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Porthos

Tuesday Numbers (Dec 26): TLJ 27.7, Jumanji: 17.1, PP3 7.4, TGS 5.1 (actuals/estimates)

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17 hours ago, The Greatest Rth said:

TLJ 28. 2, J 17,PP3 7.6,TGS 5.3

 

From Rth: TLJ 28.2, Jumanji: 17, Pitch Perfect 3: 7.6, The Greatest Show: 5.3

 

==

 

Actuals as they come in:

 

 
<< PREVIOUS
     
 
Rank* Title Monday
12/25
Tuesday
12/26
Wednesday
12/27
Thursday
12/28
1 STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI
Buena Vista

4,232
$27,459,557

+55.8% / $6,489
$395,627,411 / 11
$27,734,356

+1% / $6,553
$423,361,767 / 12

N/A

N/A
2 JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE
Sony / Columbia

3,765
$19,000,000
(estimate)
+109.7% / $5,046
$72,005,967 / 6
$17,100,000
(estimate)
-10% / $4,542
$89,105,967 / 7

N/A

N/A
3 PITCH PERFECT 3
Universal

3,447
$6,496,365

+146.7% / $1,885
$26,424,890 / 4
$7,445,505

+14.6% / $2,160
$33,870,395 / 5

N/A

N/A
4 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
Fox

3,006
$5,604,273

+161.8% / $1,864
$19,008,847 / 6
$5,138,347

-8.3% / $1,709
$24,147,194 / 7

N/A

N/A
5 FERDINAND
Fox

3,630
$2,801,780

+83.7% / $772
$29,601,410 / 11
$4,000,815

+42.8% / $1,102
$33,602,225 / 12

N/A

N/A
6 COCO
Buena Vista

2,111
$2,805,466

+112.6% / $1,329
$164,307,743 / 34
$2,746,967

-2.1% / $1,301
$167,054,710 / 35

N/A

N/A
7 DOWNSIZING
Paramount

2,668
$2,715,843

+135% / $1,018
$7,670,130 / 4
$1,926,413

-29.1% / $722
$9,596,543 / 5

N/A

N/A
8 ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD
TriStar

2,068
$2,600,000
(estimate)
-- / $1,257
$2,600,000 / 1
$1,760,000
(estimate)
-32.3% / $851
$4,360,000 / 2

N/A

N/A
9 DARKEST HOUR
Focus Features

806
$1,622,510

+73% / $2,013
$8,367,532 / 34
$1,518,300

-6.4% / $1,884
$9,885,832 / 35

N/A

N/A
10 FATHER FIGURES
Warner Bros.

2,902
$2,200,000
(estimate)
+201.4% / $758
$5,480,000 / 4
$1,445,000
(estimate)
-34.3% / $498
$6,925,000 / 5

N/A

N/A
11 THE SHAPE OF WATER
Fox Searchlight

730
$1,419,891

+95.4% / $1,945
$8,986,046 / 25
$1,140,599

-19.7% / $1,562
$10,126,645 / 26

N/A

N/A
12 WONDER
Lionsgate

794
$710,214

+76.6% / $894
$115,654,826 / 39
$880,000
(estimate)
+23.9% / $1,108
$116,534,826 / 40

N/A

N/A
- MOLLY'S GAME
STX Entertainment

271
$1,042,075

-- / $3,845
$1,042,075 / 1
$668,250

-35.9% / $2,466
$1,710,325 / 2

N/A

N/A
- JUSTICE LEAGUE
Warner Bros.

1,101
$450,000
(estimate)
+83.7% / $409
$223,133,455 / 39
$440,000
(estimate)
-2.2% / $400
$223,573,455 / 40

N/A

N/A
- DADDY'S HOME 2
Paramount

1,073
$544,612

+149.5% / $508
$99,751,582 / 46
$433,169

-20.5% / $404
$100,184,751 / 47

N/A

N/A
- LADY BIRD
A24

372
$415,989

+60.4% / $1,118
$28,715,314 / 53
$428,468

+3% / $1,152
$29,143,782 / 54

N/A

N/A
- THOR: RAGNAROK
Buena Vista

701
$329,457

+64.3% / $470
$309,454,093 / 53
$330,578

+0.3% / $472
$309,784,671 / 54

N/A

N/A
- THE DISASTER ARTIST
A24

488
$325,057

+77.2% / $666
$16,020,034 / 25
$315,305

-3% / $646
$16,335,339 / 26

N/A

N/A
- MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS (2017)
Fox

361
$203,411

+58.3% / $563
$99,444,878 / 46
$195,017

-4.1% / $540
$99,639,895 / 47

N/A

N/A
- THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Fox Searchlight

264
$207,975

+42.5% / $788
$22,949,085 / 46
$187,107

-10% / $709
$23,136,192 / 47

N/A

N/A
- THE POST
Fox

9
$236,046

+35.2% / $26,227
$762,057 / 4
$156,610

-33.7% / $17,401
$918,667 / 5

N/A

N/A
- PHANTOM THREAD
Focus Features

4
$127,272

-- / $31,818
$127,272 / 1
$66,733

-47.6% / $16,683
$194,005 / 2

N/A

N/A
- A BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS
STX Entertainment

275
$60,302

+121.9% / $219
$71,571,546 / 55
$57,638

-4.4% / $210
$71,629,184 / 56

N/A

N/A
- THE FLORIDA PROJECT
A24

43
$9,430

+45.9% / $219
$5,204,890 / 81
$13,108

+39% / $305
$5,217,998 / 82

N/A

N/A
- HOSTILES
Entertainment Studios

3
$9,606

+64.5% / $3,202
$32,455 / 4
$4,834

-49.7% / $1,611
$37,289 / 5

N/A

N/A
- VICTORIA AND ABDUL
Focus Features

24
$2,840

+114.3% / $118
$22,205,730 / 95
$4,405

+55.1% / $184
$22,210,135 / 96

N/A

N/A
- MARSHALL
Open Road Films

58
$1,937

+82.9% / $33
$9,450,507 / 74
$2,532

+30.7% / $44
$9,453,039 / 75

N/A

N/A
- THE KILLING OF A SACRED DEER
A24

8
$602

+3.4% / $75
$2,289,085 / 67
$1,008

+67.4% / $126
$2,290,093 / 68

N/A

N/A
- LET THERE BE LIGHT
Atlas Distribution

8
$736

+1.1% / $92
$7,203,504 / 60
$304

-58.7% / $38
$7,203,808 / 61

N/A

N/A
Edited by Porthos
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Impossible, I was told that there would be sharp declines starting today.  

 

As some of us thought last night, there was a big effect on Christmas Day numbers with families choosing Jumanji and now today you see those numbers flipped back around where Jumanji drops and The Last Jedi increases.  

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Finally a solid number. Too little too late but better than never. Should manage to stay around 20m today on the high end. 

 

Great for the rest as well. Pitch perfect 3 making up for some lost mojo and Jumanji just rocking out like a winner. Jumanji crosses 100m on day 8. 

 

Ever a time for @e1828 and his lists it would be now. 

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If there's a movie which we could have misjudged in haste due to holiday scheduling and deserves some benefit of doubt, it's PP3.

- it's Sat drop was big in part because OD was strong and inflated due to previews

- Immediately after the Sat drop, Sun drop was also big due to Christmas Eve further skewing things.

 

2.3 previews

8.3 Fri

6.7 Sat

2.7 Sun

6.5 Mon

7.6 Tue

= 34 5-day

 

Next 6 days, Wed-Mon, could average 4+

4.5 + 4 + 5 + 5.5 + 3 + 3 = 25 (59 cume)

with a 16.5 New Years 4-Day

 

If it adds 1.25-1.50x the 4-day to it's cume then 80-85 dom.

Edited by a2knet
big math error 69=>59
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Said it before, and I'll say it again.  The box office run of TLJ is many things, but 'boring' is not one of them. :lol:

 

==

 

know that @EmpireCity has access to far more data than I have about Discount Tuesday, but all I can go on personally is that the theaters in the Greater Sacramento Area (media market #20 or so) all had Discount Tuesday today.  So it was going on in at least some parts of the country.

 

That TLJ actually did rise a little bit in the face of Discount Tuesday, coming off a 27.5 million dollar day.... Well impressive isn't the right word.  But notable might just be.

 

Sure, many theaters might not have had discounts. But enough did that it had a slight rise is, well, interesting is all I will say.

 

Not a sign of WOM either way. Just... interesting. :)

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Just now, TheForceuser707 said:

I guess when you want to maintain your number one cash cow you can always throw money at it from time to time.

 

Would be great to see the actual (as in ACTUAL) figures though. 

VxTHIzB.gif

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4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If there's a movie which we could have misjudged in haste due to holiday scheduling and deserves some benefit of doubt, it's PP3.

- it's Sat drop was big in part because OD was strong and inflated due to previews

- Immediately after the Sat drop, Sun drop was also big due to Christmas Eve further skewing things.

 

2.3 previews

8.3 Fri

6.7 Sat

2.7 Sun

6.5 Mon

7.6 Tue

= 34 5-day

 

Next 6 days, Wed-Mon, could average 4+

4.5 + 4 + 5 + 5.5 + 3 + 3 = 25 (69 cume)

with a 16.5 New Years 4-Day

 

If it adds 1.25-1.50x the 4-day to it's cume then 69 + 16.5*1.25 = 90-94 dom

The power of the holidays lol 

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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Said it before, and I'll say it again.  The box office run of TLJ is many things, but 'boring' is not one of them. :lol:

 

I see these two gifs both got a ton of likes in that 4-day wknd thread.

 

giphy.gif

 

giphy.gif

Edited by vc2002
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13 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Impossible, I was told that there would be sharp declines starting today.  

 

As some of us thought last night, there was a big effect on Christmas Day numbers with families choosing Jumanji and now today you see those numbers flipped back around where Jumanji drops and The Last Jedi increases.  

Mon was +110% for JUMANJI vs +56% for TLJ. So despite the drop in Tuesday, Jumanji's Mon-Tue combined as a % of FSS is still much higher than TLJ's Mon-Tue combined:

 

FSS vs Mon-Tue

71.6 vs 55.7 (27.5+28.2)

36.4 vs 36.0 (19+17)

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10 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

TLJ still likely be under a 3x multiplier during Holiday season, rather troublesome. They are losing the repeat business.

Or maybe it holds better later throughout January and into February because there is absolutely nothing similar until Black Panther opens.  

 

Rogue One had to compete with La La Land, Hidden Figures and even Split that all went $150m+ in January and early February.  There is very likely nothing in January and early February that will go $150m+ unless something like The Post breaks out.  

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Empire, I like you but you are grasping for straws there. Nothing in how it has played has shown us that it can do what TFA failed to do, leg out past January. 

 

I know you are trying to combat the negativeness that has pervaded the talk here but realities are what they are. January almost always has at least 1 film over 100m so it isnt like the set up is much different from years past. Only real benefit is how close the MLK 4day falls. 

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21 minutes ago, ReyReyBattery said:
25 minutes ago, vc2002 said:

I see these two gifs both got a ton of likes in that 4-day wknd thread.

 

giphy.gif    giphy.gif

 

 

Netted myself 40+ likes from those two.

 

giphy.gif

 

LOTR gifs to get the most likes in a SW wknd. Does this mean LOTR is more quotable than SW? :ph34r:

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by vc2002
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4 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Empire, I like you but you are grasping for straws there. Nothing in how it has played has shown us that it can do what TFA failed to do, leg out past January. 

 

I know you are trying to combat the negativeness that has pervaded the talk here but realities are what they are. January almost always has at least 1 film over 100m so it isnt like the set up is much different from years past. Only real benefit is how close the MLK 4day falls. 

Not sure what you even mean by that in relation to what I posted.  All I said was that the legs might be a bit more spread out.  The market was flooded recently but it opens up a lot in the next few weeks.  

 

Jan. 2016 had 2 films that went $140m+ and Jan. 2017 had 3 that went $138m+

 

Jan. 2018 doesn't look to have anything unless The Post is huge, but that is trending more towards Bridge of Spies than it is Lincoln when it comes to tracking.  Paddington 2 might get over $100m, but they have a lot of work to do.  Proud Mary could shock I guess, but overall the slate is much more desolate.  The Last Jedi will at a minimum have more opportunity to put up some better grosses than it would have the last 2 years.  

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