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efialtes76

Tuesday Numbers:BR2049 $3.57M...

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That said, wouldn't shock me at all if Luke Scott does a Netflix series and just drags it out over 20+ episodes a la Battlestar and Westworld. It is already essentially those shows playing with  near identical themes  and motifs. That's what I see if there's another Blade Runner anything. Ridley and Co. got him his practice in Morgan and the 2049 shorts.

Edited by JohnnyGossamer
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8 minutes ago, Mr Impossible said:

So you’re predicting it to have a worse Friday than its Monday? I don’t buy that even for Colombus Day... 

 

I think you’re doing math that’s irrelevant... 

 

Right now to me it’s looking like it’s heading towards 52-54% drop. Could be higher or lower depending on Friday increase or if it holds well or collapses on Wednesday and Thursday...

 

Played around with what you suggested :), and gave it a better True Friday hold than that movie [-55% vs -62%] and observed that it leads to a worse Full Friday hold [-69% vs -66%].

 

Also, regarding this, 

1 hour ago, Mr Impossible said:

It's been holding better in Monday and Tuesdy than Dracula Untold. Which had a 57.5% 2nd weekend drop...

forgot to mention: Discount Tuesdays in 2014 were much smaller than 2017. 3 Years is HUGE when it comes to growth of discount Tuesdays.

Keep an eye on the Wed drop. DU dropped -28%. You could be right and BR2049 could match that or do better, but I suspect BR2049 will drop 33-34% on Wed.

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9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Blade Runner got fucked in China

 

 

Kingsman 2 - Oct.20

Geostorm - Oct.27

Blade Runner 2049 - Oct.27

Thor 3 - Nov.3

Orient Express‎ - Nov.10

Justice League - Nov.17

   


 

 

 

sandwiched comfortably :sadben:

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9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Blade Runner got fucked in China

 

 

Kingsman 2 - Oct.20

Geostorm - Oct.27

Blade Runner 2049 - Oct.27

Thor 3 - Nov.3

Orient Express‎ - Nov.10

Justice League - Nov.17

   


Could still do Valerian #s in China. Haven't Marvel movies been under performing there, Thor 2 only did $55M there. 

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10 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Blade Runner got fucked in China

 

 

Kingsman 2 - Oct.20

Geostorm - Oct.27

Blade Runner 2049 - Oct.27

Thor 3 - Nov.3

Orient Express‎ - Nov.10

Justice League - Nov.17

   


Yeah not good. And followed by Thor3.

Thor3 will like the breathing room before JL.

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13 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Blade Runner got fucked in China

 

 

Kingsman 2 - Oct.20

Geostorm - Oct.27

Blade Runner 2049 - Oct.27

Thor 3 - Nov.3

Orient Express‎ - Nov.10

Justice League - Nov.17

   


Ouch. Gonna hurt all of them actually. Too much too close.

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5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Played around with what you suggested :), and gave it a better True Friday hold than that movie [-55% vs -62%] and observed that it leads to a worse Full Friday hold [-69% vs -66%].

 

Also, regarding this, 

forgot to mention: Discount Tuesdays in 2014 were much smaller than 2017. 3 Years is HUGE when it comes to growth of discount Tuesdays.

Keep an eye on the Wed drop. DU dropped -28%. You could be right and BR2049 could match that or do better, but I suspect BR2049 will drop 33-34% on Wed.

I didn't know discount Tuesday has grown, I've been using it for years always seen the same amount of people. Interesting. 

 

Dracula Untold had a 67% drop in its Friday to Friday. Blade Runner has held better on Monday not just Tuesday than it and both were released on Columbus Day weekends. 

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It would need to increase by numbers that are not normal in order to get less than a 55% drop... Not sure why that's so hard to understand considering it's not emotions at play but hard data.... with a 30% dip today and a 10% dip on Thursday it would need 150% just to hit 5.6m on Friday and I highly doubt it goes that high for its increase. And as Ak2net continues to point out the Sunday to Sunday drop will be brutal. 

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1 hour ago, Mr Impossible said:

I didn't know discount Tuesday has grown, I've been using it for years always seen the same amount of people. Interesting. 

 

Dracula Untold had a 67% drop in its Friday to Friday. Blade Runner has held better on Monday not just Tuesday than it and both were released on Columbus Day weekends. 

Discount Tuesday less relevant for a movie where such a large percentage are watching in IMAX I think.  This is a tough movie to fit in during the week as well

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23 minutes ago, narniadis said:

It would need to increase by numbers that are not normal in order to get less than a 55% drop... Not sure why that's so hard to understand considering it's not emotions at play but hard data.... with a 30% dip today and a 10% dip on Thursday it would need 150% just to hit 5.6m on Friday and I highly doubt it goes that high for its increase. And as Ak2net continues to point out the Sunday to Sunday drop will be brutal. 

Especially with some new releases crowding the market. Foreigner will eat into action crowd a bit. Death Day will eat up some curious moviegoers as well.

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1 hour ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

That said, wouldn't shock me at all if Luke Scott does a Netflix series and just drags it out over 20+ episodes a la Battlestar and Westworld. It is already essentially those shows playing with  near identical themes  and motifs. That's what I see if there's another Blade Runner anything. Ridley and Co. got him his practice in Morgan and the 2049 shorts.

 

I think Ridley had more stories in mind after this. There's a particular story line in the movie that was clearly set up to be expanded on. 

 

I enjoyed the movie. I didn't think it was great or a masterpiece. The main problem to me is the budget. If they would have kept it much lower it wouldn't be so poor looking box office wise. 

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3 minutes ago, junkshop36 said:

 

I think Ridley had more stories in mind after this. There's a particular story line in the movie that was clearly set up to be expanded on. 

 

I enjoyed the movie. I didn't think it was great or a masterpiece. The main problem to me is the budget. If they would have kept it much lower it wouldn't be so poor looking box office wise. 

How high was the budget on the Luke Scott live action viral shorts? If they really want to mine the universe, a limited/mini series via Netflix is likely the way. I guarantee Luke Scott would be all over it. He'll, his own Morgan shares a lot with BR. And, yeah, he already directed viral shorts.

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everything had large drops so BR's number really isn' t that bad. But it is not good either of course

 

1 (1) Blade Runner 2049 Warner Bros. $3,557,142 -20% 4,058 $877   $40,781,283 5
2 (5) The Mountain Between Us 20th Century Fox $1,343,805 -5% 3,088 $435   $13,311,222 5
3 (7) American Made Universal $1,095,485 -17% 3,031 $361   $33,239,110 12
4 (3) Kingsman: The Golden Circle 20th Century Fox $1,004,197 -30% 3,488 $288   $82,986,400 19
5 (4) It Warner Bros. $881,594 -38% 3,605 $245   $307,562,362 33
6 (8) Victoria and Abdul Focus Features $593,425 -16% 732 $811   $7,290,139 19
7 (2) The Lego Ninjago Movie Warner Bros. $558,316 -71% 3,611 $155   $46,539,114 19
8 (6) My Little Pony: The Movie Lionsgate $554,344 -61% 2,528 $219   $10,845,284 5
9 (9) Flatliners Sony Pictures $470,373 -24% 2,552 $184   $13,591,788 12
10 (10) Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight $293,840 -32% 1,822 $161   $8,563,851 19
11 (11) American Assassin Lionsgate $175,821 -23% 1,656 $106   $34,852,733 26
12 (12) Home Again Open Road $73,163 -23% 1,003 $73   $26,522,011 33
13 (13) mother! Paramount Pictures $52,178 -29% 481 $108   $17,423,149 26
14 (-) Judwaa 2 FIP $35,883 -32% 192 $187   $1,272,632 12
15 (-) Dunkirk Warner Bros. $32,686 -25% 313 $104   $187,337,995 82
- (14) Despicable Me 3 Universal $24,890 -64% 304 $82   $262,731,970 103
- (-) The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate $21,999 -31% 314 $70   $75,073,843 54
- (-) The Florida Project A24 $15,028 -30% 4 $3,757   $193,218 5
- (-) Brad’s Status Annapurna Pictures $13,430 -37% 247 $54   $2,064,390 26
- (-) Cars 3 Walt Disney $11,015 -51% 131 $84   $152,636,339 117
- (-) Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $9,217 -23% 155 $59   $412,421,748 131
- (-) The Glass Castle Lionsgate $7,578 -6% 113 $67   $17,254,346 61
- (-) Annabelle: Creation Warner Bros. $7,508 -25% 188 $40   $101,806,334 61
- (-) War for the Planet of the Apes 20th Century Fox $7,372 -33% 121 $61   $146,598,413 89
- (-) Friend Request Entertainment Studi… $7,346 -5% 154 $48   $3,715,373 19
- (-) Earth: One Amazing Day Atlas Distribution $7,018 -59% 70 $100   $69,598 5
- (-) Girls Trip Universal $4,885 -19% 90 $54   $115,099,245 82
- (-) Kidnap Aviron Pictures $4,480 -26% 77 $58   $30,607,844 68
- (-) The Big Sick Lionsgate $2,128 -47% 34 $63   $42,830,785 110
- (-) Good Time A24 $2,027 -43% 6 $338   $2,004,631 61
- (-) Menashe A24 $1,134 -61% 11 $103   $1,692,621 75
- (-) Detroit Annapurna Pictures $405 +38% 11 $37   $16,789,193 75
- (-) Woodshock A24 $355 +36% 9 $39

  $41

 

 

 

 

 

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