WrathOfHan Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 It's looking to be down a lot from yesterday at my theater. Practically every showing was 95% full yesterday, but today is looking rather modest: 11:00: 20/78 12:30: 1/78 2:15: 2/78 3:45: 0/78 5:30: 10/78 7:00: 4/78 8:30: 3/78 School is still out today and tomorrow, so I'll take a guess and say those daytime sellouts had working adults and parents available to go. I imagine tonight should be packed at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Very good increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, a2knet said: how so? i will go very easy on WB with projections and even low-balling Disney: WB say IT does ~345 dom, so brings in ~200 more. (currently ~143.5 5-day) A:C and WONDR and Dunkirk bring in 15 more combined JL does say 410 (my real prediction is much less but using this number to show how easy Disney can win) BR49 does 150 (my real prediction is much less but using this number to show how easy Disney can win) GeoSt does 75 Ninjago 125 That's 200+15+410+150+75+125 = 975M DISNEY (again, low-balling on purpose. don't yell at me ) SW8 + THOR3 + COCO = 725 + 210 + 90 = 1.025B...50 more than 975 even after going positive with WB. Even if there are some WB releases I have missed, these Disney numbers can go up higher. You are right and that's giving 90m to COCO and 210m to Thor3? Isn't that awfully low??? (especially for CoCo) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 1 minute ago, FantasticBeasts said: You are right and that's giving 90m to COCO and 210m to Thor3? Isn't that awfully low??? (especially for CoCo) at least for thor3 it is, just to prove my point about how big an edge disney has even with these numbers. as to coco, my hands are tied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayr Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, a2knet said: how so? i will go very easy on WB with projections and even low-balling Disney: WB say IT does ~345 dom, so brings in ~200 more. (currently ~143.5 5-day) A:C and WONDR and Dunkirk bring in 15 more combined JL does say 410 (my real prediction is much less but using this number to show how easy Disney can win) BR49 does 150 (my real prediction is much less but using this number to show how easy Disney can win) GeoSt does 75 Ninjago 125 That's 200+15+410+150+75+125 = 975M DISNEY (again, low-balling on purpose. don't yell at me ) SW8 + THOR3 + COCO = 725 + 210 + 90 = 1.25B...150 more than 825 even after going positive with WB. Even if there are some WB releases I have missed, these Disney numbers can go up higher. But the numbers for SW will stop counting by the time it reaches 12am by Jan. 2018. So if you predict SW will have 725m dom, it is possible only 500 will be counted and the other 225 will be for 2018. Just a thought. So it will be really close. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, a2knet said: at least for thor3 it is, just to prove my point about how big an edge disney has even with these numbers. as to coco, my hands are tied Well I would say that a mid 100s number feels locked for Coco. What was the last Pixar movie to do under 100m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, jayr said: But the numbers for SW will stop counting by the time it reaches 12am by Jan. 2018. So if you predict SW will have 725m dom, it is possible only 500 will be counted and the other 225 will be for 2018. Just a thought. So it will be really close. Is it so? My bad! I thought it was about final grosses but that feels not right now that I am thinking about it. If so, I think it may be an intresting race. Of cource, I am rooting for WB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted September 13, 2017 Author Share Posted September 13, 2017 37 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Thor+Coco+SW vs BR2049+Ninjago+JL... And 150 M+ from IT and maybe some million from BASTARDS. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted September 13, 2017 Author Share Posted September 13, 2017 30 minutes ago, a2knet said: how so? i will go very easy on WB with projections and even low-balling Disney: WB say IT does ~345 dom, so brings in ~200 more. (currently ~143.5 5-day) A:C and WONDR and Dunkirk bring in 15 more combined JL does say 410 (my real prediction is much less but using this number to show how easy Disney can win) BR49 does 150 (my real prediction is much less but using this number to show how easy Disney can win) GeoSt does 50 Ninjago 125 That's 200+15+410+150+50+125 = 950M DISNEY (again, low-balling on purpose. don't yell at me ) SW8 + THOR3 + COCO = 735 + 225 + 90 = 1.05B...100 more than 950 even after going positive with WB. Even if there are some WB releases I have missed, these Disney numbers can go up higher. SW VIII making 735 M until Dec 31? Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Jesus, WB just be sitting back drench in dollar bills. I mean seriously, 35M budget........and they're getting 11M dollar days on a Tuesday lol. It doesn't matter it this make 300M or not, right now all of this is just pure icing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 19 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: SW VIII making 735 M until Dec 31? Hmm. didn't think about that but my wb numbers are optimistic anyway : used 560 combined dom for jl and br49. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted September 13, 2017 Author Share Posted September 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, a2knet said: didn't think about that but my wb numbers are optimistic anyway : used 560 combined dom for jl and br49. Anything can happen. No one expected IT to do what it is doing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 22 minutes ago, K1stpierre said: Jesus, WB just be sitting back drench in dollar bills. I mean seriously, 35M budget........and they're getting 11M dollar days on a Tuesday lol. It doesn't matter it this make 300M or not, right now all of this is just pure icing. The profits from IT will pay for any losses they made with King Arthur and Live by Night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 I think we have reached the point where IT has moved past the wildly successful trailer as its source of business to WOM and cultural phenomenon status now driving ticket sales. Studios should definitely learn this lesson from IT: a great trailer can lead to a huge opening weekend. Of course, the recent uptick in scary clown sightings/mythology in contemporary cultural helped as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, LonePirate said: I think we have reached the point where IT has moved past the wildly successful trailer as its source of business to WOM and cultural phenomenon status now driving ticket sales. Studios should definitely learn this lesson from IT: a great trailer can lead to a huge opening weekend. Of course, the recent uptick in scary clown sightings/mythology in contemporary cultural helped as well. I wouldn't underestimate the impact of there not being any movie worth of note for weeks on end. August was more or less devoid of any big start, with the last weeks before the start of It being especially empty. The last big start (and counting that as big is already pushing it) was Dunkirk in July, seven weeks before It came out. The last blockbuster start was Spiderman in early July. When there is so little going on, the first interesting new release will benefit a lot. It would have broken out anyway, but this complete lack of anything worth of note in the weeks prior to it gave it a big boost as well. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 36 minutes ago, LonePirate said: I think we have reached the point where IT has moved past the wildly successful trailer as its source of business to WOM and cultural phenomenon status now driving ticket sales. Studios should definitely learn this lesson from IT: a great trailer can lead to a huge opening weekend. Of course, the recent uptick in scary clown sightings/mythology in contemporary cultural helped as well. IT mini-series also gets a lot of credit imo. Important for nostalgia and cutting across age groups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 2 hours ago, WeneedtotalkaboutKevin said: Everyone's got their quirks, but may I ask where your distaste for WB came from? Like it seems such a random thing to root against... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNDERDOG Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, DAJK said: Everyone's got their quirks, but may I ask where your distaste for WB came from? Like it seems such a random thing to root against... He ran the donut shop at the WB lot in Burbank, until he got fired for eating the inventory. From then on, he vowed to destroy Kevin and everything WB stands for. ...He's not succeeding, incase you can't tell. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry713 Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Disney will probably come out the winner for 2017, but WB will likely have a higher profit margin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 40 minutes ago, harry713 said: Disney will probably come out the winner for 2017, but WB will likely have a higher profit margin. Possibly. However, Disney is the runaway leader when you add in merchandising. For WB, the films are the end product, mostly. For Disney, the films are merely commercials for products and product branding which bring in billions of bucks. Cars 3 was not made because the previous film was a massive box office or critical success. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
