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CAYOM YEAR 2: PART 2 (Predictions)

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January:

January 6-8:

The January Gem

OW: 11.28m

Second Weekend Drop: -51.7%

Total: 29.53m

January 13-16 (MLK weekend):

My Winter Retreat

OW: 14.11m/16.3m

Second Weekend Drop: -59.6%

Total: 32.5m

January 20-22:

Bulletproof

OW: 25.33m

Second Weekend Drop: -48.7%

Total: 76.15m

January 27-29:

Throw Ted Into the Fire

OW: 8.2m

Second Weekend Drop: -62.5%

Total: 15.9m

I think January could use some fillers, Throw Ted Into the fire should not be opening alone

Edited by Electric
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First Number Is the OW (This includes the OW's that are longer than normal), second number is the total.

Q1:

January 6-8:

The January Gem -- 10.2M/27.3M

January 13-16 (MLK weekend):

My Winter Retreat -- 18.3M/30M

January 20-22:

Bulletproof -- 27M/68M

January 27-29:

Throw Ted Into the Fire -- 5M/10M

February 3-5:

ADAM -- 15M/29M

February 10-12:

The Perfect Gift -- 35M/90M

February 17-20 (President's Day weekend):

VR Net -- 23M/68M

The Whale -- 25M/72M

February 24-26:

Fifth Expert -- 16M/45M

March 2-4:

The Island -- 27M/80M

Pokemon: The Journey Begins -- 40M/116M

March 9-11:

S-L-A-V-E -- 35M/100M

March 16-18:

Epic Chase -- 18M/55M

March 23-25:

Headline -- 11M/28M

Yellowstone 3D -- 4M/7M

March 30-April 1:

Midnight: Revealed -- 28M/71M

First time I've done predictions, sorry if their bad!!!

Edited by darthdevidem01
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Woah.... that´s kind of bad for S-L-A-V-E. I really hoped for good numbers. Of course its a hard film to sell but I think it has something special.Edit: I hope people don´t see it as a period film like Braveheart or Robin Hood, since its more a fantasy oriented world.

Edited by SilverShark
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Woah.... that´s kind of bad for S-L-A-V-E. I really hoped for good numbers. Of course its a hard film to sell but I think it has something special.Edit: I hope people don´t see it as a period film like Braveheart or Robin Hood, since its more a fantasy oriented world.

I didn't do a specific write up for each film but I think SLAVE is one of them that has potential to break out big time if the buzz, reviews, WOM & marketing all get it right. So it could go much higher...
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Q2 Predictions:

April 6-8:

Judgment Day -- 10M/29M

April 13-15:

Sea Monsters' Invasion -- 25M/67M

PЯom -- 15M/40M

April 20-22:

Delta -- 16M/40M

Gorillas -- 8M/23M

April 27-29:

Mara, Daughter of the Nile -- 20M/50M

May 4-6:

Ant-Man -- 70M/190M (High because no other superhero movie in sight and a quiet spring meaning this has a big chance to be THE first event movie)

May 11-13:

Trader Haters -- 30M/76M

May 18-20:

Barbarians -- 45M/179M

May 25-28 (Memorial Day weekend):

Rivals -- 50M/140M

Meerkat's Adventures (46 Theaters- Limited) -- 1M/25M

June 1-3:

The Impact of Sir Roger the Alien -- 55M/160M

Meerkat's Adventures (249 Theaters- Expansion) -- 1.5M/25M

June 8-10:

Vengeance -- 45M/120M

Meerkat's Adventures (540 Theaters- Expansion) -- 2M/25M

June 15-17:

Time Keepers -- 20M/50M

Meerkat's Adventures (1034 Theaters- Wide) -- 3M/25M

June 22-24:

Union 51 -- 10M/21M

Meerkat's Adventures (1769 Theaters- Expansion) -- 5M/25M

June 29-July 1:

The War of the Worlds -- 26M/170M (Massive multiplier as I expect a great WOM along with how unique the film is it might have a true "event" style status and could bring the "musicals" back...)

Father's Quake -- 45M/115M

Edited by darthdevidem01
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Q3 Predictions

July 6-8:

Tuesday, July 3rd: Starcraft -- 130M/410M

July 13-15:

Marathon Men -- 35M/115M

July 20-22:

The Adventures of the Cosmos -- 50M/148M

July 27-29:

U.S.S. Seawolf -- 43M/120M

August 3-5:

New World Chronicles: His Story -- 55M/160M

A Lost Generation? (18 Theaters- Limited) -- 0.5M/26M

August 10-12:

The Witch of Blackbird Pond -- 25M/97M

A Lost Generation? (84 Theaters- expansion) -- 0.8M/26M

August 17-19:

The Few -- 27M/90M

A Lost Generation? (211 Theaters- expansion) -- 1.5M.26M

August 24-26:

Subway Nest -- 40M/135M

Exorcism of Jessica Winters -- 20M/38M

A Lost Generation? -- 1.8M/26M

August 31-September 3 (Labor day weekend):

Labor Day -- 11M/24M

A Lost Generation? (944 Theaters- Wide) -- 4M/26M

September 7-9:

Vampire Night -- 5M/11M

Red in the Night -- 6M/10M

September 14-16:

Scat -- 10M/21M

September 21-23:

Imperceptive -- 21M/89M

September 28-30:

Eternal Sleep -- 19M/58M

P.s. I have no idea about how to predict movies that have lots of "Expansions"...so just don't even take predictions of those movies into account.

Edited by darthdevidem01
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Q4 Predictions

October 5-7:

Hotel of the Lost -- 21M/38M

Halloweentown (3D) -- 30M/68M

October 12-14:

The 13th Night II: The Interrogation Room -- 6M/11M

October 19-21:

Martin/Martian -- 37M/102M

The Vast Dark Part Two: The Sacrament -- 25M/48M

October 26-28:

Simon Says -- 12M/29M

November 2-4:

Dragon Age: Darkness Over Ferelden -- 80M/310M

November 9-11:

Appian Way -- 30M/105M

November 16-18:

The Chronicle of Novara: The Stone of Armagon -- 67M/240M

Devotion -- 20M/45M

November 21-25 (Thanksgiving weekend):

Tim Burton's Little Demons -- 35M/130M (Opening will be helped partly by War Of The Worlds bringing Musicals back to the forefront..of course as long as War Of The worlds is a hit critically and commercially in actuals)

November 30-December 2:

Aerophobia -- 7M/21M

December 7-9:

Warcraft -- 78M/305M

December 14-16:

The Seafarer -- 55M/210M

December 21-23:

Wednesday, December 19th: Guardians of Life -- 85M/320M

December 28-30:

Tuesday, December 25th: Final Fantasy: Dawn of Souls -- 120M/405M

Edited by darthdevidem01
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Here the the budgets and studio lowest expectations for my films. My Winter Retreat- 13M budget/ 30M finishADAM- 22M budget/ 30M finishThe Whale- 16M budget/ 40M finishThe Island- 75M budget/ 80M finishMidnight: Revealed- 100M budget/ 100M finishPЯom- 35M budget/ 50M finishGorillas- 25M budget/ 20M finish (overseas is the main grosser)Mara, Daughter of the Nile- 20M budget/ 40M finishBarbarians- 140M budget/ 150M finishThe Impact of Sir Roger the Alien- 98M budget/ 110M finishUnion 51- 30M budget/ 40M finishThe Adventures of the Cosmos- 170M budget/ 165M finishThe Witch of Blackbird Pond- 35M budget/ 55M finishExorcism of Jessica Winters- 10M budget/ 35M finishVampire Night- 22M budget/ 25M finishScat- 12M budget/ 30M finishHalloweentown- 45M budget/ 65M finishThe 13th Night II: The Interrogation Room- 4M budget/ 25M finishMy Life to Waste- 30M budget/ 45M finishThe Chronicles of Novara: The Stone of Armagon- 180M budget/ 200M finishTim Burton's Little Demons- 50M budget/ 70M finishAerophobia- 40M budget/ 35M finishAnything under the finish line would be considered a disappointment or flop depending how far below it went.

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Midnight: Revealed should steal them for the year. CAYOM is very anti-vampire/werewolf films

There's 6 month gap between them. Devotion has a better release date IMO. I think both should succeed. There are to many sci-fi fantasies and they all do well. A couple of them should bomb. Edited by The Dark Alfred
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