Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[fabiopazzo2]

1 minute ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

[MaxAggressor]

1

(1)

Black Panther

Walt Disney

$16,257,536

+146%

4,084

$3,981

$451,657,573

15

 

1

(1)

Black Panther

Walt Disney

$30,052,665

+85%

4,084

$7,359

$481,710,238

16

 

1

(1)

Black Panther

Walt Disney

$19,996,734

-33%

4,084

$4,896

$501,706,972

17

[NoLegMan]

I am saying 43 million next weekend.

[dxmatrixdt]

On 3/3/2018 at 12:20 AM, Matrix4You said:

 

it is just a number i feel comfortable with.

 

 

 

[a2k]

Just now, NoLegMan said:

I am saying 43 million next weekend.

that's -35% and can happen. even if it falls higher at 41% it's looking at 502 + 19 mon-thu (-40%) + 39 fss (-41%) = 560 cume. only 100 away from titanic.

[MaxAggressor]

 

Worldwide Box Office

$898,306,972

 

BP is at 898.3 million with the revised the domestic BO figure. It needs the OS actuals to come 1.7 million above estimates to sneak past 900 million on Sunday. It's a 50/50 call atm. It's going to be a nail biter of a finish.

Edited March 5, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[a2k]

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
2018/02/16	1	$202,003,951		4,020	$50,250	$202,003,951	1
2018/02/23	1	$111,658,835	-45%	4,020	$27,776	$403,613,257	2
2018/03/02	1	$66,306,935	-41%	4,084	$16,236	$501,706,972	3

Edited March 5, 2018 by a2knet
made it more accurate

[grey ghost]

21 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

The drop wasn't in the 30's.

 

#NotACulturalPhenomenon

[Valonqar]

So lets see. All 200M+ openers crossed 600M milestone (BP will, done deal) but only TFA crossed other milestones such as 700M, 800M and 900M. It seems that 200M OW almost guarantees 600M crossing (though I expect that we'll see some movies in the future that won't crack it) but other milestones are up to factors such as what kind of an event the movie is to mobilize audience that usually doesn't see movies. Will BP get to 700M with March break and Easter around the corner? Stay tuned. 

Edited March 5, 2018 by Valonqar

[IronJimbo]

Just now, grey ghost said:

The drop wasn't in the 30's.

 

#NotACulturalPhenomenon

well said

[sfran43]

 

[JB33]

I still can't believe that Saturday number for BP. It's more shocking to me than the weekend number in general.

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

So lets see. All 200M+ openers crossed 600M milestone (BP will, done deal) but only TFA crossed other milestones such as 700M, 800M and 900M. It seems that 200M OW almost guarantees 600M crossing (though I expect that we'll see some movies in the future that won't crack it) but other milestones are up to factors such as what kind of an event the movie is to mobilize audience that usually doesn't see movies. Will BP get to 700M with March break and Easter around the corner? Stay tuned. 

DP fell 46% in 4th weekend and added 3.1x that weekend to it's cume.

If BP does 20 (-36%) mon-thu and 43 fss (-35%) for 565 cume, then adding 3.1x the 4th weekend will give it 700.

Even it falls a bit more, it's been legging better than DP so can well improve upon that 3.1x multiplier.

[fabiopazzo2]

10 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

The drop wasn't in the 30's.

 

#NotACulturalPhenomenon

[a2k]

8 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

nice decimals.

4.4 away from 100. shades2 did 3.55 and added 4.6 more. but they can make this linger around for the milestone if they need to.

Edited March 5, 2018 by a2knet

[Valonqar]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

DP fell 46% in 4th weekend and added 3.1x that weekend to it's cume.

If BP does 20 (-36%) mon-thu and 43 fss (-35%) for 565 cume, then adding 3.1x the 4th weekend will give it 700.

Even it falls a bit more, it's been legging better than DP so can well improve upon that 3.1x multiplier.

[seduh]

Amazing number for BP. I didn't like the movie at all but it's fun to folow at the box office. It has good chances of making over $40 next weekend. 

[redfirebird2008]

29 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

It seems that 200M OW almost guarantees 600M crossing (though I expect that we'll see some movies in the future that won't crack it)

 

Spidey 3 adjusted is 201/449 and Ultron is 204/491 adusted. It's just a coincidence that the actual 200 openers have strong WOM to push them past 600 total.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=spiderman3.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=avengers2.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

[eddyxx]

1 hour ago, Telehilation said:

 

Don't tell anyone, I have a reputation to uphold.  

(Looks around) HEY  Y'ALL , @Telehilation  IS OVER HERE LIKING A MARVEL!

 

 

 

[MaxAggressor]