2018 100M Films - 33 down, 3 to go! (Big update)

[WrathOfHan]

15 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

I feel like a lot of us are underestimating Instant Family, even with all of the family movies out this holiday. The trailer plays well when I see it in the theater, and there's a decent market for this kind of family movie as the Daddy's Home films have proved. Seems like a good alternative to stuff like Ralph or Fantastic Beasts.

I can see it doing 70-80M, but hitting 100M/outgrossing Daddy's Home 2 will probably be challenging. 

[filmlover]

32 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

I feel like a lot of us are underestimating Instant Family, even with all of the family movies out this holiday. The trailer plays well when I see it in the theater, and there's a decent market for this kind of family movie as the Daddy's Home films have proved. Seems like a good alternative to stuff like Ralph or Fantastic Beasts.

I dunno, it actually reminds me of Old Dogs (which opened in a similarly crowded Thanksgiving period and got lost in the shuffle).

[WrathOfHan]

Christopher Robin closed its run at 99.2M. New predictions:

 

1. Black Panther
2. Peter Rabbit
3. Fifty Shades Freed
4. Ready Player One
5. A Quiet Place
6. Avengers: Infinity War
7. Deadpool 2
8. Solo: A Star Wars Story
9. Incredibles 2
10. A Wrinkle in Time
11. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
12. Ocean's 8
13. Ant-Man and the Wasp
14. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
15. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
16. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
17. The Meg
18. Crazy Rich Asians
19. The Equalizer 2
20. The Nun
21. Venom
22. A Star Is Born
23. Halloween
24. Bohemian Rhapsody
25. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
26. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
27. Ralph Breaks the Internet
28. Creed II
29. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
30. Mary Poppins Returns
31. Aquaman
32. Bumblebee

Yep, this definitely isn't happening this year. Too many November releases underperformed.

[Eric Duncan]

Guess it's time for 2019 predicts.

 

1. Glass

2. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

3. What Men Want

4. Alita: Battle Angel

5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

6. Captain Marvel

7. Us

8. Dumbo

9. Shazam

10. 4vengers

11. Detective Pikachu

12. Aladdin

13. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

14. Rocketman

15. Dark Phoenix

16. The Secret Life of Pets 2

17. Men in Black

18. Toy Story 4

19. Ford v Ferrari

20. Annabelle 3

21. Spider-Man: Far From Home

22. The Lion King

23. Once Upon A Time in Hollywood

24. Hobbs & Shaw

25. It: Chapter 2

26. The Kitchen

27. Abominable

28. Joker

29. Gemini Man

30. You Are My Friend

31. Charlie's Angels

32. Terminator

33. Sonic the Hedgehog

34. Frozen 2

35. Jumanj3

36. Cats

37. Star Wars: Episode IX

38. Little Women

 

Obviously this is an optimistic list, but I have faith.

[The Panda]

Conservative 2019 predicts

 

1 Billion

1. Detective Pikachu - May 10

2. The Lion King - Jul 19

 

900m

1. Detective Pikachu - May 10

2. The Lion King - Jul 19

 

800m

1. Detective Pikachu - May 10

2. The Lion King - Jul 19

 

600m

1. Avengers 4 - April 26th

2. Detective Pikachu - May 10

3. The Lion King - Jul 19

4. Star Wars: Episode IX - Dec 20

 

500m

1. Captain Marvel - Mar 8

2. Avengers 4 - April 26th

3. Detective Pikachu - May 10

4. The Lion King - Jul 19

5. Star Wars: Episode IX - Dec 20

 

400m

1. Captain Marvel - Mar 8

2. Avengers 4 - April 26th

3. Detective Pikachu - May 10

4. The Lion King - Jul 19

5. Joker - Oct 4

6. Frozen 2 - Nov 22

7. Star Wars: Episode IX - Dec 20

 

300m

1. Captain Marvel - Mar 8

2. Avengers 4 - April 26th

3. Detective Pikachu - May 10

4. Aladdin - May 24

5. Toy Story 4 - June 21

6. Spider-Man: Far From Home - Jul 5

7. The Lion King - Jul 19

8. It: Chapter 2 - Sep 3

9. Joker - Oct 4

10. Frozen 2 - Nov 22

11. Jumanji 2 - Dec 13

12. Star Wars: Episode IX - Dec 20

 

200m

1. Glass - Jan 18th

2. Captain Marvel - Mar 8

3. Dumbo - Mar 29

4. Shazam! - April 5

5. Avengers 4 - April 26th

6. Detective Pikachu - May 10

7. Aladdin - May 24

8. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - June 7

9. Toy Story 4 - June 21

10. Spider-Man: Far From Home - Jul 5

11. The Lion King - Jul 19

12. It: Chapter 2 - Sep 3

13. Joker - Oct 4

14. Frozen 2 - Nov 22

15. Jumanji 2 - Dec 13

16. Star Wars: Episode IX - Dec 20

 

100m

1. Glass - Jan 18th

2. The LEGO Movie 2 - Feb 8

3. What Men Want - Feb 8

4. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - Feb 22

5. Captain Marvel - Mar 8

6. Us - Mar 15

7. Dumbo - Mar 29

8. Shazam! - April 5

9. Pet Semetary - April 5

10. Avengers 4 - April 26th

11. Detective Pikachu - May 10

12. Aladdin - May 24

13. Rocketman - May 31

14. Godzilla: King of Monsters - May 31

15. Dark Phoenix - June 7

16. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - June 7

17. Men in Black - June 14

18. Toy Story 4 - June 21

19. Limited Partners - June 28

20. Spider-Man: Far From Home - Jul 5

21. Annabelle 3 - Jul 3

22. The Lion King - Jul 19

23. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - Jul 26

24. Hobbs and Shaw - Aug 3

25. Artemis Fowl - Aug 9

26. Good Boys - Aug 16

27. It: Chapter 2 - Sep 3

28. Spies in Disguise - Sep 13

29. The Kitchen - Sep 20

30. Joker - Oct 4

31. The Addams Family - Oct 11

32. You Are My Friend - Oct 18

33. Sonic the Hedgehog - Nov 8

34. Last Christmas - Nov 15

35. Frozen 2 - Nov 22

36. Queen and Slim - Nov 27

37. Jumanji 2 - Dec 13

38. Cats - Dec 20

39. Star Wars: Episode IX - Dec 20

40. Superinteligence - Dec 25

41. Little Women - Dec 25

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

19 hours ago, PANDA said:

Conservative 2019 predicts

 

1 Billion

1. Detective Pikachu - May 10

2. The Lion King - Jul 19

 

 

 

 

 

Is this worldwide or US Domestic only? I can't tell.

 

Because if it's worldwide I don't see how by any of the remotest measures Avengers doesn't break 800m and even less how Frozen 2 doesn't break 500m.

 

But if it's domestic.....I mean I suppose the Lion King can be just about stretched to being described as an ultra-bold call but Detective Pikachu? I mean I think it's going to be a bit hit but bigger than The Force Awakens? More than 300m more than Black Panther or Infinity War? 

[The Panda]

2 hours ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

 

Is this worldwide or US Domestic only? I can't tell.

 

Because if it's worldwide I don't see how by any of the remotest measures Avengers doesn't break 800m and even less how Frozen 2 doesn't break 500m.

 

But if it's domestic.....I mean I suppose the Lion King can be just about stretched to being described as an ultra-bold call but Detective Pikachu? I mean I think it's going to be a bit hit but bigger than The Force Awakens? More than 300m more than Black Panther or Infinity War? 

I was being conservative with Detective Pikachu

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

11 minutes ago, PANDA said:

I was being conservative with Detective Pikachu

I'm assuming that this answer means that your figures are Domestic? In which case I genuinely can't tell if you're trolling or not.

 

You're "being conservative" to say that Detective Pikachu will earn twice as much as Frozen 2? Will earn 400m more than Incredibles 2 - a juggernaut movie with the biggest animated opening in history, more than the first new carte-blanche Star Wars movie for over 30 years made (plus another 60m-odd), twice as much as the sure-thing remake of one of the most beloved animate movies in history.

 

I mean, I find that idea astonishing, and I write this as someone who thinks Detective Pikachu will likely do incredibly well. 

 

Can I ask what your reasoning is for thinking Detective Pikachu will be a more anticipated movie in the US than Star Wars:Force Awakens?

 

 

[Premium George]

Keep fighting Panda, I am with you. This people still don't understand the power of Pika-Pika.

[The Panda]

2 hours ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

I'm assuming that this answer means that your figures are Domestic? In which case I genuinely can't tell if you're trolling or not.

 

You're "being conservative" to say that Detective Pikachu will earn twice as much as Frozen 2? Will earn 400m more than Incredibles 2 - a juggernaut movie with the biggest animated opening in history, more than the first new carte-blanche Star Wars movie for over 30 years made (plus another 60m-odd), twice as much as the sure-thing remake of one of the most beloved animate movies in history.

 

I mean, I find that idea astonishing, and I write this as someone who thinks Detective Pikachu will likely do incredibly well. 

 

Can I ask what your reasoning is for thinking Detective Pikachu will be a more anticipated movie in the US than Star Wars:Force Awakens?

 

 

Ryan Reynolds is Pika Pika, that’s all it needs to break all of the records

[Blankments]

700M

1. Black Panther - August 5

600M

1. Black Panther - March 18
2. Avengers: Infinity War - May 22
3. Incredibles 2 - September 2

500M

1. Black Panther - March 4
2. Avengers: Infinity War - May 11
3. Incredibles 2 - July 8

400M

1. Black Panther - February 25
2. Avengers: Infinity War - May 5
3. Incredibles 2 - June 29
4. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - August 1

300M

1. Black Panther - February 23
2. Avengers: Infinity War - May 1
3. Deadpool 2 - June 22
4. Incredibles 2 - June 23
5. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - July 5

200M

1. Black Panther - February 18
2. Avengers: Infinity War - April 29
3. Deadpool 2 - May 27
4. Incredibles 2 - June 18
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - June 23
6. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - June 28
7. Ant-Man and the Wasp - August 10
8. Mission: Impossible - Fallout - September 1
9. Venom - November 6
10. The Grinch - December 2

100M

1. Black Panther - February 17
2. Peter Rabbit - March 17
3. Fifty Shades Freed - March 23
4. Ready Player One - April 10
5. A Quiet Place - April 15
6. Avengers: Infinity War - April 27
7. Deadpool 2 - May 20
8. Solo: A Star Wars Story - May 28
9. Incredibles 2 - June 16
10. A Wrinkle in Time - June 18
11. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - June 23
12. Ocean's 8 - June 24
13. Ant-Man and the Wasp - July 12
14. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - July 24
15. Mission: Impossible - Fallout - August 4
16. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - August 11
17. The Meg - August 25
18. Crazy Rich Asians - September 1
19. Equalizer 2 - September 2
20. The Nun – September 23
21. Venom – October 10
22. A Star is Born – October 16
23. Halloween – October 26
24. Bohemian Rhapsody – November 11
25. The Grinch – November 17
26. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald – November 24
27. Ralph Breaks the Internet – December 1

[CJohn]

Just pretend Rampage and Christopher Robin hit the 100M mark as well ffs.

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

It's going to be 31 films over 100 million, maybe 32 if "Holmes and Watson" get some legs.

[Black Panther]

And Creed II hit 100 million over the weekend

[Maxmoser3]

Dark Phoenix I don’t think it’s going to happen 

[NamakFiskKa]

Rampage (2018)
 

Domestic Total Gross: $101,028,233

[MrGlass2]

1 minute ago, NamakFiskKa said:

Rampage (2018)
 

Domestic Total Gross: $101,028,233

Reached the mark easily too.

[sfran43]

Looks like there's still hope for Christopher Robin's

On 12/16/2018 at 9:10 PM, CJohn said:

Just pretend Rampage and Christopher Robin hit the 100M mark as well ffs.

 

2 hours ago, NamakFiskKa said:

Rampage (2018)
 

Domestic Total Gross: $101,028,233

 

[MCKillswitch123]

Oh scheisse, Rampage has been updated to 101M   So there's still hope for Christopher Robin......

 

So, all the others + Rampage + Creed + Spider-Verse + Poppins + Aquaman = 32 films. Bumblebee makes it 33 (assuming it gets there). Give The Mule the benefit of the doubt and it's 34, and then a Christopher Robin update would get it at 35............. still would be one down from the 36 it needs to tie the record, nevermind break it. Unless Holmes & Watson or one of the Oscar contenders blows up out of nowhere, I don't see this happening for 2018.

[NamakFiskKa]

JLo and Fat Bale are our only hope