CAYOM: Year 1 - Actuals

[Alpha]

Well, here we go.

 

As a disclaimer, the first few weeks of Year 1 are going to have holdovers from 2016, as Year 1 begins with the 2017 calendar. However, I won't be including films that had large expansions into the Top 12. Here's a list:

 

Hidden Figures

La La Land

A Monster Calls

Patriots Day

Live by Night

 

January's actuals will be up in a moment. Grab your popcorn.

[cookie]

@Alpha to everyone:

 

 

Everyone:

 

Edited September 23, 2017 by cookie

[Xillix]

Does anyone have a fainting couch I could use? I'm getting the vapors!

[Rorschach]

I didn't make any films so I'm just watching from the sidelines.

 

 

Seeing Her over $100 million club

[Alpha]

Good things come to those who wait, unless you had a film released in January.

 

January 6-8: 'Rogue One' Leads Soft Start to Year 1

 

1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $22,063,570 (-55.5%) (4th week)

2. Sing - $20,712,365 (-51.7%) (3rd week)

3. Killer Plane - $16,098,341 (NEW) (1st week)

4. Passengers - $8,816,213 (-45.4%) (3rd week)

5. Ophidiophobia - $7,750,124 (NEW) (1st week)

6. Why Him? - $6,901,730 (-31.3%) (3rd week)

7. Moana - $6,384,485 (-41.9%) (7th week)

8. Fences - $4,813,606 (-52.1%) (4th week)

9. Assassin's Creed - $4,178,643 (-51.8%) (3rd week)

10. Manchester by the Sea - $2,518,237 (-40.7%) (8th week)

 

January 13-16: 'Lake of the Psychopaths' Leads Quieter-Than-Usual MLK Weekend

 

1. Lake of the Psychopaths - $17,603,257 / $21,021,597 (NEW) (1st week)

2. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $14,516,340 / $18,223,045 (NEW) (1st week)

3. Sing - $14,240,380 (-31.2%) (4th week)

4. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $13,468,189 (-39.0%) (5th week)

5. Killer Plane - $8,597,867 (-46.6%) (2nd week)

6. Passengers - $5,345,892 (-39.4%) (4th week)

7. Moana - $4,311,271 (-32.5%) (8th week)

8. Why Him? - $3,591,726 (-48.0%) (4th week)

9. Fences - $2,755,038 (-42.8%) (5th week)

10. Ophidiophobia - $2,222,239 (-71.3%) (2nd week)

 

January 20-22: 'SOMA' Creeps Into #1, 'Captain Planet' Fizzles

 

1. SOMA - $22,903,409 (NEW) (1st week)

2. Captain Planet - $20,793,405 (NEW) (1st week)

3. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $9,723,509 (-33.1%) (2nd week)
4. Sing - $9,003,780 (-36.8%) (5th week)

5. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $7,210,470 (-46.5%) (6th week)

6. Lake of the Psychopaths - $5,298,354 (-69.9%) (2nd week)

7. Killer Plane - $3,615,230 (-58.0%) (3rd week)

8. Moana - $2,695,781 (-37.5%) (9th week)

9. Passengers - $2,247,012 (-58.0%) (5th week)

10. Lion - $1,765,427 (-23.0%) (9th week)

 

January 27-29: Another Dismal Weekend in January as 'Captain Planet' Inches Into #1

 

1. Captain Planet - $11,414,231 (-45.1%) (2nd week)

2. SOMA - $10,238,477 (-55.3%) (2nd week)

3. The Artificial Age - $9,972,350 (NEW) (1st week)

4. Sing - $6,408,210 (-28.8%) (6th week)

5. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $5,791,250 (-40.4%) (3rd week)

6. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $5,274,513 (-26.8%) (7th week)

7. Moana - $2,479,845 (-8.0%) (10th week)

8. Battle: Mars - $2,467,213 (NEW) (1st week)

9. Lion - $2,348,719 (+33.0%) (10th week)

10. Manchester by the Sea - $2,071,096 (+118.3%) (11th week)

[Hiccup23]

Very solid opening for Lake of Psychopaths. It should make an easy profit!

[Xillix]

Honestly with a $60 million budget and a decent likelihood to do well overseas - not that bad for Captain Planet. The Artificial Age is obviously a domestic bomb which is not unexpected, but again, foreign audiences eat up Anderson's nonsense for some reason, so who knows?

[cookie]

January PTA:

 

SOMA - $7,634

Lake of the Psychopaths - $5,959 / $7,116

Captain Planet - $5,938

Killer Plane - $5,282

Timmy's Winter Vacation - $4,804 / $6,030

The Artificial Age - $3,203

Ophidiophobia - $2,703

Battle: Mars - $1,001

[Bastien]

Predictions vs Actuals (avg OW Predicts vs OW Actuals / diff) :

 

Killer Planet: 15.3 vs 16.1  (+5.0%)

Ophidophobia: 7.1 vs 7.75 (+8.4%)

Timmy's Winter Vacation: 14.6 vs 14.5 (-0.8%)

Lake of the Psychopaths: 12.8 vs 17.6 (+37.3%)

Captain Planet: 23.7 vs 20.8 (-12.2%)

SOMA: 19.9 vs 22.9 (+15.4%)

Battle: Mars 3D: 3.5 vs 2.5 (-29.8%)

The Artificial Age: 12.3 vs 10.0 (-19%)

[Hiccup23]

What is the schedule with the actuals?

[Alpha]

42 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

What is the schedule with the actuals?

 

February actuals are coming up tonight, but going forward it'll probably be one/two months a day.

[Hiccup23]

Fucking nervous about Poison and Wine. I think it should do well opening weekend and hold good the second weekend because of President's Day. 

[cookie]

20 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

Fucking nervous about Poison and Wine. I think it should do well opening weekend and hold good the second weekend because of President's Day. 

Fifty Shades Darker would be a good comparison (legs-wise, not numbers wise) due to same date.

[Hiccup23]

11 minutes ago, cookie said:

Fifty Shades Darker would be a good comparison (legs-wise, not numbers wise) due to same date.

 Agree...FSD's numbers are too low

[Alpha]

February 3-5

This weekend was the big game, and because of that, moviegoers decided to stay home and watch the Patriots duke it out with the Falcons than show up to the multiplex. Because of that, high school football drama White Jerseys entered in at #1 with a half-decent but unimpressive $11.6 million. Clearly, more people wanted to watch actual football live than watch other actors pretend to play football on-screen. Uwe Boll was back on his bullshit this weekend as The Devil's Hitman bombed with only $1.4 million. Expect it to get pulled out of theaters pretty quickly, unless national controversy arrises when Mr. Boll assaults a local box-office worker for selling so few tickets, in which case it will continue to drop off at the same rate.

 

1. White Jerseys - $11,619,925 (NEW) (1st week)

2. Captain Planet - $5,817,082 (-49.0%) (3rd week)

3. SOMA - $4,988,285 (-51.3%) (3rd week)

4. Sing - $4,052,190 (-36.8%) (7th week)

5. Lion - $3,760,097 (+60.1%) (11th week)

6. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $3,128,902 (-46.0%) (4th week)

7. The Artificial Age - $3,120,024 (-68.7%) (2nd week)

8. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $2,922,879 (-44.6%) (8th week)

9. The Devil's Hitman - $1,387,973 (NEW) (1st week)

10. Moana - $1,337,481 (-46.1%) (11th week)

 

February 10-12

After a few weeks of a quiet winter box office, this was the first big weekend at the box office with three new releases. Two of them, horror anthology The SCP Foundation and the action-packed video game adaptation Mirror's Edge debuted strongly, rolling in at $50.8 million and $37.1 million, respectively. Plenty of pre-release hype combined with critical acclaim meant a major box-office success for SCP, while Mirror's Edge stood out as one of the first "tentpoles" of the year. Both received a "B+" CinemaScore. Meanwhile, Poison and Wine had a decent debut at $15.3 million. The romantic drama was faced with mixed to negative prior to it's release, and its strong sexual content pushed more descerning viewers away from making it a Valentine's Day sensation. It received a "B-" CinemaScore.

 

1. The SCP Foundation - $50,815,929 (NEW) (1st week)

2. Mirror's Edge - $37,124,239 (NEW) (1st week)

3. Poison and Wine - $15,293,858 (NEW) (1st week)

4. White Jerseys - $6,124,895 (-47.3%) (2nd week)

5. Lion - $3,950,610 (+5.1%) (12th week)

6. SOMA - $2,912,481 (-41.6%) (4th week)

7. Captain Planet - $2,877,092 (-50.5%) (4th week)

8. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $2,004,578 (-35.9%) (5th week)

9. Sing - $1,703,625 (-58.0%) (8th week)

10. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $1,495,988 (-48.8%) (9th week)

 

February 17-20 (President's Day Weekend)

Fending off two strong holdovers, the Tattooed Teenage Alien Fighters from Beverly Hills took the top spot on a lively President's Day weekend, with a four-day debut of $30.6 million. The problem? Audiences expecting a contemporary, if satirical superhero team-up left the theater disappointed by the film's twist ending, which was bound to alienate moviegoers. It ended up receiving a "C" CinemaScore, which is surprising considering the decent reaction it got from critics. Maybe it'll become a cult favorite down the line. The SCP Foundation and Mirror's Edge both kept their momentum over the four-day weekend, while the psychological thriller Best Friends Forever entered at #4 with $16.4 million over it's first four days, most likely overshadowed by the more prescient horror entry in SCP.

 

1. Tattooed Teenage Alien Fighters from Beverly Hills - $24,250,095 / $30,567,124 (NEW) (1st week)

2. The SCP Foundation - $22,923,395 (-54.0%) (2nd week)

3. Mirror's Edge - $20,972,694 (-43.5%) (2nd week)

4. Best Friends Forever - $13,859,955 / $16,368,870 (NEW) (1st week)

5. Poison and Wine - $8,100,124 (-47.0%) (2nd week)

6. Lion - $4,203,529 (+6.4%) (13th week)

7. White Jerseys - $3,914,126 (-36.1%) (3rd week)

8. Captain Planet - $2,410,234 (-16.2%) (5th week)

9. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $2,135,125 (+6.5%) (6th week)

10. SOMA - $1,992,370 (-31.6%) (5th week)

 

February 24-26

For the makers of Runaway: A Road Adventure, it was a disappointing weekend. The action comedy landed at the bottom of most expectations with $14.8 million, and word-of-mouth that was hardly enthusiastic (it received a measly "C+" CinemaScore). Audiences, left with negative reception from critics and confusing marketing that failed to differentiate the film's action from comedy, instead found the quirky western BraveStarr the more appealing feature, giving it $18.1 million this weekend.

 

1. BraveStarr - $18,130,276 (NEW) (1st week)

2. Runaway: A Road Adventure - $14,810,570 (NEW) (1st week)

3. The SCP Foundation - $12,087,125 (-47.3%) (3rd week)

4. Mirror's Edge - $10,515,971 (-49.9%) (3rd week)

5. Tattooed Teenage Alien Fighters from Beverly Hills - $8,952,955 (-63.1%) (2nd week)

6. Best Friends Forever - $5,299,711 (-61.8%) (2nd week)

7. Lion - $3,832,257 (-8.8%) (14th week)

8. Poison and Wine - $2,804,990 (-65.4%) (3rd week)

9. White Jerseys - $2,010,149 (-48.6%) (4th week)

10. Timmy's Winter Vacation - $1,310,982 (-38.6%) (7th week)

[cookie]

Decent enough for Mirror's Edge, should clear $100m.

 

BTW you forgot to add the 4-day grosses for the holdovers @Alpha.

Edited September 24, 2017 by cookie

[Xillix]

Given TTAFFBH's low budget it'll probably be fine unless it totally bombs overseas.

 

As likely as it is to flop considering the mixed reaction to the first one, Ta2ed Teenage Alien Fighters from Beverly Hills is probably a go  

[cookie]

February PTA: 

 

The SCP Foundation - $14,885

Mirror's Edge - $9,764

Tattooed Teenage Alien Fighters From Beverly Hills - $7,545 / $9,511

BraveStarr - $5,972

Poison and Wine - $5,083

Best Friends Forever - $4,860 / $6,340

Runaway: A Road Adventure - $4,163

White Jerseys - $3,890

The Devil's Hitman - $857

[cookie]

Winter Top 10 grosses:

 

January 6-8: $78,195,807

January 13-15: $86,652,199 (+10.8%)

January 20-22: $85,256,377 (-1.6%)

January 27-29: $58,465,904 (-31.4%)

 

February 3-5: $42,134,838 (-27.9%)

February 10-12: $124,303,295 (+195.0%)

February 17-19: $104,761,647 (-15.7%)

February 24-26: $79,754,986 (-23.9%)

Edited September 24, 2017 by cookie

[Hiccup23]

Solid for Poison and Wine. Should reach 45M domestic.

Edited September 24, 2017 by Hiccup23