Mojoguy Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 (edited) Tues J 10.2, TLJ 7.9 Edited January 3, 2018 by Mojoguy 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weresweresweres Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 (edited) Last year in Tuesday Sing had 6.1 mln, and after that day it added another 83 mln, so Jumanji with over 10 mln, should do around 125mln and beat Thor (313+mln). Edited January 3, 2018 by weresweresweres 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Jumanji pummelling TLJ hard. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Drops should be harsher than usual today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Can we say the C-word yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Jumanji: -37% TLJ: -44.8% Not great for Jedi, but to illustrate the point that this week will be stronger than the same week of last year, Rogue 1 fell 60% on the same Tuesday. So the numbers aren't great but it did hold 15% better than R1. Jumanji is the story of the Christmas season. Sing fell 57% last year on the same day, this held 20% better. Jumanji is a hair away from 200 million and imo, there's no question it flies past 300 now. Just looking at this week, it will probably do something like this: Wed: 6.6 (-33%) Thurs: 6.0 (-9%) Fri: 9.3 (+55%) it will, imo, have a softer increase than Sing did on the same Friday due to more kids being out of school this week. Sat: 15.6 (+65%) Sun: 10.8 (-30%) If it does manage 35 million this coming weekend, that would be an insane hold. Maybe I'm not doing the math right because if it does this amount, it will already be at 242 million. 300 would be all but locked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 hours ago, CJohn said: Drops should be harsher than usual today. I don't think they will be. There will be more people going back to school, but none more than last year. There's still a significant part of North America that is out of school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Psychologically, TLJ is officially topping Rogue One as the biggest Non-Event Huge Blockbuster in the Domestic Top 10. Every movie in the Top 10 other than those two, has something very special around their runs. It's so huge, but it doesn't feel that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 hours ago, Tree Billboards said: Can we say the C-word yet? What word is that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Dwayne's star power is saved. Bless Sony. Now onto Rampage and Skyscraper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 hours ago, Poseidon said: Psychologically, TLJ is officially topping Rogue One as the biggest Non-Event Huge Blockbuster in the Domestic Top 10. Every movie in the Top 10 other than those two, has something very special around their runs. It's so huge, but it doesn't feel that way. It only doesn't feel that way because of what TFA did. TLJ's run is disappointing, but you can't ever say that a 600 million dollar grossing film isn't huge. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Christmas baumer said: What word is that? CRUMBLING 4 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Jumanji is simply a great crowd pleaser for every demo. It also doesn’t hurt that it’s length gives an extra showing per day vs TLJ. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Christmas baumer said: TLJ's run is disappointing, but you can't ever say that a 600 million dollar grossing film isn't huge. That's why I said it's huge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 (edited) Jumanji should have a nice hold this upcoming weekend if we look at the first Night at the Museum. Edited January 3, 2018 by Mojoguy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 TLJ Projection 7.9 [539.4 cume] 4.7 (-40%) [544.1] 4.3 (-08%) [548.4] 6.0 (+40%) [554.4] 9.6 (+60%) [564.0] 6.4 (-33%) [570.4] // 22.0 weekend (-58.0%) RO added 2.5x it's 4th weekend to the cume. With 4th weekend drop being bigger (58.0% vs 55.5%) with these numbers, worse trending compared to RO and extended holidays coming to an end, 2.5x could be the best TLJ could do imo. 570.4 + 22.0*2.5 = 570.4 + 55 = 625.4 dom Over TA and then 630 dom could be realistic targets for TLJ. Even being more optimistic, 650 and JW seem too far away at the moment. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said: What word is that? c r u m b l i n g 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 17 out 18 Winter Game players predicted TLJ would drop below 10 m by day 19 in SOTM 7. This was before TLJ opened. So it's safe to say below 10 m was very expected by Tuesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said: What word is that? Colossal hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weresweresweres Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said: Jumanji: -37% TLJ: -44.8% Not great for Jedi, but to illustrate the point that this week will be stronger than the same week of last year, Rogue 1 fell 60% on the same Tuesday. So the numbers aren't great but it did hold 15% better than R1. Jumanji is the story of the Christmas season. Sing fell 57% last year on the same day, this held 20% better. Jumanji is a hair away from 200 million and imo, there's no question it flies past 300 now. Just looking at this week, it will probably do something like this: Wed: 6.6 (-33%) Thurs: 6.0 (-9%) Fri: 9.3 (+55%) it will, imo, have a softer increase than Sing did on the same Friday due to more kids being out of school this week. Sat: 15.6 (+65%) Sun: 10.8 (-30%) If it does manage 35 million this coming weekend, that would be an insane hold. Maybe I'm not doing the math right because if it does this amount, it will already be at 242 million. 300 would be all but locked. 35 mln weekend would be just 30% down compared to last weekend, last year sing was almost 52% down. I think even 30 mln weekend would be great hold for jumanji. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
