New Year's Day Weekend Thread: Late Friday estimates (DHD) - TLJ 19.5M, Jumanji 17.5M, PP3 6.7M, TGS 5.3M

[Ryan Reynolds]

its just how the calendar falls this year, I'm sure TLJ will recover next week

[RyneOh1040]

7 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Nobody is saying the total for TLJ is a disappointment, or the drop from TFA. Jesus Christ. It's the drops and jumps after a $220M OW. Don't act like this was going to be the case all along. The audience showed up in huge numbers on its opening weekend and the numbers since show that a lot of people weren't happy.

 

We can all meet in the middle of this discussion. The final numbers for this will be outstanding, obviously, but the legs will be disappointing given its opening weekend and the fact it occupied the plum holiday slot. Let's not just conveniently ignore all that.

god dammit, RETWEET.

[WrathOfHan]

The Post has a 50M budget?  It'll double that easily, but damn, that's fairly high.

I don't know how any of you are saying CMBYN is doing well. This thing is going to collapse when it goes wide if it's not nominated for BP, and even if it is, it still won't be doing insane numbers.

 

[RichWS]

Is it gonna make 700 or not? I need ten people to clarify that all at once. 

[FTF]

2 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

its just how the calendar falls this year, I'm sure TLJ will recover next week

 

[MrGlass2]

37 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

 

The superior movie won! 

TLJ and Jumanji:

 

[hw64]

17 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

According to some posters here, TLJ may be the first 600M+ DOM grossing B.O. disappointment. Pathetic, really, it has a chance to miss the Top 30 adjusted highest-grossing movies of all time, so it may has to settle for the Top 40.

 

Sad.

Frankly I've seen enough of these strawman-esque arguments that are made to mock and deride anyone who dare suggests TLJ is in any way a disappointment.

[Ezen Baklattan]

Yeah, I call BS on that Coco number - for a film with inflated Sundays having an insanely bigger drop on the day than everything else, that seems straight up ludicrous. 

[WrathOfHan]

Predictions for next week:

 

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 32M

Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 28M

Insidious: The Last Key: 15M

The Greatest Showman: 9.2M

Pitch Perfect 3: 8M

Ferdinand: 6.5M

Darkest Hour: 5.7M

Molly's Game: 5.5M

The Shape of Water: 4.2M

Coco: 3.6M

All the Money in the World: 3.3M

Downsizing: 2.3M

 

Darkest Hour should be getting a pretty substantial expansion with the PTAs it's been having. The Shape of Water is adding at least 300, but a 1,200-1,300 TC seems probable. 

[grim22]

34 minutes ago, The Shape of Pasta said:

Yeah, I call BS on that Coco number - for a film with inflated Sundays having an insanely bigger drop on the day than everything else, that seems straight up ludicrous. 

The Coco holiday run has been very strange though. It lost a lot of ground to both Moana and Tangled. Was 8M behind Moana and 22M ahead of Tangled coming into the holidays, will end the stretch 34M behind Moana and just 8M ahead of Tangled with lower dailies. It just ran straight into big competition.

[Ethan Hunt]

10 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Man Last Jedi fanboys are really uptight. Can't handle anything negative being said about movie or the box office 

I don't love TLJ. The way people are acting about it's box office is ridiculous 

[hw64]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next week:

Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 28M

What makes you think sub-50% drop for The Last Jedi?

[JohnnyGossamer]

26 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

According to some posters here, TLJ may be the first 600M+ DOM grossing B.O. disappointment. Pathetic, really, it has a chance to miss the Top 30 adjusted highest-grossing movies of all time, so it may has to settle for the Top

[La Binoche]

If Jumanji had been a Disney movie, its RT score would be like 96. 

 

[JohnnyGossamer]

JJA will cast The Rock in IX.

[IronJimbo]

8

13 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

its just how the calendar falls this year, I'm sure TLJ will recover next week

The calender will save us!

[Fancyarcher]

1 minute ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

JJA will cast The Rock in IX.

300m opening weekend confirmed. 

[La Binoche]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

JJA will cast The Rock in IX.

The Rock is a non-factor in Jumanji and its success. 

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

JJA will cast The Rock in IX.

 

I have a better idea:

 

 

@CJohn

[glassfairy]

Jumanji you beauty! What a cool box office story.

 

Edited December 31, 2017 by glassfairy