Biggest bomb of 2018

[Valonqar]

@Barnack Thanks! That was very insightful and helpful! 

[Mojoguy]

Biggest Bomb of 2018 will obviously be Solo.

Solo wasn't even in the poll!

Edited October 11, 2018 by Mojoguy

[MrGlass2]

At least Alden got a more flattering picture now...

 

[Krissykins]

Wow, Solo wasn’t even listed as an option! 

 

That means it qualifies as not only the biggest bomb of 2018, but a surprise one too. 

Edited October 11, 2018 by Krissykins

[Krissykins]

Mortal Engines incoming though lol

[John Marston]

On 2/15/2018 at 4:04 AM, MovieMan89 said:

I'd bet RPO does 250-300 WW. I'm sure it cost at least 150m, if not closer to 200. Tomb Raider only cost 80m and at least 200m WW should be locked. WiT could be a bit of a bomb if Disney went crazy on the budget and it cost 200m or something, which is possible since it's them. But I think it makes around 400 WW. 

 

 

Lol

[John Marston]

Solo won this with flying colors. Less than 400m worldwide on a 275m budget and it wasn’t even on the list!

[John Marston]

On 2/19/2018 at 4:21 PM, dudalb said:

One of my sure fire bombs is not on the list:

The Lady GaGa "A Star Is Born" remake has disaster written all over it, with the studio keeping very quite about it, and reports that the test screenings went very poorly.

 

 

 

Another lol

[KeepItU25071906]

On 2/16/2018 at 9:12 PM, DMan7 said:

Sounds like just about all WB movies will bomb outside of FB2. 

[Wrath]

44 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Solo won this with flying colors. Less than 400m worldwide on a 275m budget and it wasn’t even on the list!

Probably, but Mortal Engines hasn’t impacted yet.

[Legion Again]

2 hours ago, Wrath said:

Probably, but Mortal Engines hasn’t impacted yet.

Does Mortal Engines even cost enough to beat Solo if it finished with 0WW?

[expensiveho]

6 hours ago, Napoleon said:

I don't think we should underestimate A Wrinkle In Time. Deadline reported a $250 million total cost, and it made only $133 million worldwide. Assuming studios make back between 50-60% of ticket sales, that's a massive loss in the $170-$180 million range.

Make it half after home entertainment and TV rights (Disney pushing it to 100m wasn't free). 80-90m loss sounds about right.

 

Solo lost around $300m on theaters. Make it half again ($150m revenue instead of AWiT's $90m) that's still a $150m loss and a damage to the SW brand (which wasn't a factor to anyone involved on AWiT)

 

Of course, SW makes shit tons of money on merchandising, but that's not really on "Solo". Overall the brand surely made some profit for Disney this year. 

[diddykongracing128]

 

Solo 

Edited October 12, 2018 by diddykongracing128

[Barnack]

4 minutes ago, expensiveho said:

Solo lost around $300m on theaters. Make it half again ($150m revenue instead of AWiT's $90m) that's still a $150m loss and a damage to the SW brand (which wasn't a factor to anyone involved on AWiT)

Solo loosing that much is a bit harsh, trade at it around 50m to 80m type of range back in the days from memory.

 

Say the budget was around 265m net with a 150m WW P&A.

 

Disney star wars tend to get nice distribution deal and tend to sell well as collectible and so on on home ent.

 

Domestic heavy could have been an around 48% retention rate WW for a 188m in revenues, if it does a 40% in rental that a 470m in total revenues (excluding merchandise, like you said how much 2018-2019 star wars sales will be from it, could be hard to calculate).

 

265m direct production cost net of tax credits, 150m WW P&A, 35m home ent world release, 9m in residual, if they give a pass and count a 10% overhead of 26.5m and you end up around a 15m lost. If it does a 45% in rental a near 80m lost.

 

If the net budget was more around 285m net and a 45% in rental could reach 100m lost. That is with no one getting first dollar gross, could be possible that the writer's considering their track records and some producer did.

 

[WrathOfHan]

Yikes @ the 16 that voted for Meg.

 

The one I voted for was sent to Netflix, so it's a bomb in spirit? (might've still lost money for WB anyways)

[Asyulus]

Alita.

Spoiler

 

[The Futurist]

Ready Player One was saved by China.

[a2k]

2 hours ago, The Futurist said:

Ready Player One was saved by China.

Had it done 90 in China instead of 222, the global tally would be 450 ww instead of 582 ww. That 450 ww would still have prevented it from being a "bomb" on 155-175 prod budget..

 

with the hypothetical 450 ww (137 dom + 90 china + 223 os-china) the theatrical revenue would have been be approx 137*0.55 + 90*0.25 + 223*0.35 = 176

 

that covers the prod budget and then non-theatrical revenue going after marketing and release costs.

Edited October 12, 2018 by a2k

[Ozymandias]

Its SoLow VS. Alita

 

Alita is still a 2018 film i don't care

 

[Maxmoser3]

2018 bombs:

January: 

Proud Mary

February:

Early Man

Samson

Anhiliation 

March: 

Death Wish

Wrinkle In Time

Pacific Rim 2

Sherlock Gnomes

Hurricane Heist

April: 

Sgt. Stubby

May:

Tully

Show Dogs

Solo

June:

Action Point

Adrift 

July: 

Skyscraper

August:

Spy Who Dumped Me

Death Of A Nation

Mile 22

Alpha

A.X.L

Happytime Murders

Kin

Operation Finale

September: 

Predator

White Boy Rick

October:

Bad Times At El Royale

 

the rest: depends on First Man’s legs.

 

November may have Robin Hood, Widows, and possibly Creed II(no marketing like the first one at all).

 

December will be Mortal Engines, Vice, Holmes & Watson, and Welcome To Marwen.