Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts

[YM!]

Potential breakouts:

Glass: $180M-$200M

Dumbo: $175M-$220M

Godzilla 2: $250M-$275M

Shazam: $300M+

MIB: $150M+

Sonic: $130M-$150M+

Wicked: $300M+

[Jessie]

2 hours ago, Treeing Me Apart said:

oh no i just checked and it was 9 months, good to see you back. we both got banned after that justice league thread, guess you just got it a lot worse than me  

Yeah the day of the manchester attack where the thread put more importance into a famous persons daughters suicide, but i wont relive that or you wont hear from me for another 9 months 😁

[CaptainJackSparrow]

9 hours ago, Hades said:

Avengers 4 could finish out of the top four or 5?

I think it will reach fourth place after Lion King, Star Wars, and Aladdin. Although being the final film for many of the heroes should increase it from A3.

[MCKillswitch123]

EARLY predicts for weekends of 2019 through July:

 

Jan. #1 - Mary Poppins Returns

Jan. #2 - Hellboy _{^{(even if Mary Poppins hits Jumanji numbers, Hellboy is probably doing 35-40M OW)}}

Jan. #3 - Glass

Jan. #4 - Glass

Feb. #1 - Glass _{^{(nothing's slated for this w/e, but it's Super Bowl weekend, so best case scenario would be a dumb horror flick)}}

Feb. #2 - The Lego Movie Sequel _{^{(Silver & Black ain't hitting its current release date)}}

Feb. #3 - The Lego Movie Sequel _{^{(pretty confident on this, even if the Blumhouse flick is a romantic horror, like I presume)}}

Feb. #4 - The New Mutants

Mar. #1 - How To Train Your Dragon 3

Mar. #2 - Captain Marvel _{^{(that March 8th release date, though..... every bit as perfect as Panther on Black History Month)}}

Mar. #3 - Captain Marvel

Mar. #4 - Godzilla: King Of The Monsters

Mar. #5 - Dumbo

Apr. #1 - Shazam!

Apr. #2 - Shazam!

Apr. #3 - Pet Sematary _{^{(this is not gonna be an It V2, but the original has a bit of a cult charm, + don't ever count out the Stephen King hype wave anymore)}}

Apr. #4 - Pet Sematary _{^{(nothing's slated for this right now, but why would anything big come out on the weekend before Avengers 4 anyway?)}}

May #1 - Avengers 4

May #2 - Avengers 4

May #3 - John Wick: Chapter 3 _{^{(it is really close between this and Avengers 4's 3rd w/e, BUT A4 should have Civil War type legs or worse, and I think Wick 3 is increasing from 2, so that would be enough for it to get #1 on A4's 3rd w/e)}}

May #4 - Aladdin

May/Jun. - Aladdin

Jun. #1 - The Secret Life Of Pets 2

Jun. #2 - The Secret Life Of Pets 2 _{^{(not expecting the Men In Black spin-off to hit anywhere close to the main series' numbers)}}

Jun. #3 - Toy Story 4

Jun. #4 - Toy Story 4

Jul. #1 - Spider-Man: Homecoming 2

Jul. #2 - Top Gun: Maverick _{^{(I honestly think this is gonna be more Independence Day 2 than Jurassic World.... however, Homecoming 2 is probably gonna be on the frontloaded side, so I'm being generous here)}}

Jul. #3 - The Lion King _{^{(200M OW MOTHAFUCKAS)}}

Jul. #4 - The Lion King

[Avatree]

why is everyone predicting so much for Glass?

[YM!]

1.) Lion King $270M/$750M

2.) IX $220M/$660M

3.) WW2 $160M/$460M

4.) IW2 $200M/$420M

5.) Frozen 2 $150M (5 Day)/$415M

6.) Aladdin $145M (4 Day)/$400M

7.) Jumanji 2: $80M/$390M

8.) IT Chapter 2 $140M/$350M

9.) Toy Story 4 $90M/$335M

10.) Shazam $120M/$330M

11.) Homecoming 2 $120M/$310M

12.) Wicked $75M/$300M

13.) Pets 2 $90M/$285M

14.) Captain Marvel $95M/$270M

15.) Godzilla 2 $90M/$230M

16.) Dumbo $75M/$215M

17.) Glass $65M/$200M

18.) Lego 2 $60M/$200M

19.) Bond 25 $65M/$190M

20.) Dark Phoenix $80M/$185M

21.) Spies In Disguise $50M/$175M

22.) Dragon 3 $50M/$155M

23.) Peele Project $35M/$150M

24.) Hobbs and Shaw Forever $65M/$150M 

25.) Pet Cemetery $55M/$145M 

26.) Chaos Walking $40M/$135M

27.) Sonic The Hedgehog $50M/$130M

28.) Everest $35M/$120M

29.) Isn’t It Romantic $40M (4 Day)/$115M

30.) Detective Pikachu $40M/$110M

31.) Flarsky $30M/$100M

32.) CNV $30M/$100M

33.) JWC3 $35M/$100M

Edited March 29, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord

[NamakFiskKa]

26 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

1.) Episode IX $255M/$770M

Not happening

26 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

2.) Lion King $270M/$750M

Not happening

[xxoo]

TOP GUN for me I love that movie so much

[HouseOfTheSun]

It’s quite funny. Everyone predicts Star Wars and DC to rise in overall totals, and Marvel to fall despite the fact that it’s pretty much the opposite in reality.

[Mojoguy]

Nov and Dec 2019 have WAY too many big movies.

Wonder Woman 2
Bond
Frozen 2
Star Wars Episode 9
Jumanji sequel (?)

Something is bound to disappoint.

Edited March 29, 2018 by Mojoguy

[MovieMan89]

12 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Nov and Dec 2019 have WAY too many big movies.

Wonder Woman 2
Bond
Frozen 2
Star Wars Episode 9
Jumanji sequel (?)

Something is bound to disappoint.

IX will likely open below TLJ due to TLJ's reception and lack of a big hook for the finale like ROTS and ROTJ had. If IX is just as divisive, then things could get ugly from there in terms of a multi. I think far more of the GA will take a wait and see approach than with the previous SW films. 

 

Bond is also likely to feel the sting of Spectre's ho-hum reception in its OW and will probably need great WOM to avoid a decrease total. With the caveat to that being if they really play up it being Craig's farewell performance in the role.

 

WW2, F2, and J3 are all in good positions if the WOM is solid. Though all three also have next to no chance of increasing from the huge heights of their predecessor. So basically, I'd say there's a very strong chance all of these 5 films decrease from their predecessors. 

Edited March 29, 2018 by MovieMan89

[Lothar]

On 2/26/2018 at 9:11 PM, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Potential breakouts:

Glass: $180M-$200M

Dumbo: $175M-$220M

Godzilla 2: $250M-$275M

Shazam: $300M+

MIB: $150M+

Sonic: $130M-$150M+

Wicked: $300M+

 

3 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

1.) Episode IX $255M/$770M

2.) Lion King $270M/$750M

3.) WW2 $160M/$460M

4.) IW2 $200M/$420M

5.) Frozen 2 $150M (5 Day)/$415M

6.) Aladdin $145M (4 Day)/$400M

7.) Jumanji 2: $80M/$390M

8.) IT Chapter 2 $140M/$350M

9.) Toy Story 4 $90M/$335M

10.) Shazam $120M/$330M

11.) Homecoming 2 $120M/$310M

12.) Wicked $75M/$300M

13.) Pets 2 $90M/$285M

14.) Captain Marvel $95M/$270M

15.) Godzilla 2 $90M/$230M

16.) Dumbo $75M/$215M

17.) Glass $65M/$200M

18.) Lego 2 $60M/$200M

19.) Bond 25 $65M/$190M

20.) Dark Phoenix $80M/$185M

21.) Spies In Disguise $50M/$175M

22.) Dragon 3 $50M/$155M

23.) Peele Project $35M/$150M

24.) Hobbs and Shaw Forever $65M/$150M 

25.) Pet Cemetery $55M/$145M 

26.) Chaos Walking $40M/$135M

27.) Sonic The Hedgehog $50M/$130M

28.) Everest $35M/$120M

29.) Isn’t It Romantic $40M (4 Day)/$115M

30.) Detective Pikachu $40M/$110M

31.) Flarsky $30M/$100M

32.) CNV $30M/$100M

33.) JWC3 $35M/$100M

Looks good. But I think after TLJ SW-IX can't go that high we have Jumanji 2 too.

[WrathOfHan]

Wonder Woman: It'll stay within 30M of the first either positively or negatively. Legs are a question mark because this will be more frontloaded than the first yet could still manage a 3x.

Bond: Mid-100s unless the marketing is incredibly strong. Spectre will have too much of an effect.

Frozen: Increase by about 30M. I don't see how this is going to decrease with even more kids into it now.

Star Wars: 180/580. It could get close to TLJ's total if WOM is strong, but the OW is going to have a fairly substantial drop.

Jumanji: Same deal as Wonder Woman. After how fucking nuts this movie went, an increase isn't impossible if the hook is there.

[Lothar]

On 11/15/2017 at 9:15 PM, Lothar said:

1. Star Wars: Episode IX - 650m
2. The Lion King - 510-550m
3. Wonder Woman 2 - 450-480m
4. Avengers: Infinity War Part 2 - 440-450m Depends on IW-1
5. Frozen 2 - 420m
6. Aladdin - 412m
7. Spider-Man: Homecoming 2 - 360m
8. It: Chapter 2 - 350m
9. Toy Story 4 - 350m
10. Suicide Squad 2 - 350m
11. Captain Marvel - 330-350m
12. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 320m
13. Shazam - 320m
14. Wicked - 300m
15. Godzilla 2 - 300m
16. The LEGO Movie 2 - 250m
17. Fast and Furious Spin-Off - 230m
18. Gambit - 190m
19. Men in Black - 190
20. New X-Men - 180m
21. How to Train Your Dragon 3 - 170m
22. Cowboy Ninja Viking - 140m
23. Untitled Jordan Peele Project - 140m
24. Spies in Disguise - 140m
25. Nicole - 140m
26. Dumbo - 115m
27. The SpongeBob Movie - 115m
28. Glass - 115m
29. Top Gun - 110m
30. Isn't It Romantic - 110m
31. Flarsky - 110m
32. Amusement Park - 110m
33. Everest - 105m

Little change in Captain Marvel and Lion King after Black Panther anything is possible with Marvel. 

 

[IronJimbo]

someone make a 2020 thread

[IronJimbo]

format: DOMESTIC / WORLDWIDE

sorted by: WORLDWIDE, HIGH TO LOW

 

1.) Frozen 2 $600/$1750M

2.) IW2 $680M/$1550M

3.) Lion King $600M/$1500M

4.) Episode IX $730M/$1450M

5) Alladdin $450M/$1150M

6.) WW2 $450M/$950M

7.) Jumanji 2: $350M/$800M

 

2019 is going to make so much money, so many big releases it's crazy. Captain marvel could make more $800m but I didn't bother because it's too unknown too me.

 

Frozen is going to make the most worldwide, just watch. Massive year for Disney... they've got such a monopoly it's sad.

[StevenG]

3 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

someone make a 2020 thread

 

1- AVATAR 2

(and then there's evereything else...)

[StevenG]

2019 will be all Disney (except for Wonder Woman 2) in the top five grossers...

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, StevenG said:

 

1- AVATAR 2

(and then there's evereything else...)

I expect it to make twice as much world wide as anything else that year, 0.5A2 will be hard to beat

[MovieMan89]

13 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Wonder Woman: It'll stay within 30M of the first either positively or negatively. Legs are a question mark because this will be more frontloaded than the first yet could still manage a 3x.

Bond: Mid-100s unless the marketing is incredibly strong. Spectre will have too much of an effect.

Frozen: Increase by about 30M. I don't see how this is going to decrease with even more kids into it now.

Star Wars: 180/580. It could get close to TLJ's total if WOM is strong, but the OW is going to have a fairly substantial drop.

Jumanji: Same deal as Wonder Woman. After how fucking nuts this movie went, an increase isn't impossible if the hook is there.

I think Jumanji 3 increasing would be borderline impossible. This one was just too much of a right time, novel hook situation that I don't think can be duplicated in the franchise. All the competition won't help either. 300+ should be a good target if it's well liked, imo. 

 

I'm curious about Frozen 2's audience. Are current 4-10 year olds into it on the level of the ones in that age group when the first came out? That seems unlikely to me. And then we get to the target demo of the first one and it will be interesting how it appeals to them. Most of them will be 11-16 and possibly not have much of any interest in the movie. The gap is a weird one because that's not a good age range to try to target an audience's childhood nostalgia. Late teens/early 20's is far more effective for that ala TS3. 

Edited March 29, 2018 by MovieMan89