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Black Panther Wednesday 15 mill

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Just now, ecstasy said:

That movie looks crazy. Like too out there for my sensibilities. The twitter verse seems to like it. Not that there are a whole lot of tweets about it though.

 

I'll be seeing it tonight.  It's one of the few movies I've been looking forward to this year.

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1 minute ago, 75Live said:

 

I'll be seeing it tonight.  It's one of the few movies I've been looking forward to this year.

I thought you would have already seen by now.:) Hope you like it though.

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Just now, ecstasy said:

I thought you would have already seen by now.:) Hope you like it though.

 

sadly, I had no way to see it before previews tonight or I would have :P

 

thanks, I hope I enjoy it too.

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6 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

$15m would be about 74% higher than Deadpool's Wednesday. Black Panther's Tuesday was about 80% higher than Deadpool's Tuesday. Needs to stay 80% ahead to reach Last Jedi's estimated final gross of $621m. 74% lead on Deadpool the rest of the way would mean a final gross of $610m.

I dunno.  I like BP but I think this might be frontloaded a bit.  Special movie is special?  Could see those percentages do a daily slip by just a tad.

 

Not to say its not going to make huge money, way more than most thought possible.  But this could be the kind of thing where it ends up more like 500m Dom rather than 600m.

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15M wednesday will make it to 278M 6-day, tie with TLJ and JW for 2nd!! Amazing!!

 

 

Rank Movie Title Studio Opening % of
Total
Theaters / Avg Total Gross Release
1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $363,460,329 38.8% 4,134 $87,920 $936,662,225 F, 12/18/15
2 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $278,710,009 45.1% 4,232 $65,858 $618,264,433 F, 12/15/17
3 Jurassic World Uni. $278,389,075 42.7% 4,274 $65,135 $652,270,625 F, 6/12/15
4 Marvel's The Avengers BV $257,627,807 41.3% 4,349 $59,238 $623,357,910 F, 5/4/12
5 Avengers: Age of Ultron BV $227,042,314 49.5% 4,276 $53,097 $459,005,868 F, 5/1/15
6 The Dark Knight WB $222,150,806 41.7% 4,366 $50,882 $533,345,358 F, 7/18/08
7 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $217,699,926 43.2% 4,210 $51,710 $504,014,165 F, 3/17/17
8 Captain America: Civil War BV $215,168,509 52.7% 4,226 $50,915 $408,084,349 F, 5/6/16
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4 minutes ago, REC said:

I dunno.  I like BP but I think this might be frontloaded a bit.  Special movie is special?  Could see those percentages do a daily slip by just a tad.

 

Not to say its not going to make huge money, way more than most thought possible.  But this could be the kind of thing where it ends up more like 500m Dom rather than 600m.

 

Needs to run 16.5% ahead of Deadpool the rest of the way to reach $500m. I think that's locked to happen. Needs to run 44% ahead of Deadpool the rest of the way to reach $550m, which seems very likely to happen as well. The 6-day gross is 61% ahead of Deadpool and Wednesday is 74% ahead of Deadpool for the same day.

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10 minutes ago, REC said:

I dunno.  I like BP but I think this might be frontloaded a bit.  Special movie is special?  Could see those percentages do a daily slip by just a tad.

 

Not to say its not going to make huge money, way more than most thought possible.  But this could be the kind of thing where it ends up more like 500m Dom rather than 600m.

projections have it at 100M+ for 2nd we, around 50% drop which is amazing for such a huge opener, and around 400M in 10 days. I think the range would be 550-600, instead of 500-600. 

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32 minutes ago, REC said:

I dunno.  I like BP but I think this might be frontloaded a bit.  Special movie is special?  Could see those percentages do a daily slip by just a tad.

 

Not to say its not going to make huge money, way more than most thought possible.  But this could be the kind of thing where it ends up more like 500m Dom rather than 600m.

 

Literally every indication thus far points to the opposite of frontloading

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3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Literally every indication thus far points to the opposite of frontloading

 

By mega-opening standards anyway. Jumanji is already at 7.2 multiplier from 5-day opening. Panther would need $1.9 billion domestic to pull off that type of backloading.

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Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

 

By mega-opening standards anyway. Jumanji is already at 7.2 multiplier from 5-day opening. Panther would need $1.9 billion domestic to pull off that type of backloading.

 

Yea Jumanji busted out those Jim Cameron legs, doesn't fit into normal multiplier curves lol

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1 minute ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Greatest Showman is at 11.68 multiplier from 5-day opening. That would be about $3.07 billion domestic for Panther. :lol:

 

1 minute ago, Treeing Me Apart said:

Maybe Black Panther will have Greatest Showman legs and get to $4.8 billion domestic

@IronJimbo nervous?

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2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Greatest Showman is at 11.68 multiplier from 5-day opening. That would be about $3.07 billion domestic for Panther. :lol:

 

Let's just give it Big Fat Greek legs and say it gets to 81B

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1 minute ago, Chewy said:

 

Let's just give it Big Fat Greek legs and say it gets to 81B

that's just unrealistic, since you're using a limited release opening multiplier. should really keep expectations in check. 

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