Weekend estimates from ERC.com/fb

[tawasal]

boxofficemojo.com

<table border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="1"> <tbody> <tr bgcolor="#dcdcdc"> <td align="center"> TW</td> <td align="center"> LW</td> <td align="center"> Title (click to view)</td> <td align="center"> Studio</td> <td align="center"> Weekend Gross</td> <td align="center"> % Change</td> <td align="center" colspan="2"> Theater Count / Change</td> <td align="center"> Average</td> <td align="center"> Total Gross</td> <td align="center"> Budget*</td> <td align="center"> Week #</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td align="center"> 1</td> <td align="center"> 2</td> <td> Safe House</td> <td> Uni.</td> <td align="right"> $24,000,000</td> <td align="right"> -40.3%</td> <td align="right"> 3,121</td> <td align="right"> +2</td> <td align="right"> $7,690</td> <td align="right"> $78,300,000</td> <td align="right"> $85</td> <td align="center"> 2</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 2</td> <td align="center"> 1</td> <td> The Vow</td> <td> SGem</td> <td align="right"> $23,600,000</td> <td align="right"> -42.7%</td> <td align="right"> 2,958</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> $7,978</td> <td align="right"> $85,527,000</td> <td align="right"> $30</td> <td align="center"> 2</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffff99"> <td align="center"> 3</td> <td align="center"> N</td> <td> Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance</td> <td> Sony</td> <td align="right"> $22,000,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> 3,174</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> $6,931</td> <td align="right"> $22,000,000</td> <td align="right"> $57</td> <td align="center"> 1</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 4</td> <td align="center"> 3</td> <td> Journey 2: The Mysterious Island</td> <td> WB</td> <td align="right"> $20,085,000</td> <td align="right"> -26.5%</td> <td align="right"> 3,500</td> <td align="right"> +30</td> <td align="right"> $5,739</td> <td align="right"> $53,201,000</td> <td align="right"> $79</td> <td align="center"> 2</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffff99"> <td align="center"> 5</td> <td align="center"> N</td> <td> This Means War</td> <td> Fox</td> <td align="right"> $17,550,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> 3,189</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> $5,503</td> <td align="right"> $19,160,000</td> <td align="right"> $65</td> <td align="center"> 1</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 6</td> <td align="center"> 4</td> <td> Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (in 3D)</td> <td> Fox</td> <td align="right"> $7,865,000</td> <td align="right"> -65.0%</td> <td align="right"> 2,655</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> $2,962</td> <td align="right"> $33,738,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="center"> 2</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td align="center"> 7</td> <td align="center"> 5</td> <td> Chronicle (2012)</td> <td> Fox</td> <td align="right"> $7,500,000</td> <td align="right"> -38.0%</td> <td align="right"> 2,556</td> <td align="right"> -352</td> <td align="right"> $2,934</td> <td align="right"> $50,979,000</td> <td align="right"> $12</td> <td align="center"> 3</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 8</td> <td align="center"> 6</td> <td> The Woman in Black</td> <td> CBS</td> <td align="right"> $6,645,000</td> <td align="right"> -34.2%</td> <td align="right"> 2,559</td> <td align="right"> -297</td> <td align="right"> $2,597</td> <td align="right"> $45,256,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="center"> 3</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffff99"> <td align="center"> 9</td> <td align="center"> N</td> <td> The Secret World of Arrietty</td> <td> BV</td> <td align="right"> $6,400,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> 1,522</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> $4,205</td> <td align="right"> $6,400,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="center"> 1</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 10</td> <td align="center"> 7</td> <td> The Grey</td> <td> ORF</td> <td align="right"> $3,032,000</td> <td align="right"> -39.9%</td> <td align="right"> 2,107</td> <td align="right"> -694</td> <td align="right"> $1,439</td> <td align="right"> $47,925,000</td> <td align="right"> $25</td> <td align="center"> 4</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td align="center"> 11</td> <td align="center"> 9</td> <td> The Descendants</td> <td> FoxS</td> <td align="right"> $2,925,000</td> <td align="right"> -15.0%</td> <td align="right"> 1,243</td> <td align="right"> -338</td> <td align="right"> $2,353</td> <td align="right"> $75,008,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="center"> 14</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 12</td> <td align="center"> 13</td> <td> The Artist</td> <td> Wein.</td> <td align="right"> $2,325,000</td> <td align="right"> +3.8%</td> <td align="right"> 808</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="right"> $2,877</td> <td align="right"> $27,424,000</td> <td align="right"> $15</td> <td align="center"> 13</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td align="center"> 13</td> <td align="center"> 8</td> <td> Big Miracle</td> <td> Uni.</td> <td align="right"> $2,132,000</td> <td align="right"> -46.0%</td> <td align="right"> 1,634</td> <td align="right"> -499</td> <td align="right"> $1,305</td> <td align="right"> $16,576,000</td> <td align="right"> $40</td> <td align="center"> 3</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 14</td> <td align="center"> 14</td> <td> Hugo</td> <td> Par.</td> <td align="right"> $1,625,000</td> <td align="right"> -7.9%</td> <td align="right"> 558</td> <td align="right"> -144</td> <td align="right"> $2,912</td> <td align="right"> $66,711,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="center"> 13</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td align="center"> 15</td> <td align="center"> 11</td> <td> Red Tails</td> <td> Fox</td> <td align="right"> $1,415,000</td> <td align="right"> -41.5%</td> <td align="right"> 1,009</td> <td align="right"> -571</td> <td align="right"> $1,402</td> <td align="right"> $47,532,000</td> <td align="right"> $58</td> <td align="center"> 5</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#f4f4ff"> <td align="center"> 16</td> <td align="center"> 18</td> <td> The Iron Lady</td> <td> Wein.</td> <td align="right"> $1,034,000</td> <td align="right"> -10.6%</td> <td align="right"> 623</td> <td align="right"> +111</td> <td align="right"> $1,660</td> <td align="right"> $24,394,000</td> <td align="right"> -</td> <td align="center"> 8</td> </tr> </tbody></table>

Edited February 19, 2012 by Dom Cobb

[Chrestomanci]

JOURNEY 2 had the best hold in the Top 10, dropping just 27% in 4th place, with $20 mil. Total is now $53 mil in 10 days of release.

1. THE VOW - $24 mil, 2. SAFE HOUSE - $23 mil, 3. GHOST RIDER 2 - $22 mil

http://www.facebook.com/ercboxoffice

The Journey 2 number is fresh information, but the rest are ERC's personal estimates that they posted yesterday morning based on just the studios' Friday estimates. So IMO they don't really belong in the first post of a thread which I assume is meant for the studio weekend estimates. Edited February 19, 2012 by Chrestomanci

[fmpro]

Hmmm.. I think that SH could be closer to the Vow than that..

[CJohn]

Not bad.

[Chrestomanci]

More (presumably official, presumably 3-day) weekend estimates from ERC:TMW - $17.5MTPM - $7.8M

Edited February 19, 2012 by Chrestomanci

[tawasal]

The Journey 2 number is fresh information, but the rest are ERC's personal estimates that they posted yesterday morning based on just the studios' Friday estimates. So IMO they don't really belong in the first post of a thread which I assume is meant for the studio weekend estimates.

Thanks for the info.

[tawasal]

Disney's THE SECRET WORLD OF ARRIETTY, grossed $6.4 mil--a new high for Japanimation station, Studio Ghibli.

[Chrestomanci]

Thanks for the info.

You're welcome, but I'd suggest you change back the title of the thread (which is now misleading because the TMW, TPM and Arietty numbers are also clearly new and might discourage people from looking at the thread until you change it again since it promises so little new info) and just remove the ERC (not studio) estimates for Vow, SH and GR2 from your original post. (And you can verify for yourself that those three numbers are old by looking at the timestamp on the Facebook page.) Edited February 19, 2012 by Chrestomanci

[tawasal]

You're welcome, but I'd suggest you change back the title of the thread (which is now misleading because the TMW, TPM and Arietty numbers are also clearly new and might discourage people from looking at the thread until you change it again since it promises so little new info) and just remove the ERC (not studio) estimates for Vow, SH and GR2 from your original post. (And you can verify for yourself that those three numbers are old by looking at the timestamp on the Facebook page.)

Done.

[tawasal]

GHOST RIDER 2 should've been a straight to DVD sort of thing.. Next weekend, it'll have a huge drop just based on the poor reviews in itself and the 22M opening.. Hell at this point, it won't even break 100M Domestic.. We still love ya Nick Cage, warts and all..

I don't know if it even will break 70m.

[The Dark Alfred]

GR2 will end up around 60m. Flop. I'm glad for Arrietty, amazing number!

[Chrestomanci]

boxoffice.com has more exact 3-day estimates for Journey 2 and Arietty and also has estimates for some of the Oscar nominees:Journey 2 - $20.085M (-27%)Arietty - $6.375MArtist - $2.325M (+4%)Iron Lady - $1.034M (-11%)EL&IC - $640K (-57%)TTSS - $476K (-13%)MWWM - $179K (-14%) Edited February 19, 2012 by Chrestomanci

[tawasal]

Thanks for all the help Chrestomanci.

[tawasal]

BoxOffice.comOfficial 3-day estimate: $24.0 million for 'Safe House' from 3,121 locations. Location avg. = $7,680.

[tawasal]

...and some international numbers for Safe House:BoxOffice.comInternational Weekend Estimate: $6 million for 'Safe House'. Total: $19.6 million.

[rcalcagn]

You know, if I were one of the Weinsteins, any of these past two weekend would've been the best time to really market the hell out of The Artist. I mean especially for Valentine's Day; they could've said "the most critically acclaimed romance in years!" and really hammer that point in. Still doing better than Hurt Locker but I was hoping for it to break out just a little bit more.

[Chrestomanci]

Thanks for all the help Chrestomanci.

Glad to be of assistance.

[Chrestomanci]

Here are some more and/or more exact numbers from boxoffice.com:Safe House - $23.969M (-40%)The Vow - $23.6M (-43%)GR2 - $22MTMW - $17.55MTPM - $7.865M (-65%)Chronicle - $7.5M (-38%)TWiB - $6.645M (-34%)Descendants - $2.925M (-15%)Big Miracle - $2.132M (-46%)Red Tails - $1.415M (-41%)

Edited February 19, 2012 by Chrestomanci

[Gopher]

You know, if I were one of the Weinsteins, any of these past two weekend would've been the best time to really market the hell out of The Artist. I mean especially for Valentine's Day; they could've said "the most critically acclaimed romance in years!" and really hammer that point in. Still doing better than Hurt Locker but I was hoping for it to break out just a little bit more.

It's a silent movie. It seems like most of the people who are watching it are liking it, but it's hard to listen to your friends if they tell you a silent, black and white movie is actually worth their time. They might as well wait until the weekend after the Oscars.

[Fake]

Top-5 movies were pretty close.I'm glad that SH is winning, but the difference is not much and the story could change with the actuals.