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2017 Critics/Alternate Awards Discussion

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This millennium, NYFCC Director winners have only missed an Oscar nomination 4 time: both of Todd Haynes's wins in 2002 and 2015, Mike Leigh in 2008, and Bigelow in 2012. The Florida Project still has a long way to go, but this definitely helps

Edited by WrathOfHan
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Other NYFCC stats since 2000:

 

Film: The winner hasn't been nominated 4 times: Mulholland Drive in 2001, Far From Heaven in 2002, United 93 in 2006, and Carol in 2015. ROTK, No Country, Hurt Locker, The Artist have been the only Best Picture winners to win here.

Actor: Paul Giamatti was the only person to miss last decade, but their record this decade has been pretty spotty. 2013-2015 had a string of winners that weren't nominated: Redford, Spall, and Keaton. Chalamet is safe regardless for a nomination. They've predicted the winner 5 times: both DDL wins, Whitaker, Firth, and Affleck.

Actress: Their record here is VERY strong. This decade, they've only missed Rachel Weisz in 2012, and last decade only Sally Hawkins and Hope Davis weren't nominated. They've predicted the winner 4 times: Witherspoon, Mirren, Streep, and Blanchett

Supporting Actor: The last four winners here have gone on to win the Oscar, plus there was del Toro in 2000, Bardem in 2007, and Waltz in 2009 :ohmygod: OTOH, they've has two strings without nominees: 2001-2003 (Buscemi/Quaid/Levy) and 2011-2012 (Brooks/McConaughey).

Supporting Actress: They've only missed three nominees: Clarkson in 2002, Bello in 2005, and Stewart in 2015. This decade, they've correctly predicted Leo and Arquette. Those are some good stats, but Girls Trip is nowhere near the phenomenon Bridesmaids was.

Screenplay: No winner has missed a nomination since Rachel Getting Married in 2008, and the only other winner to miss a nomination was The Secret Lives of Dentists. The only correct winner predictions they've made are Gosford Park, No Country, and Manchester.

 

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40 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

Florida Project could be the Beasts of Southern Wild of this year I guess.

Yep. Though Prince isn't happening.

 

23 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Supporting Actress: They've only missed three nominees: Clarkson in 2002, Bello in 2005, and Stewart in 2015. This decade, they've correctly predicted Leo and Arquette. Those are some good stats, but Girls Trip is nowhere near the phenomenon Bridesmaids was.

 

I think being one of the few POC in the overall awards conversation this season cancels out Girls Trip not being quite the phenomenon Bridesmaids was. Doesn't hurt either that Haddish's movie was a critically-acclaimed box office hit (one of the few of this past summer).

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24 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Gotta agree btw

General obsession of the orbit that the earth makes of the sun like Warren Buffet said about annual result of a company apply maybe even more to movies follower......

 

And if you are to be obsess about the earth completing your orbit, may as well wait for it, anything that make is list to be in december top list article or before televised award nomination roll out happen to gain "relevance" also tend to loose almost all is credibility.

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