Best Picture Predictions - 2018

[Rorschach]

2 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

early test screenings/randos online reading scripts it's all white noise none of that tells you anything.

Was just wondering. I know there was a discussion about it earlier in this thread.

[WrathOfHan]

To my knowledge Cheney hasn't test screened

 

26 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

that's exactly the case with Mahershala Ali/Mark Rylance/Allison Janney's winning performances though.

This is also true

[4815162342]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

A lot more people on AW have been reading the Dick Cheney script:

 

It's probably not winning picture and will probably have a decent amount of detractors

The main three (Bale/Adams/Carell) could all win

Adams has a supporting role but could be frauded into lead

Rockwell doesn't have a big role and isn't in much of the film; nothing in the script screams a nomination

 

Slightly spoilery blurb about Carell

 

  Hide contents

He has a big role in the first act but fades a bit until the ending. If Supporting Actor is tough this year, that may go against him

 

 

lol the whole pointing about Supporting Actor/Actress is that it's "supporting." There's plenty of awards in both categories that have gone to roles that are essentially for particular chunks of a movie and not the whole thing.

[SLAM!]

15 hours ago, 4815162342 said:

 

lol the whole pointing about Supporting Actor/Actress is that it's "supporting." There's plenty of awards in both categories that have gone to roles that are essentially for particular chunks of a movie and not the whole thing.

 

Like Anne Hathaway in Les Miserables!

[WrathOfHan]

Peterloo has screened for French distributors to qualify at Cannes, but nobody wants to pick it up  That doesn't bode well.

[SLAM!]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Peterloo has screened for French distributors to qualify at Cannes, but nobody wants to pick it up  That doesn't bode well.

 

That's pretty sad... it's gonna have an uphill battle.

[Eric Duncan]

The Favourite got slotted into the Thanksgiving slot, so I guess we now know what Searchlight's top priority will be.

[filmlover]

5 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

The Favourite got slotted into the Thanksgiving slot, so I guess we now know what Searchlight's top priority will be.

And Focus also just made On the Basis of Sex their November release, which is when their #1 pushes have typically been released. I think if the movie and Felicity Jones get the raves, she's very much in (hell, maybe even the frontrunner...it's a really fantastic role for any actress to play).

[Eric Duncan]

24 minutes ago, filmlover said:

And Focus also just made On the Basis of Sex their November release, which is when their #1 pushes have typically been released. I think if the movie and Felicity Jones get the raves, she's very much in (hell, maybe even the frontrunner...it's a really fantastic role for any actress to play).

If only another Star Wars actress with a baity role had a shot.

[Ethan Hunt]

17 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

The Favourite got slotted into the Thanksgiving slot, so I guess we now know what Searchlight's top priority will be.

I'm skeptical of a Yorgos movie really being mainstream enough for the academy's taste

[SLAM!]

38 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

I'm skeptical of a Yorgos movie really being mainstream enough for the academy's taste

 

Maybe it's a Wes Anderson situation or a Guillermo del Toro situation where the style or niche eventually grows onto people? I'm sure Fox Searchlight knows what they're doing...

[Ethan Hunt]

25 minutes ago, slambros said:

 

Maybe it's a Wes Anderson situation or a Guillermo del Toro situation where the style or niche eventually grows onto people? I'm sure Fox Searchlight knows what they're doing...

I mean Guillermo finally won his oscars by making the world's safest movie...

[WrathOfHan]

I'm getting some Phantom Thread vibes from The Favourite tbh

[Eric Duncan]

1 hour ago, Ethan Hunt said:

I'm skeptical of a Yorgos movie really being mainstream enough for the academy's taste

To be fair, both Dogtooth and The Lobster managed to get nominations, so it isn't completely unfamiliar ground to Academy members. Although maybe the Foreign Language and Screenplay branches of the Academy are more receptive to Lanthimos' films.

[SLAM!]

42 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

I mean Guillermo finally won his oscars by making the world's safest movie...

 

Now this is just my opinion, but I don't think, no matter how traditional the storytelling is, that a film about a janitor falling in love with a fish man is truly the safest movie in the world... something like Victoria & Abdul or The Post would probably be much safer.

[filmlover]

The Favourite and Mary, Queen of Scotts are gonna be duking it out as to which period piece will be the bigger contender.

[Ethan Hunt]

59 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

To be fair, both Dogtooth and The Lobster managed to get nominations, so it isn't completely unfamiliar ground to Academy members. Although maybe the Foreign Language and Screenplay branches of the Academy are more receptive to Lanthimos' films.

You bring up a fair point. And of course we yet to know much about The Favourite but that was just my gut instinct

 

 

It's one of my most anticipated of the year

[CoolioD1]

there used to always be an idea that the academy at large didn't like wes anderson's style in a similar "oh only the writer's branch like his stuff" until grand budapest.

[WrathOfHan]

Kinda bored rn so here's some new predictions for the main categories:

Spoiler

Picture:

 

1. First Man

2. Cheney

3. The Favourite

4. Widows

5. If Beale Street Could Talk

6. Can You Ever Forgive Me?

7. Black Panther

8. A Star Is Born

9. The Front Runner

10. On the Basis of Sex

-------------------------

11. Mary, Queen of Scots

12. Roma

13. Mid-90s

14. Hereditary

15. Bohemian Rhapsody

 

Director:

 

1. Damien Chazelle, First Man

2. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite

3. Steve McQueen, Widows

4. Adam McKay, Cheney

5. Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk

--------------------------

6. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

7. Ryan Coogler, Black Panther

8. Jason Reitman, The Front Runner

9. Marielle Heller, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

10. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma

 

Actor:

 

1. Ryan Gosling, First Man

2. Christian Bale, Cheney

3. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

4. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

5. Hugh Jackman, The Front Runner

--------------------------

6. Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun

7. John C. Reilly, The Sisters Brothers

8. Steve Carell, The Women of Marwen

9. Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased

10. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity's Gate

 

Actress:

 

1. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

2. Felicity Jones, On the Basis of Sex

3. Toni Collette, Hereditary

4. Viola Davis, Widows

5. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

--------------------------

6. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

7. Saoirse Ronan, Mary, Queen of Scots

8. Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns

9. Cate Blanchett, Where'd You Go, Bernadette? 

10. Nicole Kidman, Destroyer

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

2. Stephan James, If Beale Street Could Talk

3. Sam Rockwell, Cheney

4. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

5. Kyle Chandler, First Man

--------------------------

6. Steve Carell, Cheney

7. Russell Crowe, Boy Erased

8. Armie Hammer, On the Basis of Sex

9. Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther

10. John C. Reilly, Stan and Ollie

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Amy Adams, Cheney

2. Claire Foy, First Man

3. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

4. Olivia Colman, The Favourite

5. Emma Stone, The Favourite

--------------------------

6. Margot Robbie, Mary, Queen of Scots

7. Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

8. Meryl Streep, Mary Poppins Returns

9. Katherine Waterson, Mid-90s

10. Vera Farmiga, The Front Runner

 

Original Screenplay:

 

1. Cheney

2. The Favourite

3. On the Basis of Sex

4. Roma

5. Hereditary

--------------------------

6. A Quiet Place

7. Bohemian Rhapsody

8. Mid-90s

9. Under the Silver Lake

10. Isle of Dogs

 

Adapted Screenplay:

 

1. First Man

2. Widows

3. Can You Ever Forgive Me?

4. The Front Runner

5. A Star Is Born

--------------------------

6. If Beale Street Could Talk

7. Black Panther

8. Mary, Queen of Scots

9. BlacKkKlansman

10. Where'd You Go, Bernadette?

 

 

Fox didn't announce anything regarding AD Astra at CinemaCon, and most sites still have it opening on January 11 (that one Deadline article was the only place with the early December date, and it wasn't even the focus of the article). I don't think it's coming out this year.

[That One Girl]

I guess you could say The Front Runner might end up being a front runner