Weekend Thread | 3-day estimates (per BOM): J 27M, TP 18.6M, TC 13.45M, I:TLK 12.14M, TGS 11.8M, TLJ 11.28M, P2 10.62M, PM 10M

[Webslinger]

I wouldn't read too far into the preview numbers for The Post. It's going to skew really old, after all.

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

BOP Long-Range Forecast:

 

12 Strong: 14/45 (+8%)

Peter Rabbit: 19/78 (-24%)

Black Panther: 120 (+33%)/335 (+22%)

Gringo: 3/7.5

Strangers: Prey at Night: 4/8.5

A Wrinkle in Time: 52/154

They've been promoting the heck out of 12 Strong in my neck of the woods (trailer has been attached to most movies and ads are constantly on TV). I wouldn't be surprised if it manages similar numbers to 13 Hours from two years ago.

[La Binoche]

the floPost 

[Barnack]

36 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Why were people expecting The Post to play like Hidden Figures? HF is a total crowdpleaser while this is not or at least previews aren't. Moreover, it's tanking with awards while facing strong adult competition from awards favorites and Molly's Game. 

I imagine people think Hidden Figures light type run and not a 7.5 multiplier A+ cinemascore phenomenom.

[FantasticBeasts]

14 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

 

850 is less than Thor, Guardians or Sm:h Considering on fact that sw8 dropped more than 90% in china in second week, 75mln would be great achievement.  

It's not the norm. It's just that TLJ had terrible wom.

[John Marston]

China Box Office

 

@ChinaBoxOffice

 

 

THE LAST JEDI dropped to 6th place earning just ¥3.5M ($0.53M) on its 2nd Friday, a massive 94.5% plummet from its opening day.

 

 

 

lol

[weresweresweres]

5 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

It's not the norm. It's just that TLJ had terrible wom.

Of course it's not the norm, but after 40mln OW next weekend will be probably around 20-30% of that, it's really hard to expect more.

Edited January 12, 2018 by weresweresweres

[FantasticBeasts]

2 minutes ago, weresweresweres said:

Of course it's not the norm, but after 40mln OW next weekend will be probably around 20-30% of that, it's really hard to expect more.

A 2x multiplier a normal multipler for a blockbuster without crazy or shitty WoM.

[B D Joe]

People are waiting for the real Spielberg experience, Ready Player One.

[Barnack]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

China Box Office

 

@ChinaBoxOffice

 

 

THE LAST JEDI dropped to 6th place earning just ¥3.5M ($0.53M) on its 2nd Friday, a massive 94.5% plummet from its opening day.

lol

Is OD in China include some previews making the 95% drop sound more dramatic that it is ? Because that is impressive.

[weresweresweres]

6 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

A 2x multiplier a normal multipler for a blockbuster without crazy or shitty WoM.

Right now it's not really normal, it's much more frontloaded i would say that Jumanji will earn a little bit less than 60% in ow.

[Blaze Heatnix]

10 minutes ago, John Marston said:

China Box Office

 

@ChinaBoxOffice

 

 

THE LAST JEDI dropped to 6th place earning just ¥3.5M ($0.53M) on its 2nd Friday, a massive 94.5% plummet from its opening day.

 

 

 

lol

 

 

Wowza!!!!

 

That has to be a record, I assume. 

[Eric Atreides]

http://deadline.com/2018/01/the-commuter-proud-mary-jumanji-paddington-2-mlk-weekend-box-office-1202241724/

 

Paddington 2: $325K

 

Just under Ferdinand's $350K

[a2k]

BoxOffice‏ @BoxOffice 27m27 minutes ago

PADDINGTON 2 $325K Thursday Night Debut #Paddington2 #BoxOffice

[KeepItU25071906]

Deadline forecast  for "Post" looks so low regards presales.

 

Should wait - I THINK WE'LL MUCH HIGHER NUMBERS.

[DAJK]

Damn, oils like I overpredicted everything for Thursday (except Proud Mary  )

 

I still expect Post to finish with mid 20's for the weekend. Commuter around 12-13M FSS, and Paddington 5M for Friday and we'll see from there

[DAJK]

Actually, thatnumber for Paddington seems encouraging, consideringthe first did 175k previews

[Eric Atreides]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

Actually, thatnumber for Paddington seems encouraging, consideringthe first did 175k previews

But it was three years ago, when previews weren't as common or widespread as they are now.

[Brainbug]

Paddington 2, The Post, The Commuter...i dont think these are movies that need high Thursday night grosses. Doom and gloom should only be a thing when the Friday estimates are weak.

[DAJK]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

But it was three years ago, when previews weren't as common or widespread as they are now.

Still, it isn't like previews have doubled since 2015. Previews, while arguably more prominent now, were still a big thing in 2015

 

Hell, American Sniper did 5.3M that day