THE JUSTICE LEAGUE (and The Star and Wonder) WEEKEND THREAD | PREMIUM ACCOUNT SALE NOW LIVE | Weekend Actuals ~ JL 93.84M, W 27.54M, T:R 21.66M, DH2 14.43M, MOTOE 13.80M, TS 9.81M

[That One Girl]

Just now, YourMother said:

I agree even if JL has a $105M OW (worst case imo), it’ll reach $300M but barely.

 

Justice League is not getting a 2.85x multi

[Sam]

If it ends up with 11-12M though, then woo boy.

 

Under TA’s 2nd weekend possible? 

[MovieMan89]

It would have a 33-35m OD if it followed BvS/SS with an 11m preview. 

[YM!]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

No one cares about that and it's sort of a different ballpark to compare  

First of all 

Second of all, not only was it frontloaded for an animated movies but frontloaded for an animated superhero movie (see BH6, SOOW).

 

Third of all, DC movies in general recently have been frontloaded except Wonder Woman.

 

[franfar]

Just now, YourMother said:

I agree even if JL has a $105M OW (worst case imo), it’ll reach $300M but barely.

Forget about 300M, if it's OW is 105M, it'll struggle to reach 200M. CBMs tend to be front loaded, and these reviews aren't gonna give it enough legs for a 3x multiplier. 

[That One Girl]

If you had said at the beginning of the year that a Stephen King adaptation released in September would have a higher OW than a Justice League movie, you'd be put in a mental hospital.

[YM!]

Just now, franfar said:

Forget about 300M, if it's OW is 105M, it'll struggle to reach 200M. CBMs tend to be front loaded, and these reviews aren't gonna give it enough legs for a 3x multiplier. 

Thanksgiving will help this a lot and if it draws in kids which I think it will, it has a chance.

[grey ghost]

13 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

I know we were all coming around to expect it but it's pretty shocking

 

Superman/Batman/Wonder Woman/The Flash/Aquaman/Cyborg

 

UNDER

 

Thor/The Hulk

 

 

 

[MovieMan89]

Just now, franfar said:

Forget about 300M, if it's OW is 105M, it'll struggle to reach 200M. CBMs tend to be front loaded, and these reviews aren't gonna give it enough legs for a 3x multiplier. 

It will reach 200 with a 105 ow lol, let's not get carried away. Maybe not 250 though. 

[franfar]

Just now, That One Guy said:

If you had said at the beginning of the year that a Stephen King adaptation released in September would have a higher OW than a Justice League movie, you'd be put in a mental hospital.

I laughed at the concept of a horror movie getting over a 3x multiplier before it came out. 

[YM!]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

If you had said at the beginning of the year that a Stephen King adaptation released in September would have a higher OW than a Justice League movie, you'd be put in a mental hospital.

Or if IT would have the highest non Star Wars OW of Q3-Q4 2017, I’d assume you’d were high, drunk and delusional.

Edited November 17, 2017 by YourMother

[kowhite]

Ouch.  That’s bad.  

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

If you had said at the beginning of the year that a Stephen King adaptation released in September would have a higher OW than a Justice League movie, you'd be put in a mental hospital.

 

By 30m.

[That One Girl]

Just now, Squadron Leader Tele said:

 

By 30m.

 

Man I wish I could travel in time and see all the surprising box office numbers that come around at the end of every year.  I'd be a prediction god.

[grey ghost]

Put the What Went Wrong Thread on stand by. 

[Dementeleus]

Just now, grey ghost said:

Put the What Went Wrong Thread on stand by. 

 

We don't do WWWs.

 

But full kudos to you for being the sole Winter Game contestant to basically nail this (and even you will be too high).

[raulbalarezo]

17 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

I know we were all coming around to expect it but it's pretty shocking

 

Superman/Batman/Wonder Woman/The Flash/Aquaman/Cyborg

 

UNDER

 

Thor/The Hulk

Not even in my worst scenario i would have expected this

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It will reach 200 with a 105 ow lol, let's not get carried away. Maybe not 250 though. 

Agreed. My forecast this morning with a 105M OW had it doing a 2.51x/264. Same multi off 97M gets it to 243.5M. 

[MovieMan89]

Just now, grey ghost said:

Put the What Went Wrong Thread on stand by. 

But everything that thread needs is already at the end of your post. 

[YM!]

Outside of IT, Fall has been shitty for WB. Ninjago flopped, hurting the LCU and potentially WAG, BR2049 sadly underperformed, and JL may be the lowest grossing DCEU movie.