Weekend Thread 7/7-7/9 | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS ALLOWED | SMH 117M, DM3 34M, BD 12.5M, WW 10.1M, TF5 6.3M, Biggus Dickus 3.65

[That One Girl]

 

3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Following multipliers:

 

Wonder Woman - $144,552,059

GOTG 2 - $132,720,918

Logan - $143,320,369

 

 

Doctor Strange - $139,350,850

Suicide Squad - $100,424,713

TMNT 2 - $271,936,141 (lol)

Apocalypse - $123,518,446

Civil War - $110,349,711

BvS - $92,292,893

Deadpool - $160,590,035

 

Worst scenario seems to be 100M, and best case seems to be 160M.

[eXtacy]

3 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Just came back from my show with my 13 year old boy...

 

I absolutely loved it. I went in almost spoiler free and boy did it throw me some curveballs.. This is the Spider-Man from the comics that i read in the 80's and 90's. Keaton was awesome and totally one of the best MCU villans. Hands down.. loved the highschool theme but i'm still eager to see him grow up and see him in a more adult universe

Hard to keep on writing without spoiling so..

 

8,5/10

 

On par with SM1 and SM2 and way way way better than the rest

 

What did your kid think?

[baumer]

3 hours ago, KJsooner said:

If not for Deshitcable 3, top three summer movies would be superhero movies.

 

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

 

 

Doctor Strange - $139,350,850

Suicide Squad - $100,424,713

TMNT 2 - $271,936,141 (lol)

Apocalypse - $123,518,446

Civil War - $110,349,711

BvS - $92,292,893

Deadpool - $160,590,035

 

Worst scenario seems to be 100M, and best case seems to be 160M.

 

SS numbers is not happening.  That had free tickets only for Thur previews only from T-Mobile

[That One Girl]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

SS numbers is not happening.  That had free tickets only for Thur previews only from T-Mobile

 

Worst case .

[MCKillswitch123]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

No way.  Holland can actually dance.

 

Hmm, fair point, yeah. But still.

 

7 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

If not for Deshitcable 3, top three summer movies would be superhero movies.

 

DM3 will be lucky to hit DM1 numbers. It's going sub-300M.

 

The top 3 Summer movies WILL be superhero movies.

[Nova]

Just now, JohnnyGossamer said:

It's the 6th, no? Or, are you including Civil War? 

 

Yes. It's a big multi but it's the heart of summer days and it's a new Spider-man in Holland. This is his first feature. Not to mention WOM seems on par with Guardians Vol. 1... Doesn't that make it different? So 125M to $140M with a 3.15 to 3.25 multi. Not unrealistic.

I'm on the train that this movie gets a rather unusual multiplier for a comic book movie. 

1). It's Spider-man 

2). It's a crowd pleasing film 

3). It's family friendly 

4). It's a damn good movie 

 

Both GOTG2 and WW showed that well received comic book films that are also family friendly, are going to make bank. 

 

I dont see Homecoming being an outlier. This movie will finish closer to $400M than $300M imo and I wouldn't be surprised if it takes the summer crowd. It's a perfect summer movie. 

[fmpro]

3 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

 

What did your kid think?

 

He also loved it. Even more than me. He wants to go again on sunday

[Zakiyyah6]

I think maybe he accidentally posted something because that doesn't make any sense. Everybody knows Despicable Me 3 has no chance of getting over 300+mil.

[YM!]

12 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

THE TRAILER VIEWS DO NOT LIE

Tell that to your $350M prediction for The Mummy.

[baumer]

Kinda just feel like calling in sick...don't feel so hot today.

[filmlover]

This is a great start. Should be at least $120M for the weekend even if frontloaded.

 

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, Nova said:

I'm on the train that this movie gets a rather unusual multiplier for a comic book movie. 

1). It's Spider-man 

2). It's a crowd pleasing film 

3). It's family friendly 

4). It's a damn good movie 

 

Both GOTG2 and WW showed that well received comic book films that are also family friendly, are going to make bank. 

 

I dont see Homecoming being an outlier. This movie will finish closer to $400M than $300M imo and I wouldn't be surprised if it takes the summer crowd. It's a perfect summer movie. 

 

 

I wonder how long Sony will stay on it's knees kissing Feige's er feet until they get start getting cocky and thinking they can make their own movie?

[Nova]

3 hours ago, baumer said:

Kinda just feel like calling in sick...not feeling so hot.

If you're talking about SMH....it's a movie I think you'll love. 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Nova said:

If you're talking about SMH....it's a movie I think you'll love. 

 

I'm pretty sure I will love it.

[kayumanggi]

Spider-Man: Homecoming had the 25th largest preview gross ever for a Friday opener. Our archive of preview grosses: https://t.co/Lobn04zEYA

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) July 7, 2017

[Jake Gittes]

27 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

That's big. Now it's about seeing how it pans out over the weekend... the same share of opening day from previews as Ant-Man means a $54.5 million opening day for Spidey. The same as GOTG Vol. 2 means $51 million. Maybe I'm way off, but I think a $50+ million opening day is very likely. 

 

Preview Grosses for Some Comic Book Films and the Share of Opening Day

 

Title / Preview Gross / Share of Opening Day

 

The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 30.6 million (40.4%)

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 27.7 million (34.0%)

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 27.6 million (32.7%)

Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 25 million (33.1%)

Suicide Squad (2016) — 20.5 million (31.6%)

Marvel's The Avengers (2012) — 18.7 million (23.1%)

The Dark Knight (2008) — 18.5 million (27.5%)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 17 million (30.2%)

Iron Man 3 (2013) — 15.6 million (22.7%)

Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 15.4 million (TBD)

Deadpool (2016) — 12.7 million (26.8%)

Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 11.2 million (29.6%)

Wonder Woman (2017) — 11 million (28.3%)

Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 10.2 million (27.6%)

Doctor Strange (2016) — 9.4 million (28.8%)

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 8.7 million (24.7%)

 

Peace,

Mike

 

 

Since I can't see SMH's share being bigger than Suicide Squad's, I'd say a 50m OD is almost guaranteed. WOM is good enough to push it to a 120+ OW from there. Worst case scenario tbh.

[TwoMisfits]

41 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Great #, this thing is gonna be a monster. Wouldn't surprise me if GOTG2, WW, and SM: HC ended up very close to each other.

 

You mean, kinda like I predicted before the summer started:)...

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

4 minutes ago, Nova said:

I'm on the train that this movie gets a rather unusual multiplier for a comic book movie. 

1). It's Spider-man 

2). It's a crowd pleasing film 

3). It's family friendly 

4). It's a damn good movie 

 

Both GOTG2 and WW showed that well received comic book films that are also family friendly, are going to make bank. 

 

I dont see Homecoming being an outlier. This movie will finish closer to $400M than $300M imo and I wouldn't be surprised if it takes the summer crowd. It's a perfect summer movie. 

I would add

 

5). We've seen larger than normal/expected multis for well-received films this year. Even in the face of a lot of competition.

[John Marston]

21 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Following multipliers:

 

Wonder Woman - $144,552,059

GOTG 2 - $132,720,918

Logan - $143,320,369

 

 

 

Only problem is those movies didnt open in July so it might behave differently