5-Day Weekend Thread | Saturday #s (Asgard p.109) - Coco 17.7, Justice League 15.7, Wonder 8.3, Thor: Ragnarok 6.4, Daddy's Home 2 5.3

[NCsoft]

Well, it seems that Coco's Saturday was adjusted up,weekend trajectory better than first appeared.

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, cookie said:

Is SMH numbers WW within reach or unfeasible?

No, should finish about $30-40m less WW than SMH's $880m

[a2k]

1 minute ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Difficult, it dropped more than 50% in OS this weekend, will make another 25M at best.

If it does 2x the weekend more dom, gets 33.5 more. so 33.5 + 25 = 58.5m more ww takes it to 848.5m.

So 850 alive I guess, but tough yeah.

[LaughingEvans]

15 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

 

 

[a2k]

~310 OS FOR JL

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$171,546,643	35.6%
+ Foreign:	$309,800,000	64.4%
= Worldwide:	$481,346,643

 

 

Edited November 26, 2017 by a2knet

[TalismanRing]

 

About a 64% drop from O/S markets + Japan opening

[narniadis]

I think the Sunday hold for the family films (Coco in particular are really optimistic) wouldn't surprise me at all to see some decent % adjustments in the actuals. But overall, looks like Saturday was slightly stronger than the first RtH estimates  which is great.

 

Also - wtf at Daddy's Home 2 actually increasing on Saturday....

[That One Girl]

lmfaoo

 

38

98

Friend Request

ENTMP

$162

-54.6%

1

-1

$162

$3,759,089

$9.9

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

~310 OS FOR JL

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$171,546,643	35.6%
+ Foreign:	$309,800,000	64.4%
= Worldwide:	$481,346,643

 

 

Should get decently close to 450m overseas.... not sure if 500m is totally out of reach but at least 700m WW should be an option (should - not definite)

[Blaze Heatnix]

This is truly bad for Justice League. Movie might miss 400 million overseas.

 

600 million worldwide not locked, imo.

[Napoleon]

JL took 10 days to reach the OW numbers of BVS, that one marketed as a dark and serious movie. But critics said DC movies should be fun and colorful.

 

 

WB should sue.

[Jake Gittes]

22 minutes ago, filmlover said:

You could say the same thing about a slew of similar biopics (The Theory of Everything, The Imitation Game, etc.). It won't make as much as any of those movies, but I think it has enough juice to make more than, say, The Danish Girl or Jackie (both of which made sub-$15M) even if it ends up not really factoring into the race beyond Oldman. 

Those had additional elements to attract people, Theory worked as a romance in addition to a biopic (and there was more novelty to Hawking as a biopic subject than there is to Churchill right now), Imitation Game had a wartime-thriller aspect to it and starred Cumberbatch at the height of his Sherlock popularity. I think Darkest Hour can come close to Theory if it gets a Best Picture nod, otherwise it'll be lucky to even break 25m. 

[a2k]

1 minute ago, narniadis said:

Should get decently close to 450m overseas.... not sure if 500m is totally out of reach but at least 700m WW should be an option (should - not definite)

If it adds 2x the OS weekend more to it's cume gets to 454m. Then needs 246m dom for 700m.

Still tough imo. 2x the weekend more could be tough considering the weekend was inflated by Japan's ow.

Even if it gets there, 246 dom seems high. Even FB legs from now on take it to ~241m.

685-705 ww imo. That shot at 700+ alive.

[PNF2187]

40 minutes ago, Rumpot said:

 

Hmm

Assuming this plays out like:

• The Good Dinosaur (2.22x), $158M

• Enchanted (2.61x), $185.5M

• Tangled (2.92x), $208.1M

• Moana (3.03x), $215.8M

• A Bug's Life (3.56x), $253.4M

• Frozen (4.28x), $304.9M

 

I think this will leg out somewhere between Moana and A Bug's Life (3.3x), which gets it to a run of $234.6M. I'd still remove the Frozen "short" ASAP if I were Disney. Coco can survive on its own with excellent WoM and the Frozen brand really doesn't need to be hurt like this.

Edited November 26, 2017 by PNF2187

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, narniadis said:

Should get decently close to 450m overseas.... not sure if 500m is totally out of reach but at least 700m WW should be an option (should - not definite)

$670m ww looks more like the target  or O/U MOS ($668m)

 

I think  O/S will be closer to $425m - even with a 2.5 multi off this O/S weekend that would be $419m O/S 

Dom looks around $235m

 

[somebody85]

19 minutes ago, a2knet said:

FSS breakdown for top 10 from MOJO

 

  Hide contents

Rank*	Title	Friday 11/24 (Estimates)	Saturday 11/25 (Estimates)	Sunday 11/26 (Estimates)	Monday 11/27
1	COCO Buena Vista 3,987	$18,941,000 +112.1% / $4,751 $41,114,000 / 3	$18,414,000 -2.8% / $4,619 $59,528,000 / 4	$11,667,000 -36.6% / $2,926 $71,195,000 / 5	N/A
2	JUSTICE LEAGUE Warner Bros. 4,051	$16,555,000 +95.6% / $4,087 $147,371,643 / 8	$15,800,000 -4.6% / $3,900 $163,171,643 / 9	$8,375,000 -47% / $2,067 $171,546,643 / 10	N/A
3	WONDER Lionsgate 3,172	$8,800,000 +123.4% / $2,774 $55,940,202 / 8	$8,410,000 -4.4% / $2,651 $64,350,202 / 9	$5,090,000 -39.5% / $1,605 $69,440,202 / 10	N/A
4	THOR: RAGNAROK Buena Vista 3,281	$6,734,000 +93.7% / $2,052 $267,411,394 / 22	$6,598,000 -2% / $2,011 $274,009,394 / 23	$3,459,000 -47.6% / $1,054 $277,468,394 / 24	N/A
5	DADDY'S HOME 2 Paramount 3,518	$5,000,000 +86.9% / $1,421 $64,412,166 / 15	$5,270,000 +5.4% / $1,498 $69,682,166 / 16	$2,980,000 -43.5% / $847 $72,662,166 / 17	N/A
6	MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS (2017) Fox 3,152	$5,275,000 +73% / $1,674 $66,521,517 / 15	$5,015,000 -4.9% / $1,591 $71,536,517 / 16	$2,710,000 -46% / $860 $74,246,517 / 17	N/A
7	THE STAR Sony / Columbia 2,837	$2,780,000 +178% / $980 $17,935,988 / 8	$2,570,000 -7.6% / $906 $20,505,988 / 9	$1,525,000 -40.7% / $538 $22,030,988 / 10	N/A
8	A BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS STX Entertainment 2,306	$1,830,000 +125.9% / $794 $56,574,557 / 24	$2,010,000 +9.8% / $872 $58,584,557 / 25	$1,170,000 -41.8% / $507 $59,754,557 / 26	N/A
9	THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI Fox Searchlight 614	$1,640,000 +146.6% / $2,671 $4,864,070 / 15	$1,690,000 +3% / $2,752 $6,554,070 / 16	$1,070,000 -36.7% / $1,743 $7,624,070 / 17	N/A
10	ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. Sony / Columbia 1,669	$1,810,000 +94.6% / $1,084 $3,569,277 / 8	$1,690,000 -6.6% / $1,013 $5,259,277 / 9	$1,015,000 -39.9% / $608 $6,274,277 / 10

 

That's a much better hold for Coco than rths's earlier estimates. Just happy it beat JL this weekend. Figured earlier last week that both Coco and Wonder would take away family business from JL. Looked like that happened due to it dropping harder than stuff like FB, MJ1 & MJ2.

[somebody85]

52 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

At least Fox doesn't need to push this hard....(guess what movie is it!)

Feb 17–19	26	$395,984	+67.7%	658	+443	$602	$98,517,724	9
Feb 17–20	24	$472,882	+100%	658	+443	$719	$98,594,622	9
Feb 24–26	27	$243,117	-38.6%	287	-371	$847	$98,952,525	10
Mar 3–5	33	$132,711	-45.4%	175	-112	$758	$99,193,459	11
Mar 10–12	32	$105,541	-20.5%	172	-3	$614	$99,350,745	12
Mar 17–19	36	$58,334	-44.7%	90	-82	$648	$99,466,845	13
Mar 24–26	16	$397,472	+581%	506	+416	$786	$99,886,692	14
Mar 31–Apr 2	42	$46,196	-88.4%	57	-449	$810	$99,956,732	15
Apr 7–9	45	$37,097	-19.7%	32	-25	$1,159	$100,005,122	16

It's also already out on digital. I think it hit yesterday. Really quick considering IT doesn't hit until later next month with the actual Bluray being in January.

[somebody85]

9 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

JL took 10 days to reach the OW numbers of BVS, that one marketed as a dark and serious movie. But critics said DC movies should be fun and colorful.

 

 

WB should sue.

Yeah....it needed to be a lot more than fun and colorful. Critics said a lot more about BvS besides it being dark and serious. You're hitting on the same critics who raved about the Nolan Batman trilogy for being just that.

WW balanced the tone of serious/fun a lot better than JL did. Critics responded with rave reviews.

[titanic2187]

36 minutes ago, filmlover said:

[Brainbug]

9 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

JL took 10 days to reach the OW numbers of BVS, that one marketed as a dark and serious movie. But critics said DC movies should be fun and colorful.

 

 

WB should sue.

 

You cant be serious right? Are you another SteveJaros?

 

If youre serious, you do understand that the massive dislike for BvS caused the drop-off for Justice League right? JL itself beeing a bad movie didnt help either but it doesnt having anything to do with the tone beeing lighter lmfao. Wonder Woman was colorfull and and had a "fun" tone and that didnt stop it from beeing the Summer winner, so your logic stinks.