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Hiccup23

CAYOM Year 1 Predictions

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1 minute ago, cookie said:

@Alpha if you do this your ass will be descended upon by the fury of a thousand hellfires

I used Pacific Rim and Power Rangers as comps and then gave your film a not-insignificant boost in opening and legs for its reception and family appeal. I think it's perfectly fair :popcorn:

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Besides that's close to its production budget and if it's anything like Pacific Rim it'll be way bigger overseas and you'll make a tidy profit.

 

Of course if it's anything like Power Rangers it'll bomb so hard overseas that no one will dare speak of it for a decade or so :)

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MARCH

 

Rendezvous with Rama - 50.7/138.5

Seance - 13.7/48.3

Jim's Adversity - 8.4/29.7

Jungles - 5.2/16.3

Second Wind - 11.3/36.6

The Adventures of Oscar Pill - 37.2/115.8

Dawn of Extinction - 15.7/34.8

Seeing Her - 23.5/110.2

Signed in Blood - 14/40.2

Rabbids: The Big Adventure - 56.2/185.6

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FULL JUNE PREDICTIONS

 

Airframe - $25.3 / $70.4

 

The Great White - $20.1 / $41.1

Me & My Shadow - $55.5 / $174.6

 

Go Go GoBots - $29.2 / $77.0

Lucky - $6.7 / $16.1

 

Minnie's Treasure Hunt - $6.5 / $16.5

Rollercoaster - $18.5 / $57.6

The Yellow Wallpaper - $13.0 / $45.6

 

Agents - $29.4 / $94.4

Sailing Champion - $19.3 / $45.4

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APRIL

 

Salem's Lot - 19.2/41.5

Second to Singapore - 29.4/113.6

The Defiler - 17.3/47.0

He-Man - 56.3/150.8

A Love To Die For - 42.5/136.3

PRom - 14.5/38.9

The Trail - 3.9/8.1

 

MAY

 

The Adventures of Scrooge McDuck - 64.7/310.5

Among The Serpents - 4.2/15.9/48.2

Chronic Trigger - 43.7/117.5

Mara, Daughter of The Nile - 21.5/67.3

Blood and Fur - 9.6/29.8

Operation Megasquad - 17.3/39.6

The Ultimate Prank - 8.2/27.6

Brandybrook - 25.7/70.5

Voltron: Defenders of the Universe - 71.5/264.8

 

JUNE

 

Airframe - 13.6/38.7

Great White - 35.8/96.1

Me & My Shadow - 48.2/180.3

Go Go Bots - 55.8/142.9

Lucky - 15.5/42.9

Minnie's Treasure Hunt - 6.3/20.9

Rollercoaster - 33.5/107.7

The Yellow Wallpaper - 7.5/17.3

Agents - 61.5/212.9

Sailing Champion - 18.3/64.9

 

JULY

 

Apocamance - 25.9/133.7

The Curse of Monkey Island - 48.5/234.5

The Beckinsville Files - 9.3/28.0

Mile High - 10.7/33.5

Spark Rising - 83.7/295.3

Hive Havoc - 36.2/133.8

Dangerous Beauty - 12.6/40.2

Screaming Planet - 42.6/126.5

 

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May

Friday, June 2

Airframe - 12.5M/34.0M

 

Friday, June 9

The Great White - 20.2M/76.4M

Me & My Shadow - 65.7M/256.7M

 

Friday, June 16 - Father's Day Weekend

Go Go GoBots - 53.6M/155.4M

Lucky - 15.6M/48.8M

 

Friday, June 23

Minnie's Treasure Hunt - 5.4M/14.9M

Rollercoaster - 32.3M/102.8M

The Yellow Wallpaper - 6.6M/15.5M

 

Friday, June 30

Agents -  59.3M/215.0M

Sailing Champion - 11.6M/35.1M

Edited by Hiccup23
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July

 

Tuesday, July 4 - Independence Day

Apocamance - 109.6M

The Curse of Monkey Island - 282.4M

 

Friday, July 7

The Beckinsville File - 2.4M/5.9M

 

Friday, July 14

Mile High - 15.3M/51.8M

Spark Rising - 92.5M/322.6M

 

Friday, July 21

Dangerous Beauty - 10.3M/27.1M

Hive Havoc - 28.6M/89.0M

 

Friday, July 28

The Screaming Planet - 37.2M/111.1M

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FULL JULY & AUGUST PREDICTIONS

 

July

Apocamance - $7.4 (3-day OW) / $12.8 (6-day launch) / $31.5

The Curse of Monkey Island - $39.5 (3-day OW) / $68.7 (6-day launch) / $153.0

The Beckinsville File - $10.6 / $23.8

 

Mile High - $22.0 / $57.6

Spark Rising - $79.2 / $207.3

 

Dangerous Beauty - $12.2 / $25.6

Hive Havoc - $29.5 / $90.2

 

The Screaming Planet - $55.3 / $133.3

 

August

Phone - $14.9 / $32.8

Public Eye - $32.6 / $110.5

 

Flowers for Algernon - $22.2 / $101.4

 

An Apple a Night - $15.4 / $56.8

Dino-Riders - $16.4 / $37.1

 

Ninja - $9.5 / $20.5

The Space Pirates - $34.6 / $90.6

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It's just slightly worse hold than Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, or Star Trek Beyond, and considerably better than OblivionValerian, or John Carter.

 

Was trying to balance its blockbuster family appeal with the competitive summer, abundance of sci-fi films, and likely high percentage of fickle teen girl audiences :P 

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Just now, Xillix said:

It's just slightly worse hold than Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, or Star Trek Beyond, and considerably better than OblivionValerian, or John Carter.

 

Was trying to balance its blockbuster family appeal with the competitive summer, abundance of sci-fi films, and likely high percentage of fickle teen girl audiences :P 

 

If anything, Spark will rise (forgive the pun) and Screaming Planet at the end of July will take the brunt of the sci-fi fatigue. Screaming Planet could pull a Valerian imo 

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Not sure if most people would really put The Screaming Planet into the "sci-fi" category that firmly, it's a pretty standard disaster flick.

 

That said I do not care in the slightest if it bombs because MV Pictures is shutting down after Y1 anyway :P

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3 hours ago, Xillix said:

It's just slightly worse hold than Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, or Star Trek Beyond, and considerably better than OblivionValerian, or John Carter.

 

Was trying to balance its blockbuster family appeal with the competitive summer, abundance of sci-fi films, and likely high percentage of fickle teen girl audiences :P 

SR is an original property with really strong reviews, so I'm not sure I agree with your comps. I can see a sub 3x multiplier, but it would have to open over 75m for it to make sense to me.

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