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WrathOfHan

Weekend Actuals (Page 32): THB 10.3M | Annabelle 7.7M | Leap 4.7M | Wind River 4.6M | Logan Lucky 4.2M | Dragon 2.7M | Where are the clowns, cults, and Cruise when you need them?

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5 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

The Star's biggest issue is "competition". It comes out the same weekend as Justice League, but then Coco is only five days around due to Thanksgiving, and that'll take a huge bite out of its audience. 

Sony are throwing it to the wolves

for sure. It's not going to be like The Emoji Movie which had an empty August

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Seemingly boring weekend, but apart from WONDR and DM3 expansions, am curious to see

 

(1) if SMH can continue it's streak of improving upon the last weekend drop each time:

 

Jul 7–9 1 $117,027,503 - 4,348 - $26,915 $117,027,503 1
Jul 14–16 2 $44,205,210 -62.2% 4,348 - $10,167 $207,275,524 2
Jul 21–23 3 $22,150,085 -49.9% 4,130 -218 $5,363 $251,851,666 3
Jul 28–30 5 $13,261,372 -40.1% 3,625 -505 $3,658 $278,168,177 4
Aug 4–6 6 $8,845,978 -33.3% 3,116 -509 $2,839 $294,953,754 5
Aug 11–13 7 $6,022,637 -31.9% 2,607 -509 $2,310 $306,376,331 6
Aug 18–20 7 $4,256,367 -29.3% 2,341 -266 $1,818 $314,057,748 7

 

(2) if ANNABELLE 2 and THB can both show great holds with a drop of around 45%.

 

(3) if WAR can finally drop sub-40%. 40-45% drop will give it ~143 cume (141.7 current + ~0.2 Thu + 1.1-1.2 weekend)

 

 

Edited by a2knet
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1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

Sony are throwing it to the wolves

for sure. It's not going to be like The Emoji Movie which had an empty August

I'm currently predicting 40m to 50m domestic, and I doubt that'll be considered successful enough, considering the budget is probably around 50m. Definitely doesn't seem like Sony has a lot of whole lot of "faith" in the film, no pun intended. 

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4 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

I'm currently predicting 40m to 50m domestic, and I doubt that'll be considered successful enough, considering the budget is probably around 50m. Definitely doesn't seem like Sony has a lot of whole lot of "faith" in the film, no pun intended. 

The budget is $18m apparently which is likely why the animation looks so cheap!

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1 hour ago, KJsooner said:

If you're looking for a movie to see this weekend go see Wind River. It's my favorite movie of the year thus far.

Gotta agree with it being one of the best movies that I've seen this year:

 

1. Dangal

2. The Big Sick

3. Book of Henry

4. A Taxi Driver

5. Wind River

6. Lego Batman Movie

7. A Monster Calls

8. War of The Planet of The Apes

9. Baby Driver

10. Spider-Man Homecoming 

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5 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

The budget is $18m apparently which is likely why the animation looks so cheap!

Ah had no idea. Movie does looks really cheap though. Sony's really cutting corners with the Foreign animation this time. 

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2017 could be the 1st time that a Pixar animation won't be in the top 3 animations of the year.

 

In 2015 even though TDG was out of the top-5, IO won the year.

IO, MINIONS, HOME, HOTEL TRANS 2, PEANUTS

 

If COCO does not do 175, 2017 most likely will be

DM3, LEGO BAT, BOSS BABY

 

MU came behind DM2 but was still in top-3 animations of 2013. Incredibles was behind SHREK2 in 2004.

Else Pixar has won the animation crown every year there has been a release including 2011 with CARS 2 being #1.

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BOP predictions: http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-geostorm-brave-snowman-boo-2-madea-halloween/

 

TYLER PERRY'S BOO 2! A MADEA HALLOWEEN: 23.5/59.3

Only the Brave: 16/55

The Snowman: 11/31

Geostorm: 12/27.8

Same Kind of Different: 4.5/12

 

It will be in 3,600 theaters

Home Again will be in 2,800 theaters

 

Updates:

 

It: 60/150 (Up 30%)

American Assassin: 14.5/40 (up 26%/38%)

Kingsman: 42/107 (Up 8%)

Ninjago: 42.5/146.5 (up 6%)

 

Meanwhile, mother! is still at 10.5/27 martin3.png

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2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Geostorm: 12/27.8

 

 

Meanwhile, mother! is still at 10.5/27 

Geostorm challenging Arthur for bomb of the year?

Mother's budget is low teens I think.

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Just now, a2knet said:

Geostorm challenging Arthur for bomb of the year?

Mother's budget is low teens I think.

With the amount of times Geostorm has been delayed, a loooooooot of movie has gone down the drain :lol: 

 

mother! only has a 13M budget so it's guaranteed to make a profit no matter what. However, an opening and total under House at the End of the Street is laughable as fuck. Paramount just started airing ads this week, and it premieres at Venice 10 days before release. 

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It has only aired 796 ads so far. Normally movies close this close to release are in the lower to mid thousands by now, which basically just further supports horror being much more reliant on social media marketing. Get Out and Split didn't have major ad pushes, and look at the heights they reached.

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

mother! only has a 13M budget so it's guaranteed to make a profit no matter what. However, an opening and total under House at the End of the Street is laughable as fuck. Paramount just started airing ads this week, and it premieres at Venice 10 days before release. 

No doubt. With the names involved in Mother, I thin sub-50 is disappointing, no matter how profitable it gets.

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10 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Shaping up to be a great year for WAG if Ninjago does 146+ like pro.BO projects, with 2 big hits.

 

@YourMother :

The LEGO Ninjago Movie $42,500,000 6% $146,600,000 6%

That'd be solid for Ninjago, would put WAG with a better average than SPA 

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I remember when Captain Underpants was supposed to be counter programing and it did fine for it's low budget but in no way harmed Wonder Woman, it got slaughtered by Wonder Woman as a matter of fact. The Star will suffer the same fate releasing under Justice League.

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