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CJohn

STEPHEN KING'S IT WEEKEND THREAD | 117.15 Mill!....NO SPOILERS..NOT EVEN IN TAGS!

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12 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I wonder what Kingsman's reviews will be like...lately I've been getting mediocre vibes despite really liking the trailers.

I think it'll be more mixed compared to the first film. 

 

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

I'm just glad horror finally moved beyond torture porn and found footage. For about a good 5-8 years there, horror was only torture porn or found footage. I'm guessing it was mainly because found footage was guaranteed profit as budgets never reached beyond like 2-4M and torture porn was... well, I've no idea why that was such a big thing in the middle, especially considering that the movie which supposedly kicked off the torture porn craze i.e Saw, didn't even have much gore in it. Much of that movie is implied than shown.

It's great that films like The Conjuring and IT had higher budgets compared to most horror films. The Blumhouse model does well but spending a bit more does pay off in the long run. 

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

@CJohn Annabelle: Creation is locked to cross $300m WW, TCU already has the record of the only Horror franchise to have two Horror movies grossing $300m WW, and it's going to expand even more now, this franchise is gigantic OS. The potential for The Nun next summer is unlimited.

I love to read this. I thought it was gonna end just below it but I guess there are some markets left?

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31 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

Lol, zakiyah. Nobody discredit anything. I have commented hundred times praising deadpool and WW runs. Same as me saying JW OW is more shocking than Avengers is not discrediting Avengers. That's common sense. 

fixed :ph34r:

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6 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I love to read this. I thought it was gonna end just below it but I guess there are some markets left?

It does, yeah - still has to open in Greece, Spain and Japan (Greece gets it in mid September, and the latter two only get this movie in October), and I think Spain might be a huge market for this as, since I have TDT, I have a lot of exposure to Spanish TV, and there's A TON of Annabelle: Creation ads. They're sparing zero expense. I want it to reach 300M WW, just so I can finally have a successful club :ph34r:

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55 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

If Deadpool and Wonder Woman did nothing special then how come more people didn't predict their numbers/legs?

 

This childishness of if one movie does something amazing so let's pretend that other movies didn't do anything amazing is so absurd. The same thing will happen to IT as well I'm sure. We will see its opening weekend down played by certain people with certain agendas. Nobody is taking anything away from IT's stunning weekend by mentioning other great box office stories like Deadpool's. Sorry but it is a big deal that Deadpool made as much as it did with that rating and him not being Batman or Spider-Man.

This.

 

This stuff shouldn't be this hard to grasp. 

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56 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

am I the only one here who thinks Home Again can leg it out like the other September hits Fatal Attraction (7.6 OW, 156.6 total) and Crocodile Dundee (8.0 OW, 174.8 total)??

No. $30 million would be a leggy total.

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1 minute ago, stephanos13 said:

So now Annabelle is a lock to crack $100M or not?

It needs less than $4 million to do it. It does $1 million or two weekly. Gets around $97 million before Friday. Makes $97-$99 million by next Sunday. Gets $99.5 million by the 22nd. The 24th it makes $101 million and finishes above The Conjuring 2. 

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2 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

So now Annabelle is a lock to crack $100M or not?

It is a lock.

 

Well, correction, It has already done it :ph34r:

 

But no, Annabelle absolutely is guaranteed to get there too. It's at 96M after a 4M weekend (46% drop in the wake of It's 120M+ - fuck WB's purposeful lowballing - opening). No way it misses the mark at this point. The real question is can it match The Conjuring 2's DOM total.

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Profitability goes beyond theatrical revenue and well received movies can capitalize on non-theatrical revenue like badly received ones cannot,

but fwiw...

 

137.4 dom + 180.6 os = 318.0 ww for CONJ1 with 20m prod budget (2013) 15.9x

84.3 dom + 172.6 os = 256.9 ww for ANNA1 with 6.5m prod budget (2014) 39.5x 

102.5 dom + 217.8 os = 320.3 ww for CONJ2 with 40m prod budget (2016) 8.0x

>100 dom + >200 os = >300 ww for ANNA2 with 15m prod budget (2017) >20x

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5 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

If you include Split, Get Out, Annabelle, and It, this year had four horror movies cross 250 m WW.

 

I don't believe any other year had more than one.

IMO Split is not horror, its a phsycological thriller and in the superhero genre.

 

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9 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

So now Annabelle is a lock to crack $100M or not?

Weekend 5 for CONJ1, CONJ2, A1 and A2 (in that order) :

 

5

$3,885,296

8-18-13 / 122,001 / $1,942

-41.4%  $127,838,166

$1,711,805

7-10-16 / 111,052 / $1,627

-55.4%  $99,340,137

$1,959,047

11-2-14 / 141,755 / $1,116

-41.5%  $82,459,183

Est. $4,000,000

9-10-17 / 43,003 / $1,332-

46.7%  $96,267,010

 

            added 9.6 more                  added 3.2 more                 added 1.8 more           needs 3.7 more for 100

 

 

A1 never had summer weekdays while CONJ1 and CONJ2 had summer weekdays throughout, so they added well compared to the weekends shown here.

 

A2 now does not have summer weekdays but should add 5-6 if not more.

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IT surpassed the OW of Wonder Woman to become the biggest OW of year for Warner in the follow countries:

 

Spain: $3.1m x $2.4m

UK: $12.3m (!!!!) x $7.9m

Russia: $6.7m x $3.9m

Australia: $5.9m x $5m

Netherlands: $1.4m x 900k

Poland: $1.15m x 326k

 

And keep an eye on Mexico's numbers next week where IT's buzz is out of the world and it is expected to challenge BATB to become the second biggest OW of year there. 

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