titanic2187 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I think there are legit chance we may see Adam Mckay got nominated for best director but the film still missed out the best picture lineup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 hours ago, CoolioD1 said: wonder if bobby farrelly's ever gonna follow this up with his own oscar bait or if he'll just stick with the fart comedies. To be fair, Green Book is the quality of a fart comedy just without the farts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/lists/bafta-awards-nominations-2019-complete-list-1172383/item/film-bafta-nominees-2019-1172384 Film: BlackKlansman Jason Blum, Spike Lee, Raymond Mansfield, Sean McKittrick, Jordan PeeleThe Favourite Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Yorgos Lanthimos, Lee MagidayGreen Book Jim Burke, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga, Charles B. WesslerRoma Alfonso Cuarón, Gabriela RodríguezA Star Is Born Bradley Cooper, Bill Gerber, Lynette Howell Taylor Director: BlackKlansman Jason Blum, Spike Lee, Raymond Mansfield, Sean McKittrick, Jordan PeeleThe Favourite Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Yorgos Lanthimos, Lee MagidayGreen Book Jim Burke, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga, Charles B. WesslerRoma Alfonso Cuarón, Gabriela RodríguezA Star Is Born Bradley Cooper, Bill Gerber, Lynette Howell Taylor Best Actress: GLENN CLOSE The WifeLADY GAGA A Star Is BornMELISSA McCARTHY Can You Ever Forgive Me?OLIVIA COLMAN The FavouriteVIOLA DAVIS Widows Best Actor: BRADLEY COOPER A Star Is BornCHRISTIAN BALE ViceRAMI MALEK Bohemian RhapsodySTEVE COOGAN Stan & OllieVIGGO MORTENSEN Green Book Supporting Actress: AMY ADAMS ViceCLAIRE FOY First ManEMMA STONE The FavouriteMARGOT ROBBIE Mary Queen of ScotsRACHEL WEISZ The Favourite Supporting Actor: ADAM DRIVER BlacKkKlansmanMAHERSHALA ALI Green BookRICHARD E. GRANT Can You Ever Forgive Me?SAM ROCKWELL ViceTIMOTHÉE CHALAMET Beautiful Boy Outstanding British Film: BEAST Michael Pearce, Kristian Brodie, Lauren Dark, Ivana MacKinnonBOHEMIAN RHAPSODY Bryan Singer, Graham King, Anthony McCartenTHE FAVOURITE Yorgos Lanthimos, Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday, Deborah Davis, Tony McNamaraMcQUEEN Ian Bonhôte, Peter Ettedgui, Andee Ryder, Nick TaussigSTAN & OLLIE Jon S. Baird, Faye Ward, Jeff PopeYOU WERE NEVER REALLY HERE Lynne Ramsay, Rosa Attab, Pascal Caucheteux, James Wilson Best Documentary: FREE SOLO Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi, Jimmy ChinMcQUEEN Ian Bonhôte, Peter EttedguiRBG Julie Cohen, Betsy WestTHEY SHALL NOT GROW OLD Peter JacksonTHREE IDENTICAL STRANGERS Tim Wardle, Grace Hughes-Hallett, Becky Read Original Screenplay: COLD WAR Janusz Głowacki, Paweł PawlikowskiTHE FAVOURITE Deborah Davis, Tony McNamaraGREEN BOOK Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick VallelongaROMA Alfonso CuarónVICE Adam McKay Adapted Screenplay: BLACKkKLANSMAN Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, Kevin WillmottCAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME? Nicole Holofcener, Jeff WhittyFIRST MAN Josh SingerIF BEALE STREET COULD TALK Barry JenkinsA STAR IS BORN Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters, Eric Roth Film not in English Language: CAPERNAUM Nadine Labaki, Khaled MouzanarCOLD WAR Paweł Pawlikowski, Tanya Seghatchian, Ewa PuszczyńskaDOGMAN Matteo GarroneROMA Alfonso Cuarón, Gabriela RodríguezSHOPLIFTERS Hirokazu Kore-eda, Kaoru Matsuzaki Cinematography: BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY Newton Thomas SigelCOLD WAR Łukasz ŻalTHE FAVOURITE Robbie RyanFIRST MAN Linus SandgrenROMA Alfonso Cuarón Make-up and Hair: BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY Mark Coulier, Jan SewellTHE FAVOURITE Nadia StaceyMARY QUEEN OF SCOTS Jenny ShircoreSTAN & OLLIE Mark Coulier, Jeremy WoodheadVICE Nominees TBC Costume Design: THE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS Mary ZophresBOHEMIAN RHAPSODY Julian DayTHE FAVOURITE Sandy PowellMARY POPPINS RETURNS Sandy PowellMARY QUEEN OF SCOTS Alexandra Byrne Editing: BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY John OttmanTHE FAVOURITE Yorgos MavropsaridisFIRST MAN Tom CrossROMA Alfonso Cuarón, Adam GoughVICE Hank Corwin Production Design: FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD Stuart Craig, Anna PinnockTHE FAVOURITE Fiona Crombie, Alice FeltonFIRST MAN Nathan Crowley, Kathy LucasMARY POPPINS RETURNS John Myhre, Gordon SimROMA Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enríquez Special Visual Effects: AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Kelly Port, Dan SudickBLACK PANTHER Geoffrey Baumann, Jesse James Chisholm, Craig Hammack, Dan SudickFANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD Tim Burke, Andy Kind, Christian Manz, David WatkinsFIRST MAN Ian Hunter, Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, J.D. SchwalmREADY PLAYER ONE Matthew E. Butler, Grady Cofer, Roger Guyett, David Shirk Original Music: BLACKkKLANSMAN Terence BlanchardIF BEALE STREET COULD TALK Nicholas BritellISLE OF DOGS Alexandre DesplatMARY POPPINS RETURNS Marc ShaimanA STAR IS BORN Bradley Cooper, Lady Gaga, Lukas Nelson Sound: BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY John Casali, Tim Cavagin, Nina Hartstone, Paul Massey, John WarhurstFIRST MAN Mary H. Ellis, Mildred Iatrou Morgan, Ai-Ling Lee, Frank A. Montaño, Jon TaylorMISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FALLOUT Gilbert Lake, James H. Mather, Christopher Munro, Mike Prestwood SmithA QUIET PLACE Erik Aadahl, Michael Barosky, Brandon Procter, Ethan Van der RynA STAR IS BORN Steve Morrow, Alan Robert Murray, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic Outstandinf Debut by British Writer, Director or Producer: APOSTASY Daniel Kokotajlo (Writer/Director)BEAST Michael Pearce (Writer/Director), Lauren Dark (Producer)A CAMBODIAN SPRING Chris Kelly (Writer/Director/Producer)PILI Leanne Welham (Writer/Director), Sophie Harman (Producer)RAY & LIZ Richard Billingham (Writer/Director), Jacqui Davies (Producer Rising Star: Jessie Buckley Cynthia Erivo Barry Keoghan Lakeith Stanfield Letitia Wright Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Two notable film got boosted by BAFTA in the award season, Cold War and First Man. Marry Poppin buzz trending down significantly although UK is the largest overseas market for the film. If Beale street could talk is very vulnerable, every vote counts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 (edited) Widows rises from the ashes! Lmao. Not really but it’ll be sorta funny if it pulls a Gone Girl and ends up with a lone Best Actress nom as well. Vice is clearly liked in the industry so Rockwell’s likely coming for that afterglow nom. I think Chalamet is gonna be this year’s surprise snub and be replaced by Elliott at the Oscars tbh. He’s hit everything so far and clearly has a lot of goodwill in the industry at the moment (arguably the most of any actor that young since...well, Leo), but that movie is a total no1curr with no shot at a nom for anything else and I’m having a hard time picturing a 23 year old getting an afterglow nom for a flop over a respected veteran who has never been nominated and in a film that’s gonna pick up a boatload of nominations to begin with. Edited January 9, 2019 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Oscar race is getting messier, First Man jumped back to the race in the very last minute while Black panther may eventually left out. Even Cold war has come out with some serious buzz......I hope Pawel could kick Bradly cooper out and get that surprise nom Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 If Blunt couldn’t get a BAFTA nod...that should be pretty worrying. Also LOL at Black Panther getting completely shut out except at the one category it was most criticized for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 (edited) probably my last predictions before the noms come out because all the major precursors have come out but i'm feeling: Picture: 1. Roma 2. BlacKkKlansman 3. A Star is Born 4. Green Book 5. Vice 6. Bohemian Rhapsody 7. The Favourite 8. Black Panther Director: 1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma 2. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman 3. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born 4. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite 5. Peter Farrelly, Green Book Actor: 1. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody 2. Christian Bale, Vice 3. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born 4. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book 5. John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman Actress: 1. Olivia Colman, The Favourite 2. Glenn Close, The Wife 3. Lady Gaga, A Star is Born 4. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? 5. Joanna Kulig, Cold War Supp. Actor: 1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book 2. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? 3. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman 4. Sam Elliott, A Star is Born 5. Sam Rockwell, Vice Supp. Actress: 1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk 2. Amy Adams, Vice 3. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite 4. Emma Stone, The Favourite 5. Margot Robbie, Mary, Queen of Scots Original Screenplay 1. The Favourite 2. Green Book 3. Roma 4. Vice 5. Eighth Grade Adapted Screenplay 1. BlacKkKlansman 2. A Star Is Born 3. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 4. If Beale Street Could Talk 5. Leave No Trace Edited January 9, 2019 by CoolioD1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 20 minutes ago, Spagspiria said: If Blunt couldn’t get a BAFTA nod...that should be pretty worrying. Also LOL at Black Panther getting completely shut out except at the one category it was most criticized for. I get the feeling Blunt is gonna end up missing, unfortunately. Black Panther is looking like it’s gonna end up with less nominations than The Dark Knight did but will still end up with a Best Picture nom thanks to the expanded category. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 57 minutes ago, filmlover said: I get the feeling Blunt is gonna end up missing, unfortunately. Black Panther is looking like it’s gonna end up with less nominations than The Dark Knight did but will still end up with a Best Picture nom thanks to the expanded category. The question then is who gets the final spot. Probably safe to say that Close, GaGa, McCarthy, and Colman are safely in. The most likely choice seems like Aparacio, imo, but I also wouldn't be shocked if Kulig snuck in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I wouldn't be surprised to see Cold War do some Amour-esque overperformance at the Oscar nods. could get directing, actress picture nods or none of it. did pretty well at the BAFTAs and the academy have added so many more foreign/arthouse auteur types to their membership the past couple years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 (edited) LOL overreactions. First Man is not back from the dead just because Foy got a nom. She's British and they prefer their people. Look at Steve Coogan. He'll be replaced by JDW in BKKK most likely unless AMPAS somehow goes for Hawke in the unaccessible critics darling First Reformed. Foy will be replaced by King. Blunt was on the shaky ground the moment MPR failed to open big but I'm reading that she is also campaigning for hubby's movie so maybe she split votes? Remember she got in twice at SAG. Yalitza is not happening, people should stop predicting her for 5th, what does she have, Critics Choice nom? Ditto that Kulig girl. she doesn't even have CC. Viola with her dead as dormant movie has better shot on respect and afterglow alone and BAFTA nom at least keeps her in some minor conversation, though this is the award where she had a decent shot of showing up since the movie is considered British for some reason. That it flopped everywhere else with BAFTA is surprising but it was a BO flop in UK too so...There are also critics darlings with GG noms - Colette and some other people I forgot. Either way, Blunt still makes most sense to me as 5th but I can see a veteran get in as an upset. I really can't see Yalitza and don't know why she's constantly predicted as a wild card. yes her movie's strong but no one cares about her and is she even campaigning? Edited January 9, 2019 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Valonqar said: LOL overreactions. First Man is not back from the dead just because Foy got a nom. She's British and they prefer their people. Look at Steve Coogan. He'll be replaced by JDW in BKKK most likely unless AMPAS somehow goes for Hawke in the unaccessible critics darling First Reformed. Foy will be replaced by King. Blunt was on the shaky ground the moment MPR failed to open big but I'm reading that she is also campaigning for hubby's movie so maybe she split votes? Remember she got in twice at SAG. Yalitza is not happening, people should stop predicting her for 5th, what does she have, Critics Choice nom? Viola with her dead as dormant movie has better shot on respect and afterglow alone and BAFTA nom at least keeps her in some minor conversation. There are also critics darlings with GG noms - Colette and some other people I forgot. Either way, Blunt still makes most sense to me as 5th but I can see a veteran get in as an upset. I really can't see Yalitza and don't know why she's constantly predicted as a wild card. yes her movie's strong but no one cares about her and is she even campaigning? i think you're right about yalitza i changed that to Kulig. I think the snub here was bad for Blunt though, those box office problems you speak of don't extend to the UK MPR is big here and obviously it's an iconicly british thing so her not getting nominated is pretty bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 (edited) 8 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: i think you're right about yalitza i changed that to Kulig. I think the snub here was bad for Blunt though, those box office problems you speak of don't extend to the UK MPR is big here and obviously it's an iconicly british thing so her not getting nominated is pretty bad. you understand Oscar games better than I do. how various nominations rank? for example, is Blunt snub for BAFTA so bad that it offsets her noms for GG, CC and SAG, while BAFTA nom is so good that it offsets Davis snubs for GG, CC, SAG? I'm confused cause I always thought that Guilds are stronger due to bigger overlap with AMPAS. Edited January 9, 2019 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Valonqar said: you understand Oscar games better than I do. how various nominations rank? for example, is Blunt snub for BAFTA so bad that it offsets her noms for GG, CC and SAG, while BAFTA nom is so good that it offsets Davis snubs for GG, CC, SAG? I'm confused cause I always thought that Guilds are stronger due to bigger overlap with AMPAS. i think SAG noms happened a month ago when poppins buzz was a lot stronger but it's kinda been deflating since then and this BAFTA showing is just indicative of that. davis might be a BAFTA only thing since that movie actually did pretty decent box office in the UK it's based on a famous british show. i'd say overall blunt would be more likely than davis for an oscar nod though. Edited January 9, 2019 by CoolioD1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I guess this year we won't have any oscar season hit. 2013- django, les miserable, zero dark 30, silver lining, 2014- american hustle + wolf of wall street 2015- American Sniper + Imitation Game 2016- the revenant 2017 - hidden figure + la la land 2018 - The post I miss 2013 oscar season when every film with oscar buzz overperform, and argo and life of pi both had supper leggy into the season . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: i think SAG noms happened a month ago when poppins buzz was a lot stronger but it's kinda been deflating since then and this BAFTA showing is just indicative of that. davis might be a BAFTA only thing since that movie actually did pretty decent box office in the UK it's based on a famous british show. i'd say overall blunt would be more likely than davis for an oscar nod though. agreed. MPR buzz deflated considerably which is evident in MPR missing PGA although it made AFI Top 10 (when everyone expected a break out or something) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 hours ago, titanic2187 said: I guess this year we won't have any oscar season hit. 2013- django, les miserable, zero dark 30, silver lining, 2014- american hustle + wolf of wall street 2015- American Sniper + Imitation Game 2016- the revenant 2017 - hidden figure + la la land 2018 - The post I miss 2013 oscar season when every film with oscar buzz overperform, and argo and life of pi both had supper leggy into the season . Hold your horses; I wholeheartedly believe in the surprise success of If Beale Street Could Talk. 2018 has been a great year for African-American led films, and I believe that Jenkins' romance has the capacity to appeal to that audience, as well as the artsy audience. I wouldn't count out an overperformance. It's the little film that can. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 4 hours ago, Spagspiria said: The question then is who gets the final spot. Probably safe to say that Close, GaGa, McCarthy, and Colman are safely in. The most likely choice seems like Aparacio, imo, but I also wouldn't be shocked if Kulig snuck in. I would never stop laughing if Felicity Jones pulled an Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close and got nominated for playing RBG (even though she’s actually pretty good in On the Basis of Sex and the movie itself is worlds better than Extremely Loud). I doubt that happens though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Don’t see a path for a King win now really, snubbed from BAFTA and SAG. Shame too because she was the best supporting female performance. Really puzzled at the lack of Beale Street love in general. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...