BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[grey ghost]

The mods showing proper respect with an accurate thread title. 

Edited February 16, 2018 by grey ghost

[grey ghost]

25 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

I am genuinely asking simply because I don't have a clue:

why is BP expcted to be a bit backloaded for a cbm?

1) non sequel

2) cultural phenomenon (Avengers and Wonder Woman)

3) Little competition 

4) novelty factor

5) Black History month might help for the next two weeks

6) Homerun with general audiences (unlike CW)

 

 

 

Edited February 16, 2018 by grey ghost

[Ethan Hunt]

Movie got applause twice at my showing. Once when the credits started rolling and once after the second post credit scene.

 

 

[Ethan Hunt]

5 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

1) non sequel

2) cultural phenomenon (Avengers and Wonder Woman)

3) Little competition 

4) novelty factor

5) Black History month might help for the next two weeks

6) Homerun with general audiences (unlike CW)

 

 

 

Suspect it will do very will on the repeat viewing factor

[babz06]

I suspect OW will be a little front loaded just because of the huge presales. But we shall see.

[Asyulus]

BP

Friday + Previews - $81m

Saturday - $93m

Sunday - $69m

Monday - $60m

4 Day OW - $303m

DOM - $753m

OS - $532m

WW - $1,285,000,000 billion

 

IW (Avengers + Black Panther + Trailer Views)

3 Day OW - $282m

DOM -  $817m

OS - $1.344b

WW - $2,161,000,000 billion

 

The sky is the limit.

Edited February 16, 2018 by Asyulus

[kayumanggi]

58 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

 

Let’s update with:

 

$25M

$68.3M ($93.3M OW)

$83.8M

$66.4M

 

$243.5M OW.  If it only drop -19% on Sunday, it gets to $245M OW.

That is insane.

[SchumacherFTW]

1 hour ago, That One Guy said:

 

 

Let’s update with:

 

$25M

$68.3M ($93.3M OW)

$83.8M

$66.4M

 

$243.5M OW.  If it only drop -19% on Sunday, it gets to $245M OW.

Why would BP break the Saturday record by nearly $15m? JW is still top there at $69m.

[Lordmandeep]

I dont buy into that theory that BP success means IW will not be a big deal. 

 

Apart from Wishcasting, there is no indication that interest in IW is diminished from the last avenger movies. 

 

1 minute ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Why would BP break the Saturday record by nearly $15m? JW is still top there at $69m.

 

 

It makes less sense as the Sunday this weekend will be inflated.

Edited February 16, 2018 by Lordmandeep

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

I dont buy into that theory that BP success means IW will not be a big deal. 

I mean yeah. But it won't be as big a deal as Black Panther

[ban1o]

Don’t forget post church bump on sundays 

[DMan7]

DAMN! 200M 3 day OW isn't a fantasy its reality!. 

[Avatree]

49 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

I am genuinely asking simply because I don't have a clue:

why is BP expcted to be a bit backloaded for a cbm?

because of its appeal to the general audience, non-cbm fans.

[Lordmandeep]

1 hour ago, Hades said:

Its not just Disney... I hear WB released a horror 100 mil opener in September, of all months. Fox released an r-rated 100 opener in FEB 16. The non mega budget films are not going anywhere. Breakouts will always happen.

 

The streamers don't have enough cinema killers yet. Stuff like Bright won't cut it. 

 

 

I am suggesting the market is transforming to being mostly about tentpoles.

 

As streaming services grow more popular, I think the days of 'lets randomly go to the cinema and watch a movie' are over.

 

It will be strictly based on people wanting to see 'X' movie. 

 

I have not suggested theatres are dying but saying more and more of their business will be based on the tentpoles.

 

That is why Disney can put so many restrictions on theatres because without Disney, it is likely that between Nov 2017 and May 2018, only 1 film would make 300 million+. 

 

 

10 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

I mean yeah. But it won't be as big a deal as Black Panther

 

 

 

In the United States likely, but the rest of the world no. 

 

I think IW will be the highest grossing superhero movie ever overseas

Edited February 16, 2018 by Lordmandeep

[That One Girl]

7 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Why would BP break the Saturday record by nearly $15m? JW is still top there at $69m.

 

Cause this will open over JW

[MovieMan89]

26 minutes ago, Asyulus said:

BP

Friday + Previews - $81m

Saturday - $93m

Sunday - $69m

Monday - $60m

4 Day OW - $303m

DOM - $753m

OS - $532m

WW - $1,285,000,000 billion

 

IW (Avengers + Black Panther + Trailer Views)

3 Day OW - $282m

DOM -  $817m

OS - $1.344m

WW - $2,161,000,000 billion

 

The sky is the limit.

Ya know something...I don't think these predictions will end up quite as crazy as they should be (though yes they're still pretty nuts but I like it). 

Edited February 16, 2018 by MovieMan89

[a2k]

BP FSS could double WONDR's 103.25...who thought that was remotely possible last June (or last week).

[Rebeccas]

Marvel going #1 and #2 domestic this year sounds like its happening! What a great time for Feige to be renewing his contract. Get that money Kevin!!

[Avatree]

1 minute ago, Rebeccas said:

Marvel going #1 and #2 domestic this year sounds like its happening! What a great time for Feige to be renewing his contract. Get that money Kevin!!

Didn't know Jurassic World was part of the MCU.

[DAR]

Don't worry I won't get too far into this, but I wonder if some WB exec is thinking maybe we should put Cyborg on the fast track. 

Edited February 16, 2018 by DAR