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Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts

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1 hour ago, James said:

Trailer views are important indeed. But this is the first live action pokemon movie, something everyone anticipated to look like a mess. IW and TLK well received have big screen predecesors. Plus, TLK is barely above Pokemon and the views for the first Endgeame trailer will not come even close to the 214m plus views of the first IW trailer, even if that one had more time to build views. Either way, it will be fun to track these runs. 

On YouTube. In terms of view count, TLK has the third biggest trailer views in a day, while PikaPika is at around 100M, which is still very great but it’s not touching TLK or Endgame. Though I has a small chance at bronze in 2019.

Edited by YourMother the Edgelord
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Pretty sure Endgame is going to be #1, but #2-6 is looking to be competitive: Frozen II, The Lion King, Episode IX, Captain Marvel, Detective Pikachu and Toy Story 4 all have chances at $400M (the latter two are long shots but semi plausible).

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6 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Pretty sure Endgame is going to be #1, but #2-6 is looking to be competitive: Frozen II, The Lion King, Episode IX, Captain Marvel, Detective Pikachu and Toy Story 4 all have chances at $400M (the latter two are long shots but semi plausible).

I would say, #1 & #2 between Endgame & The Lion King while #3-#6 among the 4 you mentioned.

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On 1/3/2019 at 1:40 PM, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Ok. Here’s my predicts for this year. Though they will be worldwide grosses.

 

1. The Lion King = 2.1B

2. Avengers: Endgame = $2.0B

3. Star Wars: EP9 = $1.27B

4. Frozen 2 = $1.17B

5. Jumanji 3 = $1.15B

6. Pets 2 = $1.13B

7. Spiderman: Far from Home = $1.070B

8. Hobbs & Shaw = $1.065B

9. Captain Marvel = $1.040B

10. Toy Story 4 = $1.035B

11. Detective Pikachu = $1.030B

12. Aladdin = $970M

13. Godzilla: King of the Monsters = $910M

14. How to Train Your Dragon 3 = $780M

15. It: Chapter 2 = $770M

16. Dumbo = $730M

17. Shazam = $710M

18. Joker = $680M

19. Men In Black: International = $615M

20. ??? = ???M

1. The Lion King = 2.1B

2. Avengers: Endgame = $2.0B

3. Star Wars: EP9 = $1.27B

4. Frozen 2 = $1.17B

5. Jumanji 3 = $1.15B

6. Pets 2 = $1.13B

7. Spiderman: Far from Home = $1.070B

8. Hobbs & Shaw = $1.065B

9. Captain Marvel = $1.060B

10. Toy Story 4 = $1.045B

11. Detective Pikachu = $1.040B

12. Godzilla: King of the Monsters = $980M

13. Aladdin = $940M

14. How to Train Your Dragon 3 = $780M

15. It: Chapter 2 = $770M

16. Dumbo = $730M

17. Shazam = $710M

18. Joker = $680M

19. Men In Black: International = $615M

20. ??? = ???M

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Domestic :

1. Endgame 700 -> the last installment of this current MCU , expect it to increase

2. TLK 670 -> classic animations + nostalgia 

3. IX 630 -> TLJ really hurts this , I expect just a tiny decline despite this is the last SW with Skywalker family

4. Frozen 520 -> great trailer + beloved original could boost my number even further

5. CM 380 -> first big movie in a death and dying marketplace + It's MARVEL

6. FFH 360 -> post Avenger could give it a bump from its predecessor

7. Jumanji 350 -> the first one is so huge but lightning doesn't strike twice

8. IT2 340 -> first one was great + barren September

9. TS4 320 -> bland trailer could hurt this movie gross + weak buzz but still great number tho

10. SLOP 300 -> heavy competition + unnecessary sequel could bring this gross less than the first

 

WW

1. Endgame : $2.15B 

2. TLK : $1.75B

3. Frozen : $1.35B

4. IX : $1.3B

5. FFH : $1B

6. CM : $950M

7. Jumanji : $900M

8. TS4 : $870M

9. SLOP 2 : $800M

10. Shazam : $780M

 

 

Edited by Claudio
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On 2/14/2019 at 6:59 AM, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

1. The Lion King = 2.1B

2. Avengers: Endgame = $2.0B

3. Star Wars: EP9 = $1.27B

4. Frozen 2 = $1.17B

5. Jumanji 3 = $1.15B

6. Pets 2 = $1.13B

7. Spiderman: Far from Home = $1.070B

8. Hobbs & Shaw = $1.065B

9. Captain Marvel = $1.060B

10. Toy Story 4 = $1.045B

11. Detective Pikachu = $1.040B

12. Godzilla: King of the Monsters = $980M

13. Aladdin = $940M

14. How to Train Your Dragon 3 = $780M

15. It: Chapter 2 = $770M

16. Dumbo = $730M

17. Shazam = $710M

18. Joker = $680M

19. Men In Black: International = $615M

20. ??? = ???M

1. The Lion King = 2.1B

2. Avengers: Endgame = $2.0B

3. Star Wars: EP9 = $1.27B

4. Frozen 2 = $1.17B

5. Jumanji 3 = $1.15B

6. Pets 2 = $1.13B

7. Spiderman: Far from Home = $1.070B

8. Hobbs & Shaw = $1.065B

9. Captain Marvel = $1.060B

10. Toy Story 4 = $1.045B

11. Detective Pikachu = $1.040B

12. Godzilla: King of the Monsters = $1.030B

13. Aladdin = $1.025B

14. How to Train Your Dragon 3 = $780M

15. It: Chapter 2 = $770M

16. Dumbo = $730M

17. Shazam = $710M

18. Joker = $680M

19. Men In Black: International = $615M

20. ??? = ???M

 

After seeing the latest trailer for Aladdin, i’ll up my predictions for the movie.

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48 minutes ago, jedijake said:

It's amazing how one trailer can change the perception of a movie's potential in an instant.

MARKETING IS KEY

 

Without good trailers, Detective Pikachu wouldn’t have be predicted more than Angry Birds numbers and without that GA appealing Aladdin trailers, Solo numbers would’ve looked more likely.

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33 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

I wonder if Disney can get 6 films to a billion this year. 

 

Locks are Frozen, SW9, Endgame, TLK

 

CM also locked

 

TS4 and Aladdin could do it... but I think competition will block them. TS4 should be +900M and Aladdin around 800M

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On 3/12/2019 at 11:47 AM, Lordmandeep said:

Far from Home I think is a sure thing compared to TS4. 

I think it's  unlikely that Far from Home reach  $1 bi (it's not strong enough Domestically), I think it's going to stay at $300m-$320m Dom, and I do not think it makes $700m OS, CM had a much bigger hype in its favor because of pre Endgame Boost , TS4 is much more likely to reach  $1 bi (Nostalgia will be big), TS4 can be the same size as Far From Home OS and stronger domestically.

 

And Far From Home is Sony, not Disney.

Edited by Lucasmessi12
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9 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

2019 is gonna be the "billie year"

Is it possible to get the first year with 10 films over $1B WW. 

 

Endgame, The Lion King, IX, Frozen and Captain Marvel are locks.

 

Far From Home, Toy Story 4 and Detective Pikachu have good shots at $1B WW

 

Pets 2, Hobbs and Shaw and Aladdin could do it as well if everything goes right.

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2 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Is it possible to get the first year with 10 films over $1B WW. 

 

Endgame, The Lion King, IX, Frozen and Captain Marvel are locks.

 

Far From Home, Toy Story 4 and Detective Pikachu have good shots at $1B WW

 

Pets 2, Hobbs and Shaw and Aladdin could do it as well if everything goes right.

10 seems too much for me. 

 

CM, EG, TLK, Frozen2 and IX are a lock and all from Disney. 

I'd say TS4 is also 90% locked. And maybe the only non-Disney would be that FastFurious trillionth movie due to huge China bo. 

I don't see Jumanji3, Pets2 or SM:FFH achieving the billie. If J2 couldn't against a "weak" TLJ ... J3 will not against the closing of the SW-Skywalker-saga" installment. Pets was fun, but can't see Pets2 increasing with all the competition it's gonna face in summer. And FFH gonna end on the 900M, unless EG leaves a hook for it (which i doubt they will). 

 

So, 6-7 billie movies is my bet for 2019

 

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  2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
1 $2,048.40 $1,332.50 $1,153.30 $1,669.00 $1,104.10 $1,276.50 $1,519.60 $1,341.50 $1,063.20
2 $1,346.90 $1,263.50 $1,056.10 $1,515.00 $956.00 $1,215.40 $1,108.60 $1,123.80 $1,025.50
3 $1,309.50 $1,236.00 $1,028.60 $1,405.00 $773.30 $970.80 $1,084.90 $1,045.70 $960.30
4 $1,242.80 $1,034.80 $1,023.80 $1,331.20 $758.50 $958.40 $1,021.10 $712.20 $825.50
5 $1,146.60 $962.10 $966.60 $1,157.30 $755.40 $865.00 $877.20 $694.70 $752.60
6 $889.10 $880.20 $875.50 $856.10 $747.90 $788.70 $829.70 $665.70 $698.50
7 $855.00 $870.30 $873.60 $851.00 $714.40 $743.60 $757.90 $626.10 $623.90
8 $791.10 $863.80 $814.00 $682.30 $710.60 $723.20 $746.90 $586.80 $591.80
9 $778.90 $854.00 $783.10 $621.80 $709.00 $668.00 $694.40 $563.70 $543.10
10 $653.70 $821.80 $746.80 $595.70 $675.10 $644.60 $624.00 $559.90 $494.90

 

2017 was impressive, 10 hollywood movies over 800m plus 1 Chinese movie.  Will this year do better?

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