June 23-25 Weekend Thread | TF5 45M, Cars 3 24.0, Wonder Woman 24.9 (10th highest 4th weekend of all time and biggest 4th weekend of 2017)

[grim22]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Transformers: The Last Knight	Par.	$45,300,000	-	4,069	-	$11,133	$69,095,489	$217	1
2	1	Cars 3	BV	$25,175,000	-53.1%	4,256	-	$5,915	$99,882,893	-	2
3	2	Wonder Woman	WB	$25,175,000	-39.0%	3,933	-85	$6,401	$318,380,158	$149	4
4	5	47 Meters Down	ENTMP	$7,435,000	-33.6%	2,471	+201	$3,009	$24,260,932	-	2
5	3	All Eyez on Me	LG/S	$5,850,000	-77.9%	2,471	-	$2,367	$38,642,319	-	2
6	4	The Mummy (2017)	Uni.	$5,836,900	-59.8%	2,980	-1,054	$1,959	$68,520,570	$125	3
7	6	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$5,239,000	-41.6%	2,453	-306	$2,136	$160,004,326	$230	5
8	7	Rough Night	Sony	$4,700,000	-41.3%	3,162	-	$1,486	$16,634,947	$20	2
9	8	Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie	Fox	$4,280,000	-40.4%	2,328	-640	$1,838	$65,743,176	-	4
10	9	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$3,000,000	-40.8%	1,468	-345	$2,044	$380,213,327	$200	8
11	15	Beatriz At Dinner	RAtt.	$1,817,550	+158.9%	491	+414	$3,702	$3,011,330	-	3
12	12	Baywatch	Par.	$1,458,000	-9.5%	480	-827	$3,038	$56,607,889	$69	5
13	11	Megan Leavey	BST	$1,216,000	-52.2%	971	-861	$1,252	$10,740,174	-	3
14	13	The Book of Henry	Focus	$936,995	-34.2%	646	+67	$1,450	$3,094,350	-	2
15	10	It Comes At Night	A24	$817,358	-68.6%	819	-1,631	$998	$13,060,526	-	3
16	14	Paris Can Wait	SPC	$612,057	-14.3%	408	-39	$1,500	$4,192,404	-	7
17	N	The Big Sick	LGF	$435,000	-	5	-	$87,000	$435,000	-	1
18	16	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$335,000	-41.0%	294	-106	$1,139	$73,328,461	$97	6
19	20	The Boss Baby	Fox	$330,000	+2.0%	241	-19	$1,369	$173,079,372	-	13
20	N	The Beguiled (2017)	Focus	$240,545	-	4	-	$60,136	$240,545	-	1
21	17	My Cousin Rachel	FoxS	$200,000	-62.3%	163	-368	$1,227	$2,430,675	-	3
22	21	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$153,000	-44.5%	191	-51	$801	$503,689,429	$160	15

[GiantCALBears]

3 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said:

There is no way there isn't any fudge in the recipe with that $69M estimate (given Paramount being... Paramount). Get the fuck outta here.

 

Also I'm with WrathofHan. I see sub-$100M for DM3 next weekend. It's a Part 3 following the tradition of the solid debut blockbuster that surprises everyone followed by the "HOLY SHIT, GET THE HELL OUTTA ITS PATH!" monster sequel. Countless examples: Batman Begins, Pirates, Shrek, First Blood, etc. The third installment always takes a dip (bigger than the original film but nowhere near the second). But the only thing is Minions (while was a spin-off/prequel) kinda served BO-wise as a third installment in that tradition (talking strictly domestically).

 

So... I have to wonder if DM3 will instead like a fourth installment, a la Shrek Forever After.

This isn't always true btw. No way it's going to be received anything like Shrek 4 sorry. 

[Chaz]

Just now, filmlover said:

I have Despicable Me 3 at a $92M weekend next weekend, which would actually be great given that Minions seemed to rub a lot of people the wrong way and the marketing hook for this one (Gru has a twin brother) is eh.

I don't understand why y'all keep saying things like this...the only thing that matters is how kids feel about the movie. I don't think kids left Minions feeling disappointed. 

[baumer]

40 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It's doing amazing for a film that just one year ago was destined to go straight to DVD. Between this, Sharknado, The Shallows, and next year's Meg, sharks are the new "in" thing for the industry.

 

47 m down has been available online for about a year. I saw it three months ago.

[grim22]

Title	Friday 6/23 (Estimates)	Saturday 6/24 (Estimates)	Sunday 6/25 (Estimates)	Monday 6/26
1	TRANSFORMERS: THE LAST KNIGHT Paramount 4,069	$13,800,000 +69.6% / $3,391 $37,595,489 / 3	$17,530,000 +27% / $4,308 $55,125,489 / 4	$13,970,000 -20.3% / $3,433 $69,095,489 / 5	N/A
2	CARS 3 Buena Vista 4,256	$7,570,000 +70.9% / $1,779 $82,277,893 / 8	$9,297,000 +22.8% / $2,184 $91,574,893 / 9	$8,308,000 -10.6% / $1,952 $99,882,893 / 10	N/A
3	WONDER WOMAN Warner Bros. 3,933	$7,380,000 +84.1% / $1,876 $300,585,158 / 22	$10,045,000 +36.1% / $2,554 $310,630,158 / 23	$7,750,000 -22.8% / $1,971 $318,380,158 / 24	N/A
4	47 METERS DOWN Entertainment Studios 2,471	$2,333,000 +88.5% / $944 $19,158,932 / 8	$2,752,000 +18% / $1,114 $21,910,932 / 9	$2,350,000 -14.6% / $951 $24,260,932 / 10	N/A
5	THE MUMMY (2017) Universal 2,980	$1,752,430 +63.7% / $588 $64,436,100 / 15	$2,402,630 +37.1% / $806 $66,838,730 / 16	$1,681,840 -30% / $564 $68,520,570 / 17	N/A
6	ALL EYEZ ON ME Lionsgate/Summit 2,471	$1,900,000 +75.3% / $769 $34,692,319 / 8	$2,325,000 +22.4% / $941 $37,017,319 / 9	$1,625,000 -30.1% / $658 $38,642,319 / 10	N/A
7	PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MEN TELL NO TALES Buena Vista 2,453	$1,598,000 +70.2% / $651 $156,363,326 / 29	$2,063,000 +29.1% / $841 $158,426,326 / 30	$1,578,000 -23.5% / $643 $160,004,326 / 31	N/A
8	ROUGH NIGHT Sony / Columbia 3,162	$1,575,000 +79.9% / $498 $13,509,947 / 8	$1,810,000 +14.9% / $572 $15,319,947 / 9	$1,315,000 -27.3% / $416 $16,634,947 / 10	N/A
9	CAPTAIN UNDERPANTS: THE FIRST EPIC MOVIE Fox 2,328	$1,475,000 +76.1% / $620 $62,938,176 / 22	$1,640,000 +11.2% / $704 $64,578,176 / 23	$1,165,000 -29% / $500 $65,743,176 / 24	N/A
10	GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2 Buena Vista 1,468	$882,000 +73.4% / $601 $378,095,327 / 50	$1,229,000 +39.3% / $837 $379,324,327 / 51	$889,000 -27.7% / $606 $380,213,327 / 52	N/A
11	BEATRIZ AT DINNER Roadside Attractions 491	$561,700 +648.3% / $1,144 $1,755,480 / 15	$725,925 +29.2% / $1,478 $2,481,405 / 16	$529,925 -27% / $1,079 $3,011,330 / 17	N/A
12	MEGAN LEAVEY Bleecker Street 971	$380,000 +66.7% / $391 $9,904,174 / 15	$492,000 +29.5% / $507 $10,396,174 / 16	$344,000 -30.1% / $354 $10,740,174 / 17	N/A
-	THE BOOK OF HENRY Focus Features 646	$310,980 +85.7% / $481 $2,468,335 / 8	$368,245 +18.4% / $570 $2,836,580 / 9	$257,770 -30% / $399 $3,094,350 / 10	N/A
-	IT COMES AT NIGHT A24 819	$261,260 +43.7% / $107 $12,504,428 / 15	$317,770 +21.6% / $388 $12,822,198 / 16	$238,328 -25% / $291 $13,060,526 / 17	N/A
-	BAYWATCH Paramount 480	$225,000 +73.2% / $469 $56,132,889 / 30	$284,000 +26.2% / $592 $56,416,889 / 31	$191,000 -32.7% / $398 $56,607,889 / 32	N/A
-	THE BIG SICK Lionsgate 5	$133,751 -- / $26,750 $133,751 / 1	$169,255 +26.5% / $33,851 $303,006 / 2	$131,994 -22% / $26,399 $435,000 / 3	N/A
-	ALIEN: COVENANT Fox 294	$100,000 +111.2% / $340 $73,093,461 / 36	$137,000 +37% / $466 $73,230,461 / 37	$98,000 -28.5% / $333 $73,328,461 / 38	N/A
-	THE BOSS BABY Fox 241	$111,000 +62.3% / $461 $172,860,372 / 85	$128,000 +15.3% / $531 $172,988,372 / 86	$91,000 -28.9% / $378 $173,079,372 / 87	N/A
-	THE BEGUILED (2017) Focus Features 4	$89,420 -- / $22,355 $89,420 / 1	$81,690 -8.6% / $20,423 $171,110 / 2	$69,435 -15% / $17,359 $240,545 / 3	N/A
-	MY COUSIN RACHEL Fox Searchlight 163	$57,000 +1.6% / $350 $2,287,675 / 15	$85,000 +49.1% / $521 $2,372,675 / 16	$58,000 -31.8% / $356 $2,430,675 / 17	N/A
-	BEAUTY AND THE BEAST (2017) Buena Vista 191	$47,000 -0.4% / $246 $503,583,429 / 99	$59,000 +25.5% / $309 $503,642,429 / 100	$47,000 -20.3% / $246 $503,689,429 / 101	N/A
-	THE EXCEPTION A24 48

[filmlover]

Just now, Chaz said:

I don't understand why y'all keep saying things like this...the only thing that matters is how kids feel about the movie. I don't think kids left Minions feeling disappointed. 

Families aren't the only demographic that powered the Despicable Me movies and Minions to such gargantuan numbers.

[GiantCALBears]

You guys are kidding yourselves if you think the Minions hype has subsided. It may have a small drop from Minions but that's still a huge hit. 

[titanic2187]

WEEKEND ACTUALS

1.	Transformers 5	$45,300,000
2.	Cars 3	$25,175,000
3.	Wonder Woman	$25,175,000
> VIEW FULL WEEKEND CHART

 

so this is our weekend actual..............

[grim22]

The way Summer is going, looks like Covfefe and Mummy will make the top 15 with around 75 and 80M

[GiantCALBears]

It's pretty obvious from the low post count in the DM3 thread that there is a little bit of bias against this one. Most of you guys don't understand you aren't really the core demo lol. 

[titanic2187]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

Title	Friday 6/23 (Estimates)	Saturday 6/24 (Estimates)	Sunday 6/25 (Estimates)	Monday 6/26
1	TRANSFORMERS: THE LAST KNIGHT Paramount 4,069	$13,800,000 +69.6% / $3,391 $37,595,489 / 3	$17,530,000 +27% / $4,308 $55,125,489 / 4	$13,970,000 -20.3% / $3,433 $69,095,489 / 5	N/A
2	CARS 3 Buena Vista 4,256	$7,570,000 +70.9% / $1,779 $82,277,893 / 8	$9,297,000 +22.8% / $2,184 $91,574,893 / 9	$8,308,000 -10.6% / $1,952 $99,882,893 / 10	N/A
3	WONDER WOMAN Warner Bros. 3,933	$7,380,000 +84.1% / $1,876 $300,585,158 / 22	$10,045,000 +36.1% / $2,554 $310,630,158 / 23	$7,750,000 -22.8% / $1,971 $318,380,158 / 24	N/A
4	47 METERS DOWN Entertainment Studios 2,471	$2,333,000 +88.5% / $944 $19,158,932 / 8	$2,752,000 +18% / $1,114 $21,910,932 / 9	$2,350,000 -14.6% / $951 $24,260,932 / 10	N/A
5	THE MUMMY (2017) Universal 2,980	$1,752,430 +63.7% / $588 $64,436,100 / 15	$2,402,630 +37.1% / $806 $66,838,730 / 16	$1,681,840 -30% / $564 $68,520,570 / 17	N/A
6	ALL EYEZ ON ME Lionsgate/Summit 2,471	$1,900,000 +75.3% / $769 $34,692,319 / 8	$2,325,000 +22.4% / $941 $37,017,319 / 9	$1,625,000 -30.1% / $658 $38,642,319 / 10	N/A
7	PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MEN TELL NO TALES Buena Vista 2,453	$1,598,000 +70.2% / $651 $156,363,326 / 29	$2,063,000 +29.1% / $841 $158,426,326 / 30	$1,578,000 -23.5% / $643 $160,004,326 / 31	N/A
8	ROUGH NIGHT Sony / Columbia 3,162	$1,575,000 +79.9% / $498 $13,509,947 / 8	$1,810,000 +14.9% / $572 $15,319,947 / 9	$1,315,000 -27.3% / $416 $16,634,947 / 10	N/A
9	CAPTAIN UNDERPANTS: THE FIRST EPIC MOVIE Fox 2,328	$1,475,000 +76.1% / $620 $62,938,176 / 22	$1,640,000 +11.2% / $704 $64,578,176 / 23	$1,165,000 -29% / $500 $65,743,176 / 24	N/A
10	GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 2 Buena Vista 1,468	$882,000 +73.4% / $601 $378,095,327 / 50	$1,229,000 +39.3% / $837 $379,324,327 / 51	$889,000 -27.7% / $606 $380,213,327 / 52	N/A
11	BEATRIZ AT DINNER Roadside Attractions 491	$561,700 +648.3% / $1,144 $1,755,480 / 15	$725,925 +29.2% / $1,478 $2,481,405 / 16	$529,925 -27% / $1,079 $3,011,330 / 17	N/A
12	MEGAN LEAVEY Bleecker Street 971	$380,000 +66.7% / $391 $9,904,174 / 15	$492,000 +29.5% / $507 $10,396,174 / 16	$344,000 -30.1% / $354 $10,740,174 / 17	N/A
-	THE BOOK OF HENRY Focus Features 646	$310,980 +85.7% / $481 $2,468,335 / 8	$368,245 +18.4% / $570 $2,836,580 / 9	$257,770 -30% / $399 $3,094,350 / 10	N/A
-	IT COMES AT NIGHT A24 819	$261,260 +43.7% / $107 $12,504,428 / 15	$317,770 +21.6% / $388 $12,822,198 / 16	$238,328 -25% / $291 $13,060,526 / 17	N/A
-	BAYWATCH Paramount 480	$225,000 +73.2% / $469 $56,132,889 / 30	$284,000 +26.2% / $592 $56,416,889 / 31	$191,000 -32.7% / $398 $56,607,889 / 32	N/A
-	THE BIG SICK Lionsgate 5	$133,751 -- / $26,750 $133,751 / 1	$169,255 +26.5% / $33,851 $303,006 / 2	$131,994 -22% / $26,399 $435,000 / 3	N/A
-	ALIEN: COVENANT Fox 294	$100,000 +111.2% / $340 $73,093,461 / 36	$137,000 +37% / $466 $73,230,461 / 37	$98,000 -28.5% / $333 $73,328,461 / 38	N/A
-	THE BOSS BABY Fox 241	$111,000 +62.3% / $461 $172,860,372 / 85	$128,000 +15.3% / $531 $172,988,372 / 86	$91,000 -28.9% / $378 $173,079,372 / 87	N/A
-	THE BEGUILED (2017) Focus Features 4	$89,420 -- / $22,355 $89,420 / 1	$81,690 -8.6% / $20,423 $171,110 / 2	$69,435 -15% / $17,359 $240,545 / 3	N/A
-	MY COUSIN RACHEL Fox Searchlight 163	$57,000 +1.6% / $350 $2,287,675 / 15	$85,000 +49.1% / $521 $2,372,675 / 16	$58,000 -31.8% / $356 $2,430,675 / 17	N/A
-	BEAUTY AND THE BEAST (2017) Buena Vista 191	$47,000 -0.4% / $246 $503,583,429 / 99	$59,000 +25.5% / $309 $503,642,429 / 100	$47,000 -20.3% / $246 $503,689,429 / 101	N/A
-	THE EXCEPTION A24 48

now we have the reason why friday increase was so high, caz moviegoers want to have softer saturday's up.....

[Premium George]

You guys will never get illumination right. You don't understand their demographic.

[Cochofles]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

47 m down has been available online for about a year. I saw it three months ago.

 Very impressive that it had the hold it had this weekend. How much do you think it will end up with domestic when all is said and done?

[baumer]

@filmnerdjamie I don't think it's fudge by Paramount this time. We have gotten numbers from Asgard all weekend and he corroborates the 69 million dollar weekend. Also Despicable Me 3 is going to make a massive amount of money because everyone loves the minions and Despicable Me and illumination is on a hot streak right now. Sorry bro but I disagree with you one hundred percent this time on both of your takes.

[MrGamer]

4 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

WEEKEND ACTUALS

1.	Transformers 5	$45,300,000
2.	Cars 3	$25,175,000
3.	Wonder Woman	$25,175,000
> VIEW FULL WEEKEND CHART

 

so this is our weekend actual..............

[baumer]

1230 showing of TRF5. Ttyl

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

You guys are kidding yourselves if you think the Minions hype has subsided. It may have a small drop from Minions but that's still a huge hit. 

No one's arguing it won't be a hit (it will). Just that it wouldn't be surprising if the numbers came back down closer to the level of the first Despicable Me than its sequel or Minions. Relax.

[GiantCALBears]

No one's arguing it won't be a hit (it will). Just that it wouldn't be surprising if the numbers came back down closer to the level of the first Despicable Me than its sequel or Minions. Relax.

I'm plenty relaxed, I see the same dumb arguments to explain why it's dropping decently from Minions (which I heard when Minions itself was coming out).

[WrathOfHan]

I guess Beatriz is getting another expansion next weekend. That's a GREAT PTA.

[MikeQ]

46 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next weekend:

Wonder Woman: 14M

 

 

You mentioned earlier in this thread that you would want to see rationale, data, etc, to back up box office predictions. So, I ask genuinely: I'm wondering how you get a ~45% drop for Wonder Woman into next weekend? Particularly since Wonder Woman has yet to drop that much in a weekend; not even from its huge opening weekend did it drop that much, when it dropped -43.3% (its largest weekend-to-weekend drop). It just dropped under 40% from an inflated Father's Day weekend, besting Cars 3 in PTA, and I'm not sure how Independence Day works with July 4th falling on a Tuesday, but at the least I do know most Canadians will have the Monday off for our Canada Day Holiday. So, I'm just not seeing how a 45% weekend drop is likely this coming weekend.

 

Peace,

Mike