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MaxAggressor

Weekend Thread | Estimates (per DHD) ~ MR:TDC 23M, J 15.8M, H 9.8M, TGS 9.3M, TP 8.7M, 12S/DoT 7.9M, TSOW 5.7M, P2 5.5M, TLJ 4M, TBOEM 3.6M

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TGS Sun-Sun drop is 1.6%

 

2018/01/19 5 $2,989,679 +171% 2,823 $1,059   $105,470,286 31
2018/01/20 5 $4,974,630 +66% 2,823 $1,762   $110,444,916 32
2018/01/21 4 $2,680,515 -46% 2,823 $950   $113,125,431 33
2018/01/22 5 $847,839 -68% 2,823 $300   $113,973,270 34
2018/01/23 5 $1,260,119 +49% 2,823 $446   $115,233,389 35
2018/01/24 5 $851,497 -32% 2,823 $302   $116,084,886 36
2018/01/25 5 $890,346 +5% 2,823 $315   $116,975,232 37
2018/01/26 4 $2,533,075 +185% 2,663 $951   $119,508,307 38
2018/01/27 - $4,378,758 +73% 2,663 $1,644   $123,887,065 39
2018/01/28 - $2,638,534 -40% 2,663 $991   $126,525,599 40
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TLJ could finish it's DBO run with 619.5 million assuming it stabilizes around 90% of R1 after this weekend. 

 

606.541+4.254+[0.9x(2.274x4.254)] = 619.5 million.

 

The big question is will TLJ be able to retain theater counts proportionately w.r.t R1. Because if Ep. VIII continues to lose theaters in the same trajectory as this weekend against R1, it'll bring in less than 8.7 million in the rest of it's DBO run.

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4 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

TLJ could finish it's DBO run with 619.5 million assuming it stabilizes around 90% of R1 after this weekend. 

 

606.541+4.254+[0.9x(2.274x4.254)] = 619.5 million.

 

The big question is will TLJ be able to retain theater counts proportionately w.r.t R1. Because if Ep. VIII continues to lose theaters in the same trajectory as this weekend against R1, it'll bring in less than 8.7 million in the rest of it's DBO run.

Will a SOLO trailer create enough excitement to bump it past TA? or is it pretty much a done deal? 

Edited by Chad Stevens
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2 minutes ago, Chad Stevens said:

Actually came in lower. Still, that's an amazing hold for a film in its sixth week. WOW!

Especially in its sixth week. Jumanji's not slowing down. I could see it making 400m at this point. 

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7 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Smart or shameless?

well, TA had a brief September re-release that pushed it over 623 Million according to BOM http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=avengers11.htm

 

Originally it made 615 Million

 

So TLJ will actually pass TA next weekend as far as the FIRST RUN is concerned. Am I wrong? for those who know this stuff fill me in. Thanks

Edited by Chad Stevens
  • ...wtf 1
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