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Best Picture Predictions - 2018

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1. The Favourite

2. Roma

3. A Star is Born

4. Vice

5. First Man

6. BlacKkKlansman

7. Widows

8. If Beale Street Could Talk

9. Green Book

ALT: Black Panther

 

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I've had a thought.

 

For Original Screenplay, four locked nominees are in the process of being solidified: The Favourite, Roma, Green Book, and Vice. That leaves one more spot up for grabs, and with nothing else to really achieve this season, A24 will want to make a leap for that wildcard spot.

 

But I don't think the A24 film with the best chance would be Eighth Grade. I think it would be First Reformed.

 

First Reformed was written and directed by Paul Schrader. He's the guy that wrote Taxi Driver and Raging Bull... but he was never nominated for either of those scripts.

 

The Academy loves to right past wrongs, and this would be a great chance to do it. The screenplay for First Reformed is a highly intellectual one, and based on what I've read about the film, it's a very tense, dramatic, and surprising one. I wholeheartedly believe that the film is a great candidate for Original Screenplay, and I think A24 knows that, too.

 

We'll have to see how early critic-backed precursors go before the chance is solidified, but I definitely wouldn't count out the film's chance.

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