BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[redfirebird2008]

1 hour ago, Chad Stevens said:

 

TLJ suffered from one of the worst multipliers in cinematic history.

 

 

Nope. It has a 2.81 multiplier, which is actually pretty good compared to stuff like Batman v. Superman (1.99 multi).

[That One Girl]

Just now, Chewy said:

 

BOM lyin'

 

keith!

[aabattery]

On 7/30/2014 at 6:57 AM, Sam said:

They estimated 200.3M and people were saying they're gonna fudge the number to claim that exclusive 200M OW. Then actuals come in and bam, 207.4M.

 

@Sam said this, and I've never taken her for a liar. So that's an underestimation of 7M.

[That One Girl]

Just now, aabattery said:

 

@Sam said this, and I've never taken her for a liar. So that's an underestimation of 7M.

 

Confirmed by BOM

 

Est. / Act.

Diff

Movie Title (click to view)

Studio

Studio Est. / Actual

Diff

% Diff

Theaters

Est. Total

Actual

Wk

1

1

-

Marvel's The Avengers

BV

$200,300,000

$207,438,708

$+7,138,708

+3.6%

4,349

$200,300,000

$207,438,708

1

[redfirebird2008]

TFA was lowballed by around $8m I think. 

[KP1025]

TFA was off by basically $10 million according to BOM.

 

Est. / Act.

Diff

Movie Title (click to view)

Studio

Studio Est. / Actual

Diff

% Diff

Theaters

Est. Total

Actual

Wk

1

1

-

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BV

$238,000,000

$247,966,675

$+9,966,675

+4.2%

4,134

$238,000,000

$247,966,675

1

[aabattery]

So basically, the bigger it is, the lower they ball it. Same thing happened for Jurassic World IIRC.

[That One Girl]

$200MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM incoming

[MovieMan89]

Now the question is if it did 60m today and tomorrow is a holiday, can it break TFA’s $40m Monday record? That would also get the 4 day super close to TFA’s OW. 

[redfirebird2008]

2 minutes ago, aabattery said:

So basically, the bigger it is, the lower they ball it. Same thing happened for Jurassic World IIRC.

 

JW was lowballed by $4.2m...not too bad compared to some of these others. 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=studioest&yr=2015&wknd=24&p=.htm

[Chewy]

1 minute ago, aabattery said:

So basically, the bigger it is, the lower they ball it. Same thing happened for Jurassic World IIRC.

 

Well, the bigger they are, the smaller the Sunday drop, b/c of spillover from sold out Sat shows

[Sam]

5 minutes ago, aabattery said:

 

@Sam said this, and I've never taken her for a liar. So that's an underestimation of 7M.

Lmao, where did you even find that? 2014 seems like ages ago.

[Chewy]

Just now, Sam said:

Lmao, where did you even find that? 2014 seems like ages ago.

 

aa just casually reading through every post Sam's ever made no big deal

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, Chewy said:

 

aa just casually reading through every post Sam's ever made no big deal

 

funny you mentioned that, just finished reading through page 350 of all of your posts

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Now the question is if it did 60m today and tomorrow is a holiday, can it break TFA’s $40m Monday record? That would also get the 4 day super close to TFA’s OW. 

In that case, it could get pretty close. I think it would fall short, but this movie isn’t really following any rules so far 

[MrGamer]

I leave you all for a day and you're creeping on each other. 

[aabattery]

3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

aa just casually reading through every post Sam's ever made no big deal

 

Helps me sleep.

[aabattery]

Quite a few underestimations in the top opening weekends.

 

1

1

-

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BV

$238,000,000

$247,966,675

$+9,966,675

+4.2%

4,134

$238,000,000

$247,966,675

1

1

1

-

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BV

$220,047,000

$220,009,584

$-37,416

-0.0%

4,232

$220,047,000

$220,009,584

1

1

1

-

Jurassic World

Uni.

$204,600,000

$208,806,270

$+4,206,270

+2.1%

4,274

$204,600,000

$208,806,270

1

1

1

-

Marvel's The Avengers

BV

$200,300,000

$207,438,708

$+7,138,708

+3.6%

4,349

$200,300,000

$207,438,708

1

~ d o n t h a v e a c t u a l s f o r b l a c k p a n t h e r y e t ~

1

1

-

Avengers: Age of Ultron

BV

$187,656,000

$191,271,109

$+3,615,109

+1.9%

4,276

$187,656,000

$191,271,109

1

1

1

-

Captain America: Civil War

BV

$181,791,000

$179,139,142

$-2,651,858

-1.5%

4,226

$181,791,000

$179,139,142

1

1

1

-

Beauty and the Beast (2017)

BV

$170,000,000

$174,750,616

$+4,750,616

+2.8%

4,210

$170,000,000

$174,750,616

1

1

1

-

Iron Man 3

BV

$175,300,000

$174,144,585

$-1,155,415

-0.7%

4,253

$175,300,000

$174,144,585

1

1

1

-

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2

WB

$168,550,000

$169,189,427

$+639,427

+0.4%

4,375

$168,550,000

$169,189,427

1

1

1

-

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

WB

$170,100,000

$166,007,347

$-4,092,653

-2.4%

4,242

$170,100,000

$166,007,347

1

 

[Chewy]

Quote

1

1

-

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

WB

$170,100,000

$166,007,347

$-4,092,653

-2.4%

4,242

$170,100,000

$166,007,347

1

 

[That One Girl]

Reminder that aa's first post was him joining a BKB club.  What an awful start.

 

On 4/18/2016 at 12:56 AM, aabattery said:

I'm in, I know a lot of people super excited for this and the WOM is insane.