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Wed Numbers: AC - 740K Dunkirk - 505K WW - 180K

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In recent times has any non-December movie that opened to more than 50m, had better legs than Gravity's 4.91x (274/55.8) ?

 

Martian was 4.2x (228.4/54.3) and Zootopia was 4.55x (341.2/75).

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24 minutes ago, a2knet said:

In recent times has any non-December movie that opened to more than 50m, had better legs than Gravity's 4.91x (274/55.8) ?

 

Martian was 4.2x (228.4/54.3) and Zootopia was 4.55x (341.2/75).

 

Frozen, if it counts. That's it.

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4 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

Frozen, if it counts. That's it.

Ah yes, though can't count it as it was a Wed opener and that helps the multiplier. Even TF5 has a multiplier of nearly 3x off the 3-day (130/44.6) :lol:.

But no doubt FROZEN could have challenged GRAVITY even if it opened on Friday. I think it would have beaten GRAVITY's 4.9x with a Friday opening.

The 3-day ow probably would have been 75-80 and then a 400 dom would give it a 5-5.3x multiplier.

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1 hour ago, a2knet said:

So WONDR will be 407 on Thu.

Then a 10% bump from last weekend over the 4-day weekend will give it 407 + 1.8 = 408.8 cume

Then adding 3-4 more for 412-413 dom seems doable.

Yeah a 4.0 is by no means a lock but it is possible.

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2 hours ago, zackzack said:

Dunkirk will hit $200M with Oscar push. You heard it here first :)

Box office after the Oscar nomination annoucement of movie released before september in the past:

 

Hurt locker 4.3m

Beast: $1.5m

Boyhood: $979k

Midnight in paris: $300k

Winter bone: $260k

Grand budapest hotel: $215k

The help: $100k

Fury Road: $0

Hell or high water : $0

Tree of Life: $0

Toy story 3: 0

Kids of All rights: 0

Inception: 0

Up: 0

District 9: 0

Inglorious bastard: 0

 

When talking early release date, Oscar can help the winner or very small movie that have people learning about them for the first time by the Oscar nomination annoucement.

 

For a movie that achieved complete saturation (almost anyone that would care about the Oscar are already aware of Dunkirk) like Dunkirk with that release date (DVD release in november) I'm not sure the Oscar can have any effect box office wise, outside winning best picture and even then should not be big. It is about helping home video performance at that point.

 

Box office wise, it is more the Golden Globes that matter.

Edited by Barnack
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59 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Box office after the Oscar nomination annoucement of movie released before september in the past:

 

Hurt locker 4.3m

Beast: $1.5m

Boyhood: $979k

Midnight in paris: $300k

Winter bone: $260k

Grand budapest hotel: $215k

The help: $100k

Fury Road: $0

Hell or high water : $0

Tree of Life: $0

Toy story 3: 0

Kids of All rights: 0

Inception: 0

Up: 0

District 9: 0

Inglorious bastard: 0

 

When talking early release date, Oscar can help the winner or very small movie that have people learning about them for the first time by the Oscar nomination annoucement.

 

For a movie that achieved complete saturation (almost anyone that would care about the Oscar are already aware of Dunkirk) like Dunkirk with that release date (DVD release in november) I'm not sure the Oscar can have any effect box office wise, outside winning best picture and even then should not be big. It is about helping home video performance at that point.

 

Dunkirk will earn close to $180M this Labor Day weekend and will hit $190M in a month or 2. If Warner decides for an Oscar push, it could play on for months longer and war movie is easier to sell than a historical drama or some quirky indie darling. But you are right: historical data speaks volume. 

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Wednesday Chart,

 

  Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate $1,047,510 -37% 3,377 $310   $43,678,718 13
2 (2) Annabelle: Creation Warner Bros. $741,352 -34% 3,565 $208   $80,948,955 20
- (3) Wind River Weinstein Co. $520,456 -36% 2,095 $248   $11,896,631 27
- (5) Dunkirk Warner Bros. $504,171 -28% 2,774 $182   $174,162,476 41
- (6) Leap! Weinstein Co. $360,707 -46% 2,575 $140   $6,153,855 6
- (7) Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony Pictures $317,257 -36% 2,122 $150   $320,076,475 55
- (9) The Emoji Movie Sony Pictures $273,164 -42% 2,374 $115   $77,627,054 34
- (8) The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature Open Road $268,995 -43% 3,090 $87   $23,571,000 20
- (10) Girls Trip Universal $245,980 -29% 1,777 $138   $109,007,055 41
- (11) Despicable Me 3 Universal $193,305 -42% 2,116 $91   $255,340,195 62
- (13) The Glass Castle Lionsgate $189,509 -36% 1,298 $146   $13,162,792 20
- (12) Birth of the Dragon BH Tilt $188,185 -42% 1,618 $116   $3,470,310 6
- (14) Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $180,624 -35% 2,210 $82   $406,838,875 90
- (15) The Dark Tower Sony Pictures $179,143 -31% 2,338 $77   $45,637,945 27
- (-) Baby Driver Sony Pictures $161,552 -29% 1,757 $92   $103,896,962 64
- (-) All Saints Sony Pictures $139,246 -45% 846 $165   $2,049,026 6
- (-) Kidnap Aviron Pictures $120,971 -39% 1,693 $71   $27,615,169 27
- (-) Atomic Blonde Focus Features $105,670 -24% 989 $107   $49,376,895 34
- (-) War for the Planet of the Apes 20th Century Fox $100,493 -36% 1,114 $90   $143,147,351 48
- (-) The Big Sick Lionsgate $78,593 -27% 706 $111   $39,471,167 69
- (-) Good Time A24 $71,005 -27% 721 $98   $1,244,727 20
- (-) Patti Cake$ Fox Searchlight $32,593 +100% 303 $108   $255,838 13
- (-) Detroit Annapurna Pictures $32,270 -31% 525 $61   $16,289,124 34
- (-) Valerian and the City of a … STX Entertainment $30,939 -29% 318 $97   $39,792,900 41
- (-) Menashe A24 $20,281 -24% 103 $197   $1,028,817 34
- (-) An Inconvenient Sequel Paramount Vantage $18,114 +6% 127 $143   $3,377,776 34
- (-) Cars 3 Walt Disney $17,075 -16% 214 $80   $149,120,569 76
- (-) Gentleman: Sundar, Susheel,… FIP $16,356 -53% 135 $121   $261,493 6
- (-) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $12,976 -20% 165 $79   $172,069,290 97
- (-) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $9,923 -14% 299 $33   $389,418,709 118
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