Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[Nova]

5 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

That's a $4.82M true Friday. I think it'll get to $16M at this rate. Not sure if the storms on the east coast had an effect on it but that preview number to opening day number for RS is not good so unless the storms did have an effect on it, I'm not expecting a good weekend multiplier. But let's see how Saturday plays out. 

[sfran43]

1 minute ago, MaxAggressor said:

Damn. Down from Deadline's 6.3m estimate. Red Sparrow is not stabilizing well. Could come in under 17m for the weekend.

I'm guessing it will open  somewhere between $15M+ to $16M!

[trifle]

18 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Bad for Red Sparrow. Rotten Tomatoes rating may have hurt it. 

It sure was different from its cinemascore by people who had actually seen it. (audience rating, that is)

6 minutes ago, JMorphin said:

well...that's lower.

 

4 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

Damn. Down from Deadline's 6.3m estimate. Red Sparrow is not stabilizing well. Could come in under 17m for the weekend.

Yes. Moviepass grayed it out, amongst other things.  I honestly think it was a really good movie that most people would like (not all, given violence and nudity.)  I understood why mother! wasn't everyone's cup of tea, but I am wondering if the actual numbers we get Monday might be different than the estimates if moviepass stops graying it out.  I guess at this point, I'll have to wait and see.  Now I have to get work done because I quit early yesterday to go see Red Sparrow....

Edited March 3, 2018 by trifle

[La Binoche]

Angelina needs to come back asap. These girls cant sell these spy/action movies like she did. 

[sfran43]

 

[titanic2187]

Just now, La Binoche said:

Angelina needs to come back asap. These girls cant sell these spy/action movies like she did. 

a not great but underappreciated film- Salt

[MaxAggressor]

Comes above Deadline's 663k Friday estimates.

 

 

[Truckasaurus]

Yikes. Red Sparrow below $40M domestic is now a distinct possibility.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[75Live]

4 minutes ago, Truckasaurus said:

Yikes. Red Sparrow below $40M domestic is now a distinct possibility.

 

it always was, but I'm waiting to see what happens today to see if it was the storm here in the northeast had that big of an effect or not.  So it may have some sort of bounce back depending

Edited March 3, 2018 by 75Live

[TwoMisfits]

12 minutes ago, trifle said:

It sure was different from its cinemascore by people who had actually seen it. (audience rating, that is)

 

Yes. Moviepass grayed it out, amongst other things.  I honestly think it was a really good movie that most people would like (not all, given violence and nudity.)  I understood why mother! wasn't everyone's cup of tea, but I am wondering if the actual numbers we get Monday might be different than the estimates if moviepass stops graying it out.  I guess at this point, I'll have to wait and see.  Now I have to get work done because I quit early yesterday to go see Red Sparrow....

It does show about what Moviepass can do to a movie - it will never (at least at its current subscriber base) really harm a huge opener, but it can derail a small-to-mid range one...

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

4 minutes ago, 75Live said:

 

it always was, but I'm waiting to see what happens today to see if it was the storm here in the northeast had that big of an effect or not.  So it may have some sort of bounce back depending

It's possible it could. Though people having to "sleep on it" for an extra night may not be the best plan given the mixed WOM. The other Friday jumps for the holdovers appear to be normal at first glance

[KP1025]

4 minutes ago, 75Live said:

 

it always was, but I'm waiting to see what happens today to see if it was the storm here in the northeast had that big of an effect or not.  So it may have some sort of bounce back depending

The Friday increase for the majority of releases seems to be much higher than last week's, which makes me believe the storm didn't really impact the box office at all.

[75Live]

1 minute ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

It's possible it could. Though people having to "sleep on it" for an extra night may not be the best plan given the mixed WOM. The other Friday jumps for the holdovers appear to be normal at first glance

 

oh i'm not saying it will definitely bounce back but just saying it could have been a factor, or yes maybe it was just people didn't want to see it.  Guess we will find out  

[TwoMisfits]

For those who know (ie - those who are members)...is Red Sparrow still blocked out for Moviepass holders today?  Has the company announced if it will be all weekend or just opening day?

[titanic2187]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Black Panther	BV	$16,304,000	+147%	-43%	4,084	$3,992	$451,704,037	15
2	-	Red Sparrow	Fox	$6,025,000	-	-	3,056	$1,972	$6,025,000	1
3	-	Death Wish (2018)	MGM	$4,275,000	-	-	2,847	$1,502	$4,275,000	1
4	2	Game Night	WB	$3,035,000	+140%	-46%	3,502	$867	$25,862,766	8
5	4	Peter Rabbit	Sony	$2,075,000	+253%	-27%	3,607	$575	$76,135,376	22
6	3	Annihilation	Par.	$1,530,000	+86%	-60%	2,112	$724	$16,516,742	8
7	5	Fifty Shades Freed	Uni.	$1,055,000	+91%	-55%	2,614	$404	$93,344,460	22
8	7	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$1,030,000	+217%	-24%	2,313	$445	$389,731,353	73
9	9	The Greatest Showman	Fox	$715,000	+174%	-21%	1,407	$508	$162,656,443	73
10	12	Every Day (2018)	Orion	$455,434	+222%	-58%	1,669	$273	$4,156,238	8
11	8	The 15:17 to Paris	WB	$400,000	+51%	-60%	1,803	$222	$33,948,216	22
12	10	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$340,000	+121%	+12%	832	$409	$56,333,976	92
-	11	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$325,000	+125%	+11%	770	$422	$51,095,189	113
-	-	The Post	Fox	$275,000	+98%	-14%	671	$410	$79,729,969	71
-	-	Phantom Thread	Focus	$156,000	+44%	+16%	715	$218	$19,690,164	68
-	-	Winchester	LGF	$140,000	+141%	-47%	576	$243	$24,168,838	29
-	-	Darkest Hour	Focus	$132,000	+29%	-18%	913	$145	$54,986,217	101
-	-	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	Fox	$110,000	+95%	-54%	543	$203	$56,734,211	36
-	-	Early Man	LGF	$82,000	-10%	-76%	897	$91	$7,334,449	15
-	-	Coco	BV	$78,000	+166%	-25%	235	$332	$208,230,719	101
-	-	Samson	PFR	$77,000	-3%	-70%	434	$177	$4,209,089	15
-	-	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$65,000	+93%	-23%	221	$294	$618,928,636	78
-	-	Hostiles	ENTMP	$44,000	+13%	-53%	251	$175	$29,350,339	71
-	-	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$34,000	+252%	+1%	110	$309	$314,881,245	120
-	-	Wonder	LGF	$25,000	+61%	-23%	150	$167	$132,025,170	106
-	-	La Boda de Valentina	PNT	$23,000	+66%	-56%	95	$242	$2,603,608	22
-	-	The Commuter	LGF	$21,000	+82%	-28%	112	$188	$36,187,300	50
-	-	Death House	Hann.	$9,485	-	-	1	$9,485	$9,485	1
-	-	Monster Hunt 2	LGF	$8,900	+11%	-72%	20	$445	$658,048	15

[Alli]

19 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

I'm guessing it will open  somewhere between $15M+ to $16M!

yikes And i was pretty damn sure it would open above American Made. But let's wait and see. Anyway, not a good number considering JLaw is at the peak of her careeer

[MaxAggressor]

Jumanji 2 comes above Deadline's Friday estimate (950k)  

 

 

Edited March 3, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

8 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

For those who know (ie - those who are members)...is Red Sparrow still blocked out for Moviepass holders today?  Has the company announced if it will be all weekend or just opening day?

It only appears to be in sporadic locations, I'll check out myself today