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MaxAggressor

Daily Numbers | Tuesday 30th Jan 2018 | 12 Strong 900k

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Deadline's Weekend preview http://deadline.com/2018/01/super-bowl-box-office-2018-winchester-maze-runner-dwayne-johnson-jumanji-1202275222/

 

Jumanji (9-10) million

MR:DC (12-13) million

Hostiles 4.5 million

 

I, Tonya expands to 1,500 theaters.

 

J2 has dropped better than or on par with (5th weekend) NATM in every weekend it has been in theaters so far. So a drop to similar to NATM on it's 7th weekend gets J2 to 10.78 million. This looks like the ceiling atm as 10.78 million is also exactly the same percentage bump J2 enjoyed over NATM in the last weekend. I'm not sure that J2 will be able to repeat that gigantic bump this weekend with Superbowl taking a substantial chunk out of Sunday's business. So (9.5-10) million sounds about right. The weekend haul needs to be closer to 9.95 million to keep the pace with NATM tho.

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22 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

J2 has dropped better than or on par with (5th weekend) NATM in every weekend it has been in theaters so far. So a drop to similar to NATM on it's 7th weekend gets J2 to 10.78 million. This looks like the ceiling atm as 10.78 million is also exactly the same percentage bump J2 enjoyed over NATM in the last weekend. I'm not sure that J2 will be able to repeat that gigantic bump this weekend with Superbowl taking a substantial chunk out of Sunday's business. So (9.5-10) million sounds about right. The weekend haul needs to be closer to 9.95 million to keep the pace with NATM tho.

this weekend last year Sing and La La Land had the best drops with 36% and 40% respectively. 35-40% drop for J2 (16.14m last weekend) seems like a safe projection for 9.7-10.5m. Really hope it stays at double digits.

 

Probably the best hold will go to TGS. 20-25% down (9.55m last weekend) gives 7.2-7.6m.

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Chart Index  
 
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Maze Runner: The Death Cure 20th Century Fox $1,904,916 +40% 3,787 $503   $27,434,859 5
- (2) Hostiles Entertainment Studi… $1,234,067 +35% 2,816 $438   $14,105,284 40
- (5) The Greatest Showman 20th Century Fox $1,023,029 +45% 2,663 $384   $128,254,976 42
- (4) The Post 20th Century Fox $1,017,386 +43% 2,640 $385   $60,519,703 40
- (7) 12 Strong Warner Bros. $904,103 +41% 3,018 $300   $31,353,934 12
- (6) Den of Thieves STX Entertainment $879,257 +26% 2,432 $362   $30,353,560 12
- (8) The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight $716,126 +27% 1,854 $386   $39,181,652 61
- (9) Three Billboards Outside Eb… Fox Searchlight $446,578 +24% 1,457 $307   $38,058,636 82
- (14) The Commuter Lionsgate $409,648 +53% 1,811 $226   $32,067,050 19
- (11) Phantom Thread Focus Features $373,900 +25% 1,021 $366   $11,387,659 37
- (13) Darkest Hour Focus Features $352,370 +24% 1,333 $264   $45,836,152 70
- (12) Paddington 2 Warner Bros. $335,551 +14% 2,792 $120   $32,748,232 19
- (-) Insidious: The Last Key Universal $267,690 +30% 1,901 $141   $63,922,560 26
- (-) Lady Bird A24 $217,279 +25% 1,172 $185   $42,001,838 89
- (-) Pitch Perfect 3 Universal $126,905 +49% 1,039 $122   $102,930,850 40
- (-) Molly’s Game STX Entertainment $107,778 +35% 556 $194   $26,089,985 37
- (-) Ferdinand 20th Century Fox $65,163 +16% 675 $97   $80,672,282 47
- (-) Wonder Lionsgate $43,077 +17% 349 $123   $130,643,116 75
- (-) Justice League Warner Bros. $23,662 +13% 244 $97   $228,094,816 75
- (-) Get Out Universal $22,675 -1% 471 $48   $175,898,170 341
- (-) Murder on the Orient Express 20th Century Fox $15,895 +23% 179 $89   $102,542,138 82
- (-) Daddy’s Home 2 Paramount Pictures $9,842 +19% 145 $68   $103,769,354 82
- (-) The Disaster Artist A24 $9,204 n/c 84 $110   $20,929,350 61
- (-) Downsizing Paramount Pictures $8,816 +22% 113 $78   $24,434,771 40
- (-) The Florida Project A24 $8,004 +46% 33 $243   $5,672,618 117
- (-) Blade Runner 2049 Warner Bros. $2,714 +45% 72 $38   $92,048,716 117
- (-) Condorito: The Movie Lionsgate $1,682 -3% 36 $47   $446,343 19
- (-) Father Figures Warner Bros. $1,038 +21% 44 $24   $17,415,015 40
- (-) Parchi Atlas Distribution $358 +293% 1 $358   $67,582 19
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3Billboards is such a silent hit.

 

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week
2017/11/10 26 $322,168   4 $80,542   $322,168 1
2017/11/17 9 $1,102,166 +242% 53 $20,796   $1,536,391 2
2017/11/24 10 $4,403,003 +299% 614 $7,171   $7,614,532 3
2017/12/01 7 $4,396,537 n/c 1,430 $3,075   $13,537,057 4
2017/12/08 11 $2,862,109 -35% 1,620 $1,767   $18,312,393 5
2017/12/15 13 $1,587,087 -45% 944 $1,681   $21,336,065 6
2017/12/22 20 $525,491 -67% 307 $1,712   $22,741,110 7
2017/12/29 21 $675,545 +29% 266 $2,540   $24,164,629 8
2018/01/05 20 $705,188 +4% 310 $2,275   $25,392,902 9
2018/01/12 16 $2,518,115 +257% 1,022 $2,464   $28,726,574 10
2018/01/19 17 $1,917,162 -24% 954 $2,010   $31,994,519 11
2018/01/26 12 $3,840,684 +100% 1,457 $2,636   $37,251,635 12

 

Should do 60m+ imo.

 

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