baumer Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 The one thing we have to realize is that next week (I'm sure everyone knows this already) every day is going to act like a Saturday. So the numbers are going to be huge. No matter how much this is loved or hated, I don't see it missing 700 million. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 My New Year's forecast based on 17.5 today: Friday: 27m (+55%) Saturday: 31m (+15%) Sunday: 15m (-52%) Monday: 31m (+106%) Tuesday: 28m (-9%) Wednesday: 22m (-21%) Thursday: 20m (-9%) Friday: 25m (+25%) Saturday: 27m (+8%) Sunday: 18m (-33%) Monday: 21m (+16%) New Year's Day total: 561m RO/TFA were at 80% of their final gross after NY weekend, but I think TLJ holds up worse after the holidays than them, so will say TLJ is at 83% of its total after NYD for a 675m total. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hw64 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: My New Year's forecast based on 17.5 today: Friday: 27m (+55%) Saturday: 31m (+15%) Sunday: 15m (-52%) Monday: 31m (+106%) Tuesday: 28m (-9%) Wednesday: 22m (-21%) Thursday: 20m (-9%) Friday: 25m (+25%) Saturday: 27m (+8%) Sunday: 18m (-33%) Monday: 21m (+16%) New Year's Day total: 561m RO/TFA were at 80% of their final gross after NY weekend, but I think TLJ holds up worse after the holidays than them, so will say TLJ is at 83% of its total after NYD for a 675m total. There will be more schools on holiday for the week of 1 January than for Rogue One and TFA. Should have a positive effect on TLJ's multiplier from that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 (edited) Gonna do my preview comps now (the second Father Figures starting now sold nothing, Downsizing at 10:15 has sold 2 seats, and PP3 at 10:30 has sold nothing). Any updates will be put in my document for future reference: Pitch Perfect 3 (75/301): 93% of Blade Runner (30.5M) 93% of Kingsman (36.3M) 110% of OE (31.6M) 190% of AM (31.9M) 235% of HDD (61.1M) 280% of DH2 (83.2M) 360% of Home Again (31M) HDD and DH2 are too tiny to use now It's looking good for 30M+ over the 3 day. The short runtime will undoubtedly offset the Sunday drop IMO. Downsizing (15/138): 40% of AM (6.7M) 40% of THB (8.6M) 50% of LL (3.8M) 55% of DH2 (16.2M) 70% of Foreigner (9.2M) 115% of OTB (6.9M) 375% of Suburbicon (10.5M) Picking a good comp for this is like throwing darts at a wall. 6.5M-8.5M is a decent range to expect, though it might crack 9M. Father Figures (7/126): 9% of Kingsman (3.5M) 13% of LL (1M) 20% of American Made (3.4M) 20% of THB (4.3M) 33% of Home Again (2.9M) 175% of Suburbicon (4.9M) Absolutely pathetic. If you guys think these comps are bad, just wait until you see the Friday report. Edited December 22, 2017 by WrathOfHan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Looking around here most schools will be back by the third Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, DARth DAR said: Looking around here most schools will be back by the third Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, Elessar said: I'm quite surprised at the kandidness of the cast. Well, mainly Hamill when it comes to the potrayal of Luke. Not sure how happy Disney is about that... Actor saying they have an hard time watching themselve, but the movie is really good when they are not on screen is pretty common. The older actor not caring about being frank about their movies during junket, like Jeremy Iron, Hamill, etc... I do not know I imagine if the movie underperform they must be irked by it and really love the Dwayne Johnson/Arnold type that sell sell, push no matter what to the end. If the movie play as expected and it was from a legend that "earned" the right to be critical they probably do not care as much. Edited December 22, 2017 by Barnack 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fast and the Furiosa Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, DARth DAR said: Looking around here most schools will be back by the third At least in my area, it’s the 8th for both colleges and K-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 7 minutes ago, DARth DAR said: Looking around here most schools will be back by the third Looks like Tuesday the 9th for my school district. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 (edited) I hope Downsizing bombs hard. Paramount has been shoving it down our throats like crazy when it couldn't look less appealing. Which is saying something coming from me considering I think Payne's filmography has been superb. No idea what led him to that stinker. Edited December 22, 2017 by MovieMan89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaz Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 8 minutes ago, DARth DAR said: Looking around here most schools will be back by the third Everywhere in my state is back on January 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 What schools go back on the third when they are in school right up until the 22nd? That seems kind of weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Also, I don't think Deadline has accurate data for tonight yet. The number could go up over 18. And the 26th could be even bigger than the 25th. Boxing Day is huge here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Christmas baumer said: What schools go back on the third when they are in school right up until the 22nd? That seems kind of weird. I can't speak to other districts but around here they might figure in potential snow days. Plus I think they get off a few days later in the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said: What schools go back on the third when they are in school right up until the 22nd? That seems kind of weird. Depends. Bunch of private schools around here actually got out last Friday, the 15th. I would guess they go back to school earlier. Public schools here got out today at 12 PM and go back to school on Tuesday the 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I got read the riot act tonight by my best friend... like the epiphany of a movie casual who called to discuss how pissed he was at Jedi. 20 years of friendship and plenty of movies seen between the two of us and this was a first. Makes me very curious for when I can actually see it next week. Still think it's hitting 700m but this kind of vitrol is abnormal for my friend and I can only imagine what some other casuals are thinking. (Echo chamber alert this is the first negative wom I have heard in real life.) Totally not what I expected from him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 42 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said: The one thing we have to realize is that next week (I'm sure everyone knows this already) every day is going to act like a Saturday. So the numbers are going to be huge. No matter how much this is loved or hated, I don't see it missing 700 million. The 4-day Christmas and 4-day New Year's weekends could make a combined $230m or so. Weekdays the next two weeks going to be very strong too. Should be fun to watch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 @Christmas baumer My daughter goes back the 3rd, got out yesterday. My online classes are not even stopping. I have homework due the 1st 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 (edited) Why all the movies is still having big drops even with more people going out of school and work? On wednesday, Coco drop 30%, Ferdinand drop 23%, Wonder drop 29%... It's because of the people still in school and work? We could expected better jumps than normal next week to compensate? I'm kinda confused with these school / work thing Edited December 22, 2017 by ThomasNicole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 How tomorrow looks at my theater: Spoiler Star Wars: 9:00 3D: 15/78 10:00: 56/78 11:00: 73/124 11:30: 32/60 12:30 3D: 17/78 1:30: 39/78 2:30 3D: 20/124 4:00 3D: 4/78 5:00: 26/78 6:15: 55/124 7:30 3D: 21/78 8:30: 35/78 9:45 3D: 4/124 10:30: 0/113 Jumanji: 10:45: 57/78 1:45 3D: 15/78 2:45 3D: 8/60 4:45: 18/78 5:30: 6/60 7:45 3D: 0/78 8:15: 4/60 10:45: 0/78 PP3: 9:00: 2/78 11:30: 29/78 2:00: 7/78 4:30: 0/78 7:00: 14/78 9:30: 0/78 11:00: 2/60 Showman: 9:20: 6/113 10:45: 19/78 12:00: 2/113 1:20: 2/78 2:35: 12/113 4:00: 2/78 5:10: 1/113 6:45: 2/78 7:50: 3/113 9:20: 2/78 11:00: 0/78 Ferdinand: 10:15: 11/69 1:05 3D: 0/69 3:50: 11/69 6:35 3D: 0/69 9:15: 0/69 Downsizing: 9:30: 7/78 12:35: 7/78 3:40: 2/78 6:50: 2/78 10:00: 0/78 Star Wars: 397/1,293 Jumanji: 108/570 PP3: 54/528 Showman: 51/1,033 Ferdinand: 22/345 Downsizing: 18/390 Father Figures, Coco, Thor, and DH2 have sold nothing. Star Wars is down about 60% from last Friday. Jumanji and Showman are both looking to have steady increases from today and yesterday. PP3: 100% of Kingsman (39M) 115% of AM (19.3M) 125% of DH2 (37M) 140% of BR (45.9M) 160% of HDD (41.6M) 170% of THB (36.4M) Yeah, 30M for the 3 day is almost definitely a lock. Downsizing: 33% of Kingsman (12.9M) 40% of DH2 (11.8M) 55% of THB (11.8M) 66% of AM (11.1M) 80% of Foreigner (10.5M) 90% of LL (6.8M) 133% of Suburbicon (3.7M) Shit, I might be back into double digits here. Father Figures has no comps BECAUSE IT'S SOLD NOTHING Wait, here's a comp: 0% OF EVERYTHING BECAUSE NO MOVIE HAS SOLD NOTHING THIS YEAR BUT FATHER FIGURES 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
