Weekend Thread. Dark Tower 19.5...Dunkirk 17.6....Emoji 12.3...Girls Trip 11.4 not sure what page| Not the sex thread

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

 

Its about 20-25% based on the last article about it I saw in 2016. Don't think promo codes, which probably account for less than that overall, will make all that much of a difference when the baseline numbers are this bad.

Yeah, but a 5-10% difference in a hold would be a significant difference to many - that's Dunkirk at $16M or at $14.4M (10% less)...and if internet ticket sales were 20-25% of total sales in 2016, it's gotta be higher now...

[a2k]

4-5 is too wide an estimate for Dunkirk. Much more vague than it seems : 4 is a 20% jump from Thursday (3.328), and 5 is a 50% jump.

[Cochofles]

I know that many have dismissed Kidnap (and I understand why), but the plot, as well worn as it is, could exert a very primal pull with female audiences. I would not be shocked if it did a 47 Meters Down on us...

[Noctis]

38 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:

The release date for 'It' is going to be one of the most well calculated of the year.  A HIGHLY anticipated horror remake, close to the start of fall (when these films typically can do some great numbers) in an absolute draught of a schedule.  Regardless I think it hits 40 but if this thing can churn out a fresh rating I could legit see 50 being in play OW.

$50m would be a disappointment. I see it hitting $70m at least.

[Nova]

I'm shocked at Kidnap's numbers. Yea I know it's not exactly great but I've literally heard and seen nothing about this movie. I couldn't even tell you what it's about. And it's not because I dont care about the film. It's because I've seen zero marketing for it. So the fact that it's gonna do decently, shows that Halle Berry has a decent sized fan base. 

[picores]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

4-5 is too wide an estimate for Dunkirk. Much more vague than it seems : 4 is a 20% jump from Thursday (3.328), and 5 is a 50% jump.

 

We're talking about Deadline early guesstimates after all

[Ethan Hunt]

3 minutes ago, Nova said:

I'm shocked at Kidnap's numbers. Yea I know it's not exactly great but I've literally heard and seen nothing about this movie. I couldn't even tell you what it's about. And it's not because I dont care about the film. It's because I've seen zero marketing for it. So the fact that it's gonna do decently, shows that Halle Berry has a decent sized fan base. 

To be fair it makes more sense if people are watching it without having seen any marketing

 

[Ms Lady Hawk]

I saw the preview for Kidnap before WW and it looked suspenseful. While not at the top of my list, I would like to see it. It's every parent's worst nightmare to have a child kidnapped and it scared the heck out of me. I think it probably appeals to a few people. I must admit that the marketing has been pretty weak. Halle has a fanbase for sure though. How big it is? That is the question. 

[Jonwo]

5 minutes ago, Noctis said:

$50m would be a disappointment. I see it hitting $70m at least.

$50m would break the September record and would be the highest grossing horror film OW since Signs!

Edited August 4, 2017 by Jonwo

[WrathOfHan]

My AMC did fuck all to promote Kidnap. I only saw one poster pop up a couple weeks ago, and the trailer hasn't been before ANYTHING. I got that shitty trailer twice at another theater though  They haven't attached Logan Lucky to anything I've seen either, but at least that's had a poster up towards the lobby of one side for a while.

Edited August 4, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

I can already tell this forum is setting itself up for disappointment re: IT.

[Cochofles]

Just now, Ethan Hunt said:

To be fair it makes more sense if people are watching it without having seen any marketing

 

I think the very flimsy marketing I have seen is pretty effective. It's as straightforward as one gets: here is the plot, these are the stakes. Go!

It conveys exactly what the film is about, which is pretty much what marketing should do.

 

[Zakiyyah6]

7 minutes ago, Noctis said:

$50m would be a disappointment. I see it hitting $70m at least.

No 50mil in September for a horror movie would not be a disappointing opening weekend. I'm predicting 75mil but I know anything above 40mil is really damn good. I will be disappointed with an under 40mil opening I admit.

Edited August 4, 2017 by Zakiyyah6

[That One Girl]

54 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:

The release date for 'It' is going to be one of the most well calculated of the year.  A HIGHLY anticipated horror remake, close to the start of fall (when these films typically can do some great numbers) in an absolute draught of a schedule.  Regardless I think it hits 40 but if this thing can churn out a fresh rating I could legit see 50 being in play OW.

 

50M?  A lowball if I've ever seen one.

 

My prediction right now is 82/226  

[Jonwo]

 

9 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

No 50mil in September for a horror movie would not be a disappointing opening weekend. I'm predicting 75mil but I know anything above 40mil is really damn good. I will be disappointed with an under 40mil opening I admit.

I think my conservative $50-60m OW prediction is more likely than $70m+ but TBH doing more than Insidious 2 would be fantastic, it would be very sweet if It can break the September record even if it's only by $2-3m.

[Zakiyyah6]

I do like IT's release date. I think it could be like Wonder Woman where it looks like a lackluster release date but it is really the perfect one. I think the film's going to be a big hit as long as the reviews aren't dire.

[Ethan Hunt]

14 minutes ago, Cochofles said:

I think the very flimsy marketing I have seen is pretty effective. It's as straightforward as one gets: here is the plot, these are the stakes. Go!

It conveys exactly what the film is about, which is pretty much what marketing should do.

 

The problem is that it looks like a very very bad movie

[CJohn]

I like how IT will be seen as a major flop by this forum when it opens with 40-50M. Funny stuff.

[Jonwo]

Just now, Zakiyyah6 said:

I do like IT's release date. I think it could be like Wonder Woman where it looks like a lackluster release date but it is really the perfect one. I think the film's going to be a big hit as long as the reviews aren't dire.

Given the success of Sully in the same slot last year and Insidious 2 4 years ago,  I thought it would do $30-40m OW originally but the trailers have been very strong and I have a feeling the reviews are going to be pretty good as well. I imagine WB won't drop the embargo until either the Monday or Tuesday before the release. 

[PenguinHyphy]

I saw Detroit, and Kathryn Bigelow and the movie are surely going to receive Oscar nominations. The middle portion is some of the most gripping stuff that I have ever seen. I know that the directors branch and the actors branch are going to really respect what she presents on the screen. It is not extremely violent for those who are asking. The deaths are cutaways. That torture porn stuff is hyperbole. The movie is just extremely suspenseful. There is a scene where they are trying to escape from the house that reminds me of something from Halloween. Kathryn Bigelow is honestly one of the best directors working today. A double digits opening is not bad for a first time distributor. Posters who were expecting it to perform like The Blind Side, The Help, Hidden Figures or those other family movies by major distributors are either trolls or insane.