SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY | 179.1 M overseas ● 392.9 M worldwide

[FantasticBeasts]

8 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Seriously OS could be under $200M???

With those numbers it's more likely than not.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Just now, FantasticBeasts said:

With those numbers it's more likely than not.

Woah I wonder if it can as low as Star Trek Beyond's OS numbers.

[KP1025]

1 hour ago, NCsoft said:

About 165-170M OS in total? That would be hilarious....

That would be under Paddington 2, Tomb Raider, Peter Rabbit, Maze Runner 3, Pacific Rim 2, and Fifty Shades Freed just to name some films from earlier this year. 

 

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

That would be under Paddington 2, Tomb Raider, Peter Rabbit, Maze Runner 3, Pacific Rim 2, and Fifty Shades Freed just to name some films from earlier this year. 

 

tbf to Solo, it's doing these numbers with no large amount from any market.

 

In comparison, Padd 2 + Peter had massive UK backing; TR and PR2 had large China backing.

 

That's just about the only way to spin this positively for SOLO

[KP1025]

5 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

tbf to Solo, it's doing these numbers with no large amount from any market.

 

In comparison, Padd 2 + Peter had massive UK backing; TR and PR2 had large China backing.

 

That's just about the only way to spin this positively for SOLO

Yeah, I'm just shocked how there's probably not a single OS market where this is doing blockbuster numbers. Even Star Wars' biggest OS market U.K. doesn't seem to be doing more than $25 million at this rate.

Edited May 26, 2018 by KP1025

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Yeah the complete rejection by every market for Solo is fascinating. Like is there a single market where it's doing decent numbers?

 

Complete contrast to a month ago with Infinity War where nearly every market embraced it with open arms and some more.

[pepsa]

Hey Japan might suprise. It is its best shot atm.

That said it does seem to be doing a bit better. Projection from Italia is now -25% to -40%.

Germany also had a good Friday (although it might be over estimated)

[Legion Again]

38 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

tbf to Solo, it's doing these numbers with no large amount from any market.

 

In comparison, Padd 2 + Peter had massive UK backing; TR and PR2 had large China backing.

 

That's just about the only way to spin this positively for SOLO

When having 0 good markets is your positive spin 

[KeepItU25071906]

1 hour ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Seriously OS could be under $200M???

?!

 

I don't believe in it. 220-230, yes. Below 200 - too much.

Edited May 26, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[pepsa]

9 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

?!

 

I donb't believe in it. 220-230, yes. Below 200 - too much.

 

Well I woudn't be 100% sure about that 220m-230m

It seemed like the Fri in Germany was over estimited and it's looking more like 375k - 400k admission weekend, down + 60%

R1 had $524m OS let's take out China, that would mean $454m

45% from $454m = $204.3m

China Ow will be 10.5m and 18m total. So about $222.3m

But UK is looking at a drop of about 63% this weekend. No holidays and JW in 2 weeks.

DP2 second friday higher in Australia and N-Z. So it could easly go under that $220m. 

 

Still think that it will do around the number you are saying $220m - $230m, but under $200m isn't crazy at all.

[a2k]

Optimistically, if it does 2.8x the 3-day dom ow (inflated due to Sunday), gets to 250-260 dom depending on actuals.

So needs minimum 240-250 os for 500 ww.

 

240 dom + 210 os (folks are saying less...can't even wrap my head around that! Haven't looked at the numbers though) = 450 ww seems like a more achievable target. Would give a Dom-OS split of 53-47.

[Kramerica1975]

52 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Germany also had a good Friday (although it might be over estimated)

Not so much.

The weekend prediction by insidekino was even lowered today to a catastrophic 375,000 admissions.

 

Looking at France, also pretty bad numbers.

It is projected to enter the charts at #2, behind Deadpool 2 (second week), with 520,000 tickets sold in week 1.

Edited May 26, 2018 by Kramerica1975

[Stewart]

16 minutes ago, pepsa said:

 

Well I woudn't be 100% sure about that 220m-230m

It seemed like the Fri in Germany was over estimited and it's looking more like 375k - 400k admission weekend, down + 60%

R1 had $524m OS let's take out China, that would mean $454m

45% from $454m = $204.3m

China Ow will be 10.5m and 18m total. So about $222.3m

But UK is looking at a drop of about 63% this weekend. No holidays and JW in 2 weeks.

DP2 second friday higher in Australia and N-Z. So it could easly go under that $220m. 

 

Still think that it will do around the number you are saying $220m - $230m, but under $200m isn't crazy at all.

good analysis, however bolded bit is wrong

 

we have Bank Holiday on Monday, and kids are off school all of next week. However the bigger issue is the weather is still rather warm atm. Solo should have some nice (relative) holds over the week, but thereafter will likely crash and burn

[FantasticBeasts]

6 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

good analysis, however bolded bit is wrong

 

we have Bank Holiday on Monday, and kids are off school all of next week. However the bigger issue is the weather is still rather warm atm. Solo should have some nice (relative) holds over the week, but thereafter will likely crash and burn

Still those holidays do not compensate for the christmas run that RO had. The legs will be far worse for Solo.

[Stewart]

11 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Still those holidays do not compensate for the christmas run that RO had. The legs will be far worse for Solo.

oh trust me I know, just saying that the U.K. does have some "holiday" to soften the disaster. It will still make far far less than RO, but it's legs will be slightly better than the OW would normally indicate

[Thrylos 7]

The champions  league final will murder solo everywhere in Europe and esp. in Germany and England (and Spain obviously) this weekend. Take that into consideration when estimating weekend numbers and not just come into a conclusion based on the Friday grosses.

Edited May 26, 2018 by Thrylos 7

[Valonqar]

This is a surprise only because we all believed in strength of SW brand in traditional markets. otherwise, nobody asked for Solo story, Alden is a turn-off (there's no point comparing this to franchises without recast members), Gambino is not a star OS (I'm not even sure his song is helping dom boxoffice), TLJ soured everyone, so this had nothing going for it. 

[pepsa]

57 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

good analysis, however bolded bit is wrong

 

we have Bank Holiday on Monday, and kids are off school all of next week. However the bigger issue is the weather is still rather warm atm. Solo should have some nice (relative) holds over the week, but thereafter will likely crash and burn

 

Thanks for the correction!

[salvador-232]

Update from South America: In Perú is doing horrible,  no numbers until Monday though. In Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, and Paraguay is also doing badly, being second to Deadpool 2, In Argentina is third behind D2 and a local movie. In Argentina, Bolivia and Paraguay it is just barely above Infinity War 4th weekend... 

 

 

[Cookson]

Holy crap my Pacific Rim Uprising os total > Solo OS total is actually going to happen? And that's with Uprisings shitty China performance.