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MaxAggressor

Daily Numbers | Wednesday 24th January 2018 | 12 Strong 1.18 million

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6 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

 

Lady bird is pacing roughly the same as Manchester by the sea at this point of calendar release, given they too, have a similar theater count for oscar nom weekend, anything above 2m for lady bird would be a win then.....toward a potential $50m total

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38 minutes ago, Joel M said:

I don't see the point in not expanding CMBYN this weekend. That's the peak of its oscar buzz, it's not gonna win anything from here on out.

It already expanded last weekend to a sub-$2K PTA so there really wasn't much room to expand. If anything, it's switching theaters around and either going or returning to more arthouse-friendly locations (which will be much more inclined to hold on to it until the first weekend of March). Either way, it should see a nice increase this weekend.

Edited by filmlover
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Weekend forecast from proboxoffice:

 

Maze Runner: The Death Cure

 

 

 

Fox

 

 

 

$21,000,000

 

 

 

$21,000,000

 

 

 

NEW

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony / Columbia $14,700,000 $336,300,000 -25%
The Post Fox $11,600,000 $61,500,000 -1%
The Greatest Showman Fox $9,100,000 $126,100,000 -15%
12 Strong Warner Bros. $8,700,000 $30,000,000 -45%
Den of Thieves STX $7,700,000 $28,100,000 -49%
Paddington 2 Warner Bros. $6,600,000 $33,000,000

-18%

 

 

 

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

 

 

Disney / Lucasfilm

 

 

$4,700,000

 

 

$611,200,000

 

 

-29%

Hostiles Entertainment Studios $4,500,000 $6,400,000 +1283%
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- (4) Den of Thieves   $1,062,106   -32%    2,432   $19,136,849    6

 

On Tue, Wed:

12S +37%, -34%

DoT +20%, -32%

So looking at the difference in jumps on Tuesday 12S held much better on Wed despite falling a bit more than DoT.

Edited by a2knet
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13 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

Weekend forecast from proboxoffice:

 

       
The Post Fox $11,600,000 $61,500,000 -1%
         

 

The Academy nod is the difference between a -1% projection and -25% projection. The Post has gone from O/U 80 to O/U 90 in 1 day.

Academy nods may not greatly help a film already performing at an optimum level, though it always helps a little. Eg: How much could TGS benefit from a nod? Some imo, but not by a huge amount as wom is killer, it's in many theaters for a while and it's showing great holds already. The Post needed a boost after a 40% drop last weekend.

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