Joel M Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Roma might be in front, but I have no idea what is winning BP, it's gonna be the 4th year in a row that we don't have a locked BP winner before the ceremony. It's becoming a trend and I'm not sure we can attribute it to the category expansion since until half a decade ago the BP winner was usually locked after the major guilds, in some cases even sooner. I haven't seen half the BP nominated movies yet and my faves look dead as contenders (ASIB, Klansman), but this is good for drama. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 (edited) Roma likely wins cause it has narrative (first foreign to win best Picture which would be historical), Director remains unchallenged, it isn't divisive and it over-performed with acting categories. BP for NGNG shock (yes, I still believe). it has narrative and narrative is everything. Edited January 28, 2019 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 12 minutes ago, Joel M said: Roma might be in front, but I have no idea what is winning BP, it's gonna be the 4th year in a row that we don't have a locked BP winner before the ceremony. It's becoming a trend and I'm not sure we can attribute it to the category expansion since until half a decade ago the BP winner was usually locked after the major guilds, in some cases even sooner. I haven't seen half the BP nominated movies yet and my faves look dead as contenders (ASIB, Klansman), but this is good for drama. Outside of best picture, the winner of best director and all 4 acting categories were very much line up with major awards, the suspense of the race in all those categories were killed by the over-exposure of award season. I suggest oscar to go fully preferential voting system in all categories to make the oscar more fun to catch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, titanic2187 said: Outside of best picture, the winner of best director and all 4 acting categories were very much line up with major awards, the suspense of the race in all those categories were killed by the over-exposure of award season. I suggest oscar to go fully preferential voting system in all categories to make the oscar more fun to catch Yeah but that was always the case. Every year since forever most of the big awards are locked in advance and there's maybe one or two at best that are actually races till oscar night. Picture is the outlier the last 3-4 years and I don't think it's just because of the preferential ballot. Hurt Locker, King's Speech, Artist, Argo and Birdman were all in the preferential ballot era and that didn't stop them from sweeping the guilds and walk into the ceremony with the BP prize 100% locked. For whatever reason the various awards bodies started doing their own thing the last few years, or maybe it's just happenstance and there just wasn't that one movie for all to line up behind it. Preferential ballot would be nonsence in 5-slot categories and wouldn't change much. If people think it's time for Glen Close or they really love that guy that looks just like Freddie Mercury, they would still go all in and wouldn't matter who got more 2nd place placements. I guess you could expand all categories to 10 to make it more possible for upsets but that would be a disaster. There's been so many stories in the press about academy members not bothering to watch many of the movies or just voting for the stuff they care about and fill in everything else at random. Imagine give those people 20+ categories to rank 10 nominees in each one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Picture - A Star is Born Director - Spike Lee Actor - Christian Bale Actress - Glenn Close Supporting Actor - Mahershala Ali Supporting Actress - Regina King Original Screenplay - The Favourite Adapted Screenplay - A Star is Born Animated Feature Film - Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse Foreign Language Film - Roma Documentary - RBG Documentary Short - A Night at The Garden Live Action Short - Fauve Animated Short - Bao Original Score - If Beale Street Could Talk Original Song - Shallow Sound Editing - First Man Sound Mixing - Bohemian Rhapsody Production Design - Black Panther Cinematography - Roma Makeup and Hairstyling - Vice Costume Design - The Favourite Film Editing - The Favourite Visual Effects - Avengers: Infinity War Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Picture: BP Director: Cuaron Actor: Rami Actress: Glenn SActor: Mahershalla SActress: Regina Animated: Spiderverse BP sweeps techs and Song Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Best Picture is between Roma and Green Book. I would say BP's win at SAG just helped Roma a lot since BP is highly unlikely to win without a director, editing, writing or acting nomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 My current hope is for Green Book/Malek/Close victories because it'll be hilarious. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, RichWS said: My current hope is for Green Book/Malek/Close victories because it'll be hilarious. Close's performance is certainly no worse than Julianne in Still Alice and tbh much better than Meryl in Iron Lady and Kate in The Reader. Standard overdue veteran performance. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 2 hours ago, Rebeccas said: Close's performance is certainly no worse than Julianne in Still Alice and tbh much better than Meryl in Iron Lady and Kate in The Reader. Standard overdue veteran performance. Meryl in Iron Lady was great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Picture - Roma Director - Alfonso Cuaron, Roma Actor - Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody Actress - Glenn Close, The Wife Supporting Actor - Mahershala Ali, Green Book Supporting Actress - Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk Original Screenplay - The Favourite Adapted Screenplay - BlacKkKlansman Animated Feature Film - Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse Foreign Language Film - Roma Documentary - RBG Original Score - If Beale Street Could Talk Original Song - "Shallow" from A Star is Born Sound Editing - Roma Sound Mixing - A Star is Born Production Design - Black Panther Cinematography - Roma Makeup and Hairstyling - Vice Costume Design - Black Panther Film Editing - The Favourite Visual Effects - Avengers: Infinity War Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 15 minutes ago, RichWS said: So who is gonna be the one to announce this year if Green Book or Bohemian Rhapsody win? A big name of course since the Oscars only care about big stars (whatever that means in today's climate) presenting because apparently last year's acting winners are total nobodies in their eyes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 No way Green Book or bohemian will win BP. The backlash for these two films are way more severe than La la land and 3 billboard. If even LLL and 3b with that momentum failed to get BP win, no way GB and BR can, not to mention both film have no directing nomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 3 hours ago, filmlover said: So who is gonna be the one to announce this year if Green Book or Bohemian Rhapsody win? A big name of course since the Oscars only care about big stars (whatever that means in today's climate) presenting because apparently last year's acting winners are total nobodies in their eyes. I mean like who even won last year? I can’t name them but I can name Tom Hardy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Pretty interesting race for Best Picture, seems like anyone can win besides A Star Is Born Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Roma wins DGA. I'm pretty sure it's taking home Best Picture as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Feature Film: Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma” *WINNER Peter Farrelly, “Green Book” Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman” Adam McKay, “Vice” First-Time Feature Film Director:Bo Burnham, “Eighth Grade” *WINNER Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born” Carlos Lopez Estrada, “Blindspotting” Matthew Heineman, “A Private War” Boots Riley, “Sorry to Bother You” Documentary Feature: Morgan Neville, “Won’t You Be My Neighbor?” RaMell Ross, “Hale County This Morning, This Evening” Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin, “Free Solo”Tim Wardle, “Three Identical Strangers” *WINNER Betsy West and Julie Cohen, “RBG Cauron is now almost locked for best director awards unless Ang Lee for Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon snub strike again.( Ang Lee won DGA and GG for best director in 2000 but lost to Traffic in Oscar) 8th grade finally have some award attention and beat Cooper! I seriously don't think cooper directing treatment for ASIB deserve any recognition to this extent. The film has limited style and pretty much will looked the same in any average director. ASIB isn't a great directing workship that I would like to show it to my student and this award season keep disagree with me until recently when cooper snubbed by oscar and now lost to 8th grade which indeed has much better direction . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted February 9, 2019 Author Share Posted February 9, 2019 It’s worth pointing out that every year, the Best Picture winner was also up for a BOFFY. That rules out Panther, Green Book, Vice, and BoRap for potential wins... I mean, it’s worked like clockwork before... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 11 hours ago, Spagspiria said: It’s worth pointing out that every year, the Best Picture winner was also up for a BOFFY. That rules out Panther, Green Book, Vice, and BoRap for potential wins... I mean, it’s worked like clockwork before... You know what they say... Rules are meant to be broken... 😬 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
