WEEKEND THREAD | 3-DAY ESTIMATES: Pirates - 62M ; Baywatch - 18M; Alien - 10.5M (71% drop) like. F8 crosses 1B OS.

[WrathOfHan]

@Ethan Hunt I take it you're skipping GOTG in theaters? 

[baumer]

To put this into a little bit of perspective alien just dropped north of 70% on a holiday weekend which means it probably would have dropped about 75% on an on holiday weekend. Friday the 13th dropped 80% when it first came out not too far apart.

[Ethan Hunt]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

@Ethan Hunt I take it you're skipping GOTG in theaters? 

Yeah.

 

Pirates and Alien this week. Were always the two movies I was more looking forward to in may

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Ethan Hunt said:

Yeah.

 

Pirates and Alien this week. Were always the two movies I was more looking forward to in may

Why? It's a good film and better than POTC. Also, you said AVP is the only Alien movie you've seen, right? You're going to get nothing out of Covenant if you haven't seen Prometheus.

[boxofficeth]

I know we are only halfway through the long weekend, but with these estimates, it seems this is going to be the least attended Memorial Day since early 1990s...

 

Wonder Woman, SAVE THE BOX OFFICE!

[kayumanggi]

ALIEN: COVENANT

KING ARTHUR: LEGEND OF THE SWORD

BAYWATCH

 

Thank you for ruining my summer game. 

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Oh shit LMAO

Me if Ninjago does sub $100M domestic.

Edited May 28, 2017 by YourMother

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

historically I have never seen SH movies hold well when another one opens big. So that would be unprecedented. Plus I think it will lose many drive in theaters(double features with Pirates) as they will do WW double feature with something. It will drop hard for sure.

Deadpool held well against BvS if I remember correctly 

[cookie]

4 minutes ago, baumer said:

To put this into a little bit of perspective alien just dropped north of 70% on a holiday weekend which means it probably would have dropped about 75% on an on holiday weekend. Friday the 13th dropped 80% when it first came out not too far apart.

 

Friday the 13th at least had the excuse in that it was boosted by having both the titular date and Valentines in it's OW, so naturally it's 2nd weekend drop was going to be massive.

 

Alien probably would've done a bit better if it came out in August like it was supposed to. Wouldn't have any competition.

Edited May 28, 2017 by cookie

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Deadpool held well against BvS if I remember correctly 

 

It was in it's 7th w/e though and under $5m.  It's drop was good -38.9%  but the weeks before and after it dropped in the 20s.

[kayumanggi]

1 B overseas for FATE OF THE FURIOUS. 

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Deadpool held well against BvS if I remember correctly 

Ant Man also held good against F4 (but that was panned).

[Ethan Hunt]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Why? It's a good film and better than POTC. Also, you said AVP is the only Alien movie you've seen, right? You're going to get nothing out of Covenant if you haven't seen Prometheus.

Because I love the Pirates franchise and Alien actually had good marketing

[MrGlass2]

30 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Guardians V2 keeps holding on like a beast.

 

True, but worse drop than Iron Man 2 this weekend.

It has followed IM2 relatively closely.

[Ethan Hunt]

5 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Me if Ninjago does sub $100M domestic.

It will do half of Lego Batman

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Because I love the Pirates franchise and Alien actually had good marketing

Seriously, don't see Covenant without watching Prometheus. You might not get what you want from Alien as advertised. GOTG had shit marketing but it's a very enjoyable film.

Edited May 28, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[baumer]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

historically I have never seen SH movies hold well when another one opens big. So that would be unprecedented. Plus I think it will lose many drive in theaters(double features with Pirates) as they will do WW double feature with something. It will drop hard for sure.

 

Nonsense. What is "drop hard"?  It'll probably drop 52-55% next weekend and maybe another 50% the week after. After that it should recover nicely.

 

There's no doubt Wonder Woman will affect it but it's not going to crumble

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

. GOTG had shit marketing but it's a very enjoyable film.

Oh well. It'll wait for DVD

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

 

True, but worse drop than Iron Man 2 this weekend.

It has followed IM2 relatively closely.

WEEK NUMBER	Avengers: Age of Ultron	Captain America 2	Iron Man 2	Thor: The Dark World	Guardians of the Galaxy 2
1	$235,655,468 5-7-15 / 1 4,276 / 4,276 - $235,655,468	$117,608,171 4-10-14 / 1 3,938 / 3,938 - $117,608,171	$159,159,871 5-13-10 / 1 4,380 / 4,380 - $159,159,871	$108,511,114 11-14-13 / 1 3,841 / 3,841 - $108,511,114	$183,157,419 5-11-17 / 1 4,347 / 4,347 - $183,157,419
2	$97,515,340 5-14-15 / 1 4,276 / 4,276 -58.6% $333,170,808	$57,306,283 4-17-14 / 1 3,938 / 3,938 -51.3% $174,914,454	$65,504,932 5-20-10 / 1 4,390 / 4,390 -58.8% $224,664,803	$45,209,707 11-21-13 / 1 3,841 / 3,841 -58.3% $153,720,821	$83,580,055 5-18-17 / 1 4,347 / 4,347 -54.4% $266,737,474
3	$49,999,671 5-21-15 / 3 4,276 / 4,276 -48.7% $383,170,479	$33,925,762 4-24-14 / 1 3,825 / 3,825 -40.8% $208,840,216	$33,912,107 5-27-10 / 2 4,177 / 4,177 -48.2% $258,576,910	$21,898,969 11-28-13 / 3 3,286 / 3,286 -51.6% $175,619,790	$46,578,453 5-25-17 / 2 4,347 / 4,347 -44.3% $313,315,927
ADVERTISEMENT (scroll to continue with chart)

 

 

[baumer]

9 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

ALIEN: COVENANT

KING ARTHUR: LEGEND OF THE SWORD

BAYWATCH

 

Thank you for ruining my summer game. 

Yes you and me both LOL Although we are lucky that alien and Baywatch were taken by almost everybody in the game to finish in the top 15.