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Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

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2 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Black Panther should cross $1 billion WW in 24 days, the same number of days it took for Ultron and Civil War.

When did they open in China?

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Just now, Telehilation said:

 

I’m really not dissing it. It’s an amazing run. Fantastic. Unprecedented. Whatever adjective you want. :lol: 

Nice try. But it’s already after the fact. You know I ain’t buying it, old boy.

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2 minutes ago, ecstasy said:

When did they open in China?

According to BOM, China opened 10 days after domestic release for Ultron. Civil War opened on the same day.

Edited by KP1025

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BP might have a shot at being the first movie since Avatar to win five weekends in a row. 

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Just now, KP1025 said:

According to BOM, China opened 10 days after domestic release for Ultron. Civil War opened on the same day.

Thanks! So BP is on track for a billion with a relatively delayed opening in China.  Not bad.

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3 minutes ago, ecstasy said:

Holy Mother of God! I was not even paying attention to the overseas for this.

Yeah, BP definitely broke out, especially relative to even MCU fans expectations, in the OS markets. 

 

I think before it opens, most everyone thought it will do at best around 400M OS. But it’s already at that mark now after 3 weeks. With China to come, a 600M OS is possible. That’s 5th biggest MCU, only behind the big boys like The Avengers movie and IM3, CA3.

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Just now, Sam said:

Yeah, BP definitely broke out, especially relative to even MCU fans expectations, in the OS markets. 

 

I think before it opens, most everyone thought it will do at best around 400M OS. But it’s already at that mark now after 3 weeks. With China to come, a 600M OS is possible. That’s 5th biggest MCU, only behind the big boys like The Avengers movie and IM3, CA3.

Wow. What did you have it at? I thought overall 600-650m WW would have been a good number for it. Never in my wildest dreams...

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BP might have a shot at being the first movie since Avatar to win five weekends in a row.


Nah, Tomb Raider OW should beat BP's 5th weekend.

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1 minute ago, ecstasy said:

Wow. What did you have it at? I thought overall 600-650m WW would have been a good number for it. Never in my wildest dreams...

Closer to release date, my domestic expectations definitely went up significantly with all the pre-sales and hype report, so 350-400M Dom. 

 

But OS I had reservations, and was hoping the MCU good will internationally will bring BP box office to around Dr. Strange total. Boy, so glad I was wrong. 

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2 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:


Nah, Tomb Raider OW should beat BP's 5th weekend.

 

Dunno. Could see BP around ~25M. I can easily see Tomb Raider coming in under that. 

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1 1 Black Panther BV $66,306,935 -40.6% 4,084 +64 $16,236 $501,706,972 - 3
2 N Red Sparrow Fox $16,853,422 - 3,056 - $5,515 $16,853,422 $69 1
3 N Death Wish (2018) MGM $13,010,267 - 2,847 - $4,570 $13,010,267 $30 1
4 2 Game Night WB $10,412,496 -38.8% 3,502 +14 $2,973 $33,240,262 $37 2
5 3 Peter Rabbit Sony $10,005,177 -21.6% 3,607 -100 $2,774 $84,065,553 $50 4
6 4 Annihilation Par. $5,607,902 -49.3% 2,112 +100 $2,655 $20,594,644 $40 2
7 6 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $4,438,090 -21.5% 2,313 -206 $1,919 $393,139,443 $90 11
8 5 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $3,400,505 -52.4% 2,614 -651 $1,301 $95,689,965 $55 4
9 8 The Greatest Showman Fox $2,703,357 -20.8% 1,407 -194 $1,921 $164,644,800 $84 11
10 9 Every Day (2018) Orion $1,553,195 -48.5% 1,669 +2 $931 $5,253,998 $4.9 2
11 13 The Shape of Water FoxS $1,461,602 +23.8% 832 +111 $1,757 $57,455,578 - 14
12 7 The 15:17 to Paris WB $1,413,755 -60.4% 1,803 -949 $784 $34,961,971 $30 4
13 11 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $1,274,194 +1.5% 770 +79 $1,655 $52,044,383 - 17
14 12 The Post Fox $937,658 -24.4% 671 -124 $1,397 $80,392,627 $50 11
15 21 Call Me by Your Name SPC $783,227 +49.7% 914 +239 $857 $16,909,289 - 15
16 18 Darkest Hour Focus $696,160 -6.6% 913 +118 $762 $55,550,377 - 15
17 14 Phantom Thread Focus $628,525 -36.7% 715 +64 $879 $20,162,689 - 10
18 19 Lady Bird A24 $568,742 -15.1% 710 +109 $801 $48,321,868 - 18
19 20 I, Tonya Neon $552,389 -5.2% 511 +88 $1,081 $28,941,481 - 13

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57 minutes ago, aabattery said:

BP might have a shot at being the first movie since Avatar to win five weekends in a row. 

It might win 6 but I think Sherlock Gnomes should be able to pull something like 20M because of the lack of animations.

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The Post will do 3x it's prod budget ww. Good but considering the big 3 names involved and awards nomination help expected more.

Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic:  $80,392,627    52.3%
Foreign:  $73,400,000    47.7%

Worldwide:  $153,792,627  

 

Cruise's American Made (same prod budget as The Post; 50m), considered an under-performer, was not that far off globally. It did much less dom and a little more os.

Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic:  $51,342,000    38.1%
Foreign:  $83,524,593    61.9%

Worldwide:  $134,866,593  

 

 

MOTOE was a very successful adult-oriented 50-60 prod budget movie with 350 ww.

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9 hours ago, LaughingEvans said:

Gal's height is just fine. 

 

The lack of curves though... Not good. 

989.jpg

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4 hours ago, Telehilation said:

 

Likely just a lack of attention in the thread would be my guess. The numbers are remarkably huge for a third weekend but overall the weekend still felt minor.

 

4 hours ago, Telehilation said:

 

I don't have an answer. Probably a combination of a lot of energy getting poured into BP's first two weekends, while its performance this time was very strong but not off-the-charts strong like the first two. And of course the Oscars probably took up a bunch of attention yesterday as well. Personally I didn't even know the weekend estimates until yesterday afternoon.

 

 

retr.gif

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At ~100m PR will have shown much better legs than Pad2.

100/25=4x vs 40/11=3.6x

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