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Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!

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Yeah, more chances it trended down. 

 

And as always, it’s way too early for Friday estimates. Matinees not even over yet lol.

Edited by Sam
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7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

smth like....

21 + 24.15 (+15%) + 15.95 (-34%) = 61.1 (-50.2%) ?

 

tbh, best to temper expectations. If Vet Day is giving a big boost on Friday, then Sat may jump closer to 10% instead of 15-20%.

Suppose, but in the same scenario Strange saw "only" a 149% increase on Friday en route to -49% second weekend.

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Wow is Deadline crazy with that number! Would be great if it does that but looks highly unlikely

Quote

Disney/Marvel’s Thor: Ragnarok is coming in ahead of its $60M projected second weekend with $61.5M-$63M, -49% from last weekend and will beat both of its previous installments’ final cumes at the domestic B.O. (Thor at $181M and Thor: Dark World at $206.4M) with a running total by Sunday of $218M. Ragnarok‘s second Friday is looking like $21M.

 

20th Century Fox’s Murder on the Orient Express is looking healthy with a $9M Friday (including $1.6M previews) and a $24M weekend at 3,341 theaters.

 

Paramount’s Daddy’s Home 2 is looking at an estimated $8M-$8.5M today (including $1.5M previews) and a $21M weekend at 3,575 venues.

 

A Bad Moms Christmas is looking at $4.2M today, -23% from a week ago, for a second weekend of $11.5M, down only 31%, and a domestic total by Sunday of $39.9M.

 

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Deadline usually under predicts so there has to be something to this. Maybe we really are in for a huge Friday jump. Either way, I need it to be late tonight already so RTH cam come and prove whether Deadline is on to something or not.

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5 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

Thor in China is already at 78,29M this friday (4,46M  -71,4% from opening friday). MOTOE opened 1st at 4,63M.

Yeah its gonna blast past 90m by Sunday. Tomorrow is singles day in China so movies should see a small boost over normal. If it holds wel beyond the weekend then Thor could be at 100m already by the time JL opens. Strong performance in China (especially after PS were looking a bit weak)

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31 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 Ragnarok‘s second Friday is looking like $21M.

Almost 200% increase from Thursday (199%)...if that's the case, we'll have a new mark for a Vet's Day supers movie to watch...

 

It's possible with the number of screens and showings Thor still has...but it's also possible Deadline forgot it's Vet's Day and is extrapolating more full early matinees with a set multiplier that is giving a screwy number...

 

Edited Math b/c I'm am idiot today:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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The Deadline numbers for Thor do seem too high. Borat got a 209.7% bump for this weekend in 2006 and Santa Clause got 321.6%, but those started at 3.16m and 1.28m respectively. Low enough to have huge increases. Don’t think Thor will get an increase like those. 

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4 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Almost 300% increase from Thursday (299%)...if that's the case, we'll have a new mark for a Vet's Day supers movie to watch...

 

It's possible with the number of screens and showings Thor still has...but it's also possible Deadline forgot it's Vet's Day and is extrapolating more full early matinees with a set multiplier that is giving a screwy number...

That’s a 200% jump.

 

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6 minutes ago, Deja23 said:

The Deadline numbers for Thor do seem too high. Borat got a 209.7% bump for this weekend in 2006 and Santa Clause got 321.6%, but those started at 3.16m and 1.28m respectively. Low enough to have huge increases. Don’t think Thor will get an increase like those. 

Borat increased from 837 theaters to 2566 theaters from Thu to Friday that weekend. I remember the new stories around how they should gone wider in the first week itself but were unsure of how many seats they could fill and it completely over performed.

2006/11/09 1 $3,158,068 +14% 837 $3,773   $38,841,865 7
2006/11/10 1 $9,780,744 +210% 2,566 $3,812   $48,622,609 8

http://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Borat#tab=box-office

 

Flushed Away and SC3 both showed 300%+ bumps as family pics while other's were close to 150%.

    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Borat 20th Century Fox $9,780,744 +210% 2,566 $3,812   $48,622,609 8
2 (2) The Santa Clause 3: The Esc… Walt Disney $5,378,277 +322% 3,458 $1,555   $29,537,682 8
3 (3) Flushed Away Paramount Pictures $5,294,200 +336% 3,707 $1,428   $28,514,969 8
4 new Stranger Than Fiction Sony Pictures $4,915,623   2,264 $2,171   $4,915,623 1
5 (4) Saw III Lionsgate $2,396,626 +153% 3,013 $795   $65,676,069 15
6 new The Return Focus Features $1,800,000   1,986 $906   $1,800,000 1
7 (-) Babel Paramount Vantage $1,726,308   1,251 $1,380   $3,563,570 15
8 (5) The Prestige Walt Disney $1,615,992 +151% 2,236 $723   $43,023,022 22
9 (6) The Departed Warner Bros. $1,606,153 +152% 2,210 $727   $106,144,611 36

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2006/11/10

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