumanggi